Deep in the mountains of Hsinchu County, a few dozen residents of Smangus are holding their daily morning meeting in a weatherboard hut, overlooking the towering peaks nearby.
The remote Indigenous village, home to about 200 people from the Atayal community, is preparing for Saturday’s presidential election. They take it very seriously, running their own polling station since 2008, and discussing candidates with all the residents.
“We normally don’t talk about politics [at the meeting] but the presidential election is a big deal,” says Lahuy Icyeh, a community leader. “The village elders encourage the tribe to choose who is best for Taiwan.”
Photo: Lee Jung-ping, Taipei Times
The vote will be Taiwan’s eighth direct presidential election since martial law ended in the late 1980s. The current president, Tsai Ing-wen (蔡英文), must step down due to term limits, and her current deputy, William Lai (賴清德), is running to keep the Democratic Progressive party (DPP) in power. He’s up against Hou You-yi (侯友宜) of the national opposition Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT), which ruled during the decades of authoritarianism, and the Taiwan People’s party (TPP), led by founder Ko Wen-je (柯文哲).
DOMESTIC ISSUES
The campaign has been dominated by the Chinese Communist party’s threat to annex Taiwan, but surveys have shown it is economic issues that are the main concern of voters, including low wages, housing affordability, energy security and inflation. In 2022, wages had the steepest yearly decline in 10 years, while housing in some Taiwanese cities ranks among the world’s most expensive relative to income.
Photo: Wang Shu-hsiu, Taipei Times
Inflation was lower than many other countries last year — 2.48 percent — but a series of extreme price rises on individual products such as eggs worsened perception of the cost of living.. There are also Care for children and the elderly, corruption, judicial reform, education and rights for minorities are also immediate concerns.
All three presidential candidates have made pledges addressing most big-ticket items but many of them are quite similar. Dafydd Fell, director of the Centre of Taiwan Studies at Soas University of London, says this has neutralized most debates except on the contentious future of Taiwan’s nuclear power plants. Publication of polling — which could show any potential impact of these pledges — is banned in the 10-day blackout period prior to the vote.
The Smangus community has clear asks: better assistance for elderly care, road improvements and land rights and transitional justice for Indigenous tribes. But the village, which operates a kibbutz-style economy, including shared land and housing, and a flat-salary jobshare system, is protected from some of the economic issues.
Photo: Huang Hsu-lei, Taipei Times
For them, the presidential election is about big picture themes, says Yarah Pihu, Smangus’s Presbyterian minister and a community leader.
“We want a president with an international perspective and a sense of Taiwanese identity.”
Masay Sulung a Smangus community leader, said: “I expect 90 percent of Smangus to vote for [William] Lai Ching-te. We have high expectations for Lai, he has a clear vision for the country.”
Photo courtesy of the office of Tseng Wen-Hsueh
At a DPP rally in Taipei, 20-year-old university students surnamed Huang and Chen say they support the DPP’s stance on gender issues, Taiwanese identity and care for the elderly. But there are signs that young people — who make up about 16 percent of the voting public — are moving away from the DPP, which is now seen by them as the establishment.
At a KMT rally, a 34-year-old man surnamed Liu says he’s switching from the DPP because he thinks governments should change frequently. In Guanxi township, Hsinchu County, one woman surnamed Lee, feels the same, but she doesn’t like Hou or Ko, so she’s just not going to vote.
CORRUPTION
Corruption is another major issue for most Taiwanese voters. Fell says political corruption is often the “most stressed issue in Taiwanese elections and has been the most influential issue in a number of local and national elections.”
“After eight years in office, you would expect the DPP to be threatened by this issue, and the KMT has made a number of accusations. But it is not entirely clear which side owns this issue,” he added.
Candidates have flung a dizzying range of accusations at each other, from plagiarism to illegal housing structures, dodgy income streams and other forms of corruption. Past local elections have seen allegations of vote-buying, bribery, voter intimidation and political links with organized crime.
“Taiwan’s local politics has been long dominated by ‘electoral machines’ — a system of voter mobilization through networks of patronage and local political factions — ever since the authoritarian era,” says Kevin Luo, assistant professor in the Department of Political Science at the University of Minnesota. “The entrenchment of the KMT party machine in Miaoli is a good example.”
According to the Taiwan Anti-Corruption and Whistleblower Protection Association, 11.6 percent of 1,677 city councilor candidates in 2022 had criminal records — more than 20 percent of them in Miaoli County, New Bloom Magazine reported.
On a Friday night, independent candidate Tseng Wen-Hsueh (曾玟學) is rallying a crowd of people at a temple in Miaoli County, on a platform of anti-corruption and political change. Party loyalty runs deep here among a diverse mix of ethnic groups and a high proportion of state-run employers in its large natural resources sector. In 72 years, Miaoli has never voted against the KMT, regardless of national trends. A popular joke refers to it as “Miaoli Nation.”
“Miaoli’s closed political environment allows those in power to do whatever they want,” Tseng tells the Observer. Most people struggle to imagine change after so long without it, he says. “So most of the people tend to continue to choose KMT for the sake of stability in their own lives. [But] if someone wins for the first time, the public will have confidence when they vote, this is the most important thing. The public will understand that this vote in hand can really bring about changes.”
Once known as Taiwan’s most remote village, Smangus only got electricity in 1980, and a road to neighboring villages in 1995. That road — a trail of switchback turns and fuel-sucking inclines, punctuated by the remnants of frequent landslides — is now busy with campaign trucks and candidate advertising.
But in Smangus the vote is largely decided. Since at least 2008, the village has voted for the DPP in almost direct inverse proportions to the pro-KMT region it sits in. But the main thing is that they will vote.
“We enjoyed democracy later than other places,” says Icyeh. “ It’s important to choose someone who can protect and lead Taiwan and appreciate our hard-won democracy.”
Last week saw the appearance of another odious screed full of lies from the People’s Republic of China (PRC) Ambassador to Australia, Xiao Qian (肖千), in the Financial Review, a major Australian paper. Xiao’s piece was presented without challenge or caveat. His “Seven truths on why Taiwan always will be China’s” presented a “greatest hits” of the litany of PRC falsehoods. This includes: Taiwan’s indigenous peoples were descended from the people of China 30,000 years ago; a “Chinese” imperial government administrated Taiwan in the 14th century; Koxinga, also known as Cheng Cheng-kung (鄭成功), “recovered” Taiwan for China; the Qing owned
In Taiwan’s politics the party chair is an extremely influential position. Typically this person is the presumed presidential candidate or serving president. In the last presidential election, two of the three candidates were also leaders of their party. Only one party chair race had been planned for this year, but with the Jan. 1 resignation by the currently indicted Ko Wen-je (柯文哲) of the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) two parties are now in play. If a challenger to acting Chairman Huang Kuo-chang (黃國昌) appears we will examine that race in more depth. Currently their election is set for Feb. 15. EXTREMELY
Jan. 20 to Jan. 26 Taipei was in a jubilant, patriotic mood on the morning of Jan. 25, 1954. Flags hung outside shops and residences, people chanted anti-communist slogans and rousing music blared from loudspeakers. The occasion was the arrival of about 14,000 Chinese prisoners from the Korean War, who had elected to head to Taiwan instead of being repatriated to China. The majority landed in Keelung over three days and were paraded through the capital to great fanfare. Air Force planes dropped colorful flyers, one of which read, “You’re back, you’re finally back. You finally overcame the evil communist bandits and
They increasingly own everything from access to space to how we get news on Earth and now outgoing President Joe Biden warns America’s new breed of Donald Trump-allied oligarchs could gobble up US democracy itself. Biden used his farewell speech to the nation to deliver a shockingly dark message: that a nation which has always revered its entrepreneurs may now be at their mercy. “An oligarchy is taking shape in America of extreme wealth, power and influence that literally threatens our entire democracy, our basic rights and freedoms,” Biden said. He named no names, but his targets were clear: men like Elon Musk