Sat, Jul 20, 2024 page5

• Hong Kong expert warns about next pandemic

  • AFP, HONG KONG
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  Hong Kong microbiologist Yuen Kwok-yung (袁國勇) has done battle with some of the world’s worst threats, including the SARS virus he helped isolate and identify, and he has a warning.

  Another pandemic is inevitable and could exact damage far worse than COVID-19 pandemic, said the soft-spoken scientist sometimes thought of as Hong Kong’s answer to former US National Institutes of Health director Anthony Fauci.

  “Both the public and [world] leaders must admit that another pandemic will come, and probably sooner than you anticipate,” he said at the city’s Queen Mary Hospital, where he works and teaches.

  

  Microbiologist Yuen Kwok-yung sits next to copies of his new book during an annual book fair at the Hong Kong Convention and Exhibition Centre on Wednesday.

  Photo: AFP

  “Why I make such a horrifying prediction is because you can see clearly that the geopolitical, economic, and climatic changes are changing so rapidly,” he said.

  Politicians must “come to their senses” and solve “global existential threats,” he said in his new autobiography My Life in Medicine: A Hong Kong Journey.

  While world leaders are more focused on “national or regional interests,” Yuen said a rapidly changing climate coupled with emerging infectious diseases should be a top priority.

  “This is something so important that we should not ignore,” he said.

  Yuen is a globally recognized authority on coronaviruses and infectious diseases, but he came from humble beginnings.

  Born in Hong Kong in the late 1950s, he grew up in a subdivided flat with his parents and three brothers. Since graduating from medical school in 1981, he has worked in the city’s public hospitals, where doctors are paid far less than in the private sector. It was in 2003 when he leaped into the public consciousness, after he and his team successfully isolated and identified SARS.

  It was a vital step toward testing, diagnosing and treating the disease, which emerged in southern China and Hong Kong before spreading globally.

  The virus killed about 300 people in the city in just two months, a toll second only to China.

  That experience informed Yuen’s approach to the COVID-19 pandemic, which ripped through Hong Kong due to lax vaccination, particularly among the elderly.

  “We benefited from the 20 years of study that followed the SARS outbreak,” he wrote in his book.

  “Until factors beyond our ability to stop or overcome — fear, ignorance, poor messaging, and deliberate misinformation — the measures were effective” in buying Hong Kong time until the vaccines were developed, he said.

  In the end, despite tough lockdown measures and lengthy quarantines, Hong Kong recorded about 3 million infections — about half its population — and more than 13,800 deaths from COVID-19.

  It was a frenetic time for Yuen, who became a familiar face as the Hong Kong government’s go-to expert and penned more than 100 peer-reviewed studies on the virus.

  It also put him in a delicate position on several occasions, including when his call to lift restrictions in 2022 was rejected when the city stayed aligned with China’s “zero COVID” doctrine of closed borders and quarantines.

  The self-described medical “detective” also faced complaints that put his license at risk after he described the seafood market in Wuhan, China — where the first cluster of COVID-19 cases was detected — as a “crime scene.”

  Today, Yuen chooses his words carefully and avoids political subjects, but he maintains that understanding the origins of COVID-19 is key.

  It is “important to properly do an investigation in a very open, transparent manner,” so lessons can be learned for future pandemic prevention, he said.

  The WHO has called on China to be more transparent about the pandemic’s origins, without making any firm conclusions on the source.

  Last year, Yuen set up the Pandemic Research Alliance with peers in China and the US to share information and research on future threats.

  “It is a bad idea to stop or inhibit these exchanges because it protects everyone,” he said. “If we do not talk about it ... then another pandemic comes, we have to pay a huge price again.”
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