US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken on Thursday left Dublin for Hanoi, hoping for progress toward upgrading relations with a key Asian trade partner that shares Washington’s worries about China’s growing might.
For Hanoi, it will be a delicate test: how to show openness to the US without angering China, a giant neighbor that supplies key inputs for Vietnam’s vital export trade, or Russia, another traditional partner.
It is a balancing act Vietnam has excelled at, but one that is turning more complex in a world appearing to divide into opposing blocs, with the US and its allies on one side and China and Russia on the other.
Photo: AFP
Blinken was scheduled to arrive in Hanoi yesterday and is to meet Vietnamese leaders today before heading to Tokyo for a meeting of the G7 nations.
It would be the first Hanoi visit by the secretary of state of US President Joe Biden’s administration, which took office in 2021, although US Vice President Kamala Harris visited in August of that year.
Washington is hoping for progress toward boosting relations to a “strategic” partnership from one that for the past decade has been called “comprehensive.”
Officials have not said what this closer relationship might entail.
Southeast Asia expert Murray Hiebert, who visited Vietnam in February and spoke with senior government officials, said it could include increased military cooperation and US weapons supplies.
However, he added that there were limits given Vietnam’s policy of not allowing foreign bases, foreign troops or alliances against other countries.
Hanoi has also been put off by the relatively high price of US arms and concerns that supplies could be blocked by US lawmakers on human rights grounds.
Blinken is also to formally break ground on a new US embassy compound in Hanoi, in what the top US diplomat for East Asia, Daniel Kritenbrink, called “a stunning new symbol” of the US’ commitment to an “enduring partnership and friendship.”
With the Vietnam War era an increasingly distant memory, Washington now considers Hanoi, in Kritenbrink’s words, “one of America’s most important partners in the region”.
Experts say the US broached formally elevating ties during the administration of former US president Donald Trump, but Hanoi was resistant, and has wavered amid escalating tensions between Washington and Beijing, which could react badly to the move.
Vietnam, while alarmed by China’s growing military and opposed to its rival claims in the South China Sea, has its vital economic ties with Beijing to consider.
Even so, Hanoi now appears amenable to upgraded ties with the US, Hiebert and other analysts said, although no announcement is expected during Blinken’s trip and will likely be saved for a higher-level exchange.
Last month saw a call between Biden and Vietnamese Communist Party General Secretary Nguyen Phu Trong, which, together with Blinken’s visit, could lead to a meeting between the two in July, the 10th anniversary of the existing formal bilateral partnership, analysts said.
“The chance of the United States and Vietnam upgrading their comprehensive partnership to a strategic level is higher with Blinken’s visit, because it will pave the way for a higher level meeting,” said Bich Tran, an adjunct fellow at Washington’s Center for Strategic and International Studies.
Kritenbrink said Washington was working to persuade Vietnam to diversify defense purchases away from Russia, something that “obviously would be in Vietnam’s interests and also would conform to US law.”
Human rights is another sensitive area, and hours ahead of Blinken’s arrival a US Department of State spokesperson condemned Vietnam’s jailing of a prominent political activist and said the bilateral partnership could only reach its full potential if the country improved its human rights record.
A Hanoi court on Wednesday sentenced Nguyen Lan Thang to six years in prison for conducting anti-state activities, his lawyer said, a case that has raised international concerns over Vietnam’s treatment of dissidents.
Thang participated in environmental and anti-China protests, voiced support for jailed activists and blogged about socio-political issues, according to his social media accounts.
On Thursday, Human Rights Watch called on Blinken to “publicly and privately urge Vietnam’s leadership to end its systemic abuse of freedom of expression, association and peaceful assembly.”
Kritenbrink said he was “confident” Blinken would raise rights concerns in Hanoi.
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