Extremely vulnerable to climate change, not rich enough to stop it on their own, and not poor enough to depend on aid and development financing: the world’s small island countries are bracing for both fiscal and climate shocks.
Both will be high on the agenda this week as Small Island Developing States (SIDS), as they are formally known, met from yesterday to Thursday at their fourth UN Conference, in the Caribbean nation of Antigua and Barbuda.
Caught between rising debts and rising oceans, from the Caribbean to Africa to the Pacific, many SIDS share characteristics that make them especially vulnerable to external shocks: small landmasses home to scattered and isolated populations, with import dependent, non-diversified economies.
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Moreover, climate change — with its brutal droughts, powerful hurricanes and rising seas — is threatening to erase some of them from the map altogether.
“The next ten years are critical for SIDS,” reads the draft document set to be adopted at the UN conference, which brings together countries ranging from Asian economic heavyweight Singapore to Cape Verde in Africa to the Bahamas.
High on the agenda for the 39 states, whose populations number about 65 million people: increasing climate financing, even as many criticize the slow pace of fulfilling previous UN aid pledges.
“The harsh truth is for these countries, climate change is already a reality,” UN Development Programme (UNDP) Administrator Achim Steiner said. “Because of their smallness as economies ... one extreme weather event can literally throw a country back five to 10 years in its development.”
“One hurricane, one typhoon that crosses — by sheer lottery of bad luck — the terrain of a small island developing state can wipe out a third or more of the entire infrastructure of a country,” he added.
However, most small island states are classified as middle-income countries or higher — meaning that they are unable to access international aid and preferential financing available to the world’s poorest countries.
Additionally, many are facing strained debt loads. As a whole, the UN estimates SIDS would spend 15.9 percent of government revenues this year on interest alone.
“They are being trapped in a no-man’s-land where financing from the international community that is often a kind of safety net is simply not available to them,” Steiner said.
About US$4.7 billion to US$7.3 billion in financing is needed per year just for climate adaptation measures in SIDS countries, the UNDP said.
“SIDS cannot be left to drown in crises not of their own making. This would have catastrophic consequences for the entire world,” Samoan Ambassador to the UN Fatumanava-o-Upolu III Dr Pa’olelei Luteru said.
However, beyond seeking outside aid, many are also turning toward reforming their own economies.
Priorities include developing renewable energy sectors and engaging in the so-called “blue economy” of sustainable fishing and ocean conservation — a serious opportunity for SIDS countries, which account for 19 percent of the world’s exclusive economic zones.
Tourism, too, can be made more sustainable — though the specter of climate change hangs over these countries’ marine biodiversity and coral reefs, which draw scuba divers from across the world.
Even just getting there has increasingly come under scrutiny as airplane travel comes under fire for its heavy emissions — a sort of “double punishment,” Steiner said.
The effects of climate change also overlap with other issues many poor or otherwise marginalized people in small island countries face, which must be confronted domestically, Caribbean Natural Resources Institute executive director Nicole Leotaud said.
“They are already marginalized because they are poor,” she said. “They are already marginalized because of their gender or their race,” she said. “And these climate impacts are another layer of injustice to these people.”
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