In the foothills of Taiwan’s mountainous spine, reservoirs are running dry as the island experiences its worst drought in decades — a crisis that risks deepening an already acute global semiconductor shortage.
Taiwan is home to some of the world’s biggest and most advanced high-tech foundries, a linchpin of a global US$450 billion industry that provides the computing power for essential devices, but is extremely water-intensive.
The coronavirus pandemic sparked a global run on microchips as consumers snapped up electronics — causing a dearth that Taiwan’s microchip factories were struggling to plug even before the drought hit.
Photo: AFP
Those foundries are already running at full capacity trying to meet demand.
But the sudden lack of rain is making a bad situation worse for a manufacturing process that uses billions of gallons of water a year to stave off contamination of its products.
“From notebooks, monitors, TVs, smartphones, tablets to cars, there is an overall shortage of chips. We haven’t seen anything like this before,” said Eric Li, a spokesman for Himax Technologies, which designs chips used in screen displays.
Photo: AFP
Taiwan is one of the world’s wetter places, with an annual rainfall of 2,600 millimeters.
Typhoons regularly slam into the island from the east during the rainy season and replenish reservoirs.
But for the first time in 56 years, no typhoon made landfall in Taiwan last year.
And, during the first three months of this year, rainfall has been less than 40 percent of the usual rate.
In southern Taiwan, levels at the largest reservoir Tsengwen have fallen to a 15-year low at less than 12 percent capacity while the Baihe reservoir is completely dry.
WATER RATIONING
Earlier this month the government imposed water rationing for more than one million households and businesses in central Taiwan. Many farmers’ fields are having to go without and homes have taps cut off for two days a week.
The island’s three major science parks, where many leading tech companies are based, have been ordered to slash water usage by up to 15 percent.
“This has started to make semiconductor factories nervous when they have more semiconductor orders,” said Iris Pang (彭藹嬈), ING Bank NV chief economist for Greater China, who said the current chip shortage would probably last into next year and possibly into 2023.
“This is because demand is likely to rise along with the global recovery but building new production lines can be a slow process.”
Taiwan’s chip foundries are already struggling to meet soaring demand for semiconductors. In the car industry, which canceled many chip orders early in the pandemic, the crunch has got so bad that major automakers such as Ford, Nissan and Volkswagen have scaled back production, leading to estimates of some US$60 billion in lost revenue for this year. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC), the world’s largest contract microchip maker, has said it is operating at full capacity “with demand from every sector.”
Making semiconductors is a hugely water intensive process throughout the manufacturing process, from cleaning the chips themselves, keeping state of the art foundries hyper-sterile and washing away waste chemicals.
TSMC alone used 156,000 metric tons of water a day across Taiwan’s three science industrial parks in 2019 — the equivalent of 60 Olympic-size swimming pools.
The company is among chipmakers who have started trucking in water to its foundries and has played down concerns that the drought will further hit production.
“TSMC has always maintained contingency plans for each stage of water restrictions... So far there’s no impact on production,” it said in a statement.
This month TSMC said it was planning to invest US$100 billion over the next three years to build new production lines.
CONCENTRATION IN ASIA
Alan Patterson from industry magazine EE Times said water shortages were unlikely to seriously impact chipmakers at this point.
But there is a danger in “the potential overbooking of semiconductor orders.”
“Given the urgent need to secure supplies of chips, some companies may be ordering more supplies than they actually need,” he said. But a prolonged drought could start to hit manufacturing.
And some critics have urged Taiwan to dig more wells to make up for periods of rainfall shortages, especially as climate change leads to less predictable weather patterns.
The chip shortage has also focused attention on how the vast majority of semi-conductors — especially the thinnest ones vital for the latest 5G technologies — are made in just two places, Taiwan and South Korea.
TSMC has announced plans to build a new facility in Arizona as part of a push to diversify its global supply chain.
US chip rival Intel has also unveiled plans to spend US$20 billion building two new plants in Arizona as part of a plan to boost production at home and in Europe.
“Having 80 percent of all supply in Asia simply isn’t a palatable manner for the world to have its view of the most critical technology,” Intel chief executive Pat Gelsinger told the BBC.
“And the world needs a more balanced supply chain to accomplish that.”
Feb. 17 to Feb. 23 “Japanese city is bombed,” screamed the banner in bold capital letters spanning the front page of the US daily New Castle News on Feb. 24, 1938. This was big news across the globe, as Japan had not been bombarded since Western forces attacked Shimonoseki in 1864. “Numerous Japanese citizens were killed and injured today when eight Chinese planes bombed Taihoku, capital of Formosa, and other nearby cities in the first Chinese air raid anywhere in the Japanese empire,” the subhead clarified. The target was the Matsuyama Airfield (today’s Songshan Airport in Taipei), which
China has begun recruiting for a planetary defense force after risk assessments determined that an asteroid could conceivably hit Earth in 2032. Job ads posted online by China’s State Administration of Science, Technology and Industry for National Defence (SASTIND) this week, sought young loyal graduates focused on aerospace engineering, international cooperation and asteroid detection. The recruitment drive comes amid increasing focus on an asteroid with a low — but growing — likelihood of hitting earth in seven years. The 2024 YR4 asteroid is at the top of the European and US space agencies’ risk lists, and last week analysts increased their probability
On Jan. 17, Beijing announced that it would allow residents of Shanghai and Fujian Province to visit Taiwan. The two sides are still working out the details. President William Lai (賴清德) has been promoting cross-strait tourism, perhaps to soften the People’s Republic of China’s (PRC) attitudes, perhaps as a sop to international and local opinion leaders. Likely the latter, since many observers understand that the twin drivers of cross-strait tourism — the belief that Chinese tourists will bring money into Taiwan, and the belief that tourism will create better relations — are both false. CHINESE TOURISM PIPE DREAM Back in July
Could Taiwan’s democracy be at risk? There is a lot of apocalyptic commentary right now suggesting that this is the case, but it is always a conspiracy by the other guys — our side is firmly on the side of protecting democracy and always has been, unlike them! The situation is nowhere near that bleak — yet. The concern is that the power struggle between the opposition Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) and their now effectively pan-blue allies the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) and the ruling Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) intensifies to the point where democratic functions start to break down. Both