Nicaragua continues to make headlines for all the wrong reasons. In May, it was reported that Nicaraguan President Daniel Ortega had exiled Sheynnis Palacios, the reigning Miss Universe, and her family from the country. The ban is disappointing, but predictable for a government that has become increasingly authoritarian, repressive and paranoid, especially since mass protests erupted over proposed social security reforms in 2018.
Palacios’ “crime” was inspiring celebrations in the streets of Managua in November, following her unexpected Miss Universe win — the first for Nicaragua and Central America. Gatherings on this scale had not occurred since the 2018 protests, which were met with brutal violence: Ortega’s regime killed more than 300 people and even criminalized the Nicaraguan flag. At her crowning, Palacios, who had participated in the anti-government demonstrations, wore a blue and white dress that was widely interpreted as a nod to the flag, but did not say anything overtly political. At first, the government viewed her win as a rare, public relations victory, before abruptly changing course and saying the Miss Nicaragua pageant director was plotting a coup.
By targeting Palacios and her family, Ortega’s regime is sending a clear message: Dissidence and opposition, whether real or perceived, would not be tolerated in Nicaragua. That is true even for international figures and apolitical platforms such as the Miss Universe pageant. Such a severe clampdown is indicative of a rogue government unwilling to meet its international obligations.
That is why the international community must pay closer attention to Ortega’s dictatorial behavior, which has so far been overlooked or met with toothless resolutions and ineffective sanctions (a notable exception is the latest round of US sanctions on gold, Nicaragua’s top commodity export). For decades, Ortega’s government has chipped away at individual rights and the rule of law — a process that has accelerated sharply over the past six years. This disturbing descent into full-blown authoritarianism should concern Nicaragua’s neighbors, the US and other democracies.
Since the 2018 protests, the Nicaraguan government has shut down more than 45 media outlets, arresting journalists and confiscating their property. During the 2021 elections, Ortega jailed nearly 40 political opponents and barred any credible opposition parties. As of May, the government is detaining 11 religious leaders without access to legal counsel. More worryingly, no one seems to be safe from Ortega’s predatory regime: The government has expropriated more than US$250 million worth of private assets, not just from businesses, but also from universities and NGOs, supposedly for the benefit of the poor.
Nicaragua is a small country, but its turn away from democracy has far-reaching geopolitical implications. Ortega’s alliances with some of the world’s most authoritarian regimes, including Russia, China and Iran, threaten to destabilize Central America. The region already struggles with political volatility, the delivery of basic services, high levels of migration, violent crime and physical insecurity, all of which could worsen as autocratic leaders gain influence.
The forced exile of Palacios might sound like the plot of a bad film, but it is not an isolated incident. The banishing of a beauty queen is a symptom of a much larger crisis and a stark reminder of the systemic and long-term erosion of democratic norms in Nicaragua. The international response must be unequivocal.
The response to authoritarian rulers typically includes public statements, sanctions and diplomatic isolation, which the US, Canada and the EU have already implemented against Ortega’s government. However, his regime’s continued use of repressive tactics calls into question these measures’ efficacy. International policymakers must therefore re-evaluate their approach and act more assertively. That could mean imposing more targeted sanctions (similar to those on the gold sector), increasing support for exiled Nicaraguan activists and politicians, referring the situation to the International Criminal Court for investigation, and pressuring the multilateral development banks providing finance to the country to improve oversight and demand accountability.
Ortega’s continued efforts to silence dissent and consolidate power violate Nicaraguans’ human rights, undermine regional stability and weaken democratic norms. The window for peaceful resolution is narrowing, and Western governments must act quickly to help reverse Nicaragua’s authoritarian drift.
Maria Fernanda Bozmoski is deputy director of the Atlantic Council’s Adrienne Arsht Latin America Center.Copyright: Project Syndicate
In their recent op-ed “Trump Should Rein In Taiwan” in Foreign Policy magazine, Christopher Chivvis and Stephen Wertheim argued that the US should pressure President William Lai (賴清德) to “tone it down” to de-escalate tensions in the Taiwan Strait — as if Taiwan’s words are more of a threat to peace than Beijing’s actions. It is an old argument dressed up in new concern: that Washington must rein in Taipei to avoid war. However, this narrative gets it backward. Taiwan is not the problem; China is. Calls for a so-called “grand bargain” with Beijing — where the US pressures Taiwan into concessions
The term “assassin’s mace” originates from Chinese folklore, describing a concealed weapon used by a weaker hero to defeat a stronger adversary with an unexpected strike. In more general military parlance, the concept refers to an asymmetric capability that targets a critical vulnerability of an adversary. China has found its modern equivalent of the assassin’s mace with its high-altitude electromagnetic pulse (HEMP) weapons, which are nuclear warheads detonated at a high altitude, emitting intense electromagnetic radiation capable of disabling and destroying electronics. An assassin’s mace weapon possesses two essential characteristics: strategic surprise and the ability to neutralize a core dependency.
Chinese President and Chinese Communist Party (CCP) Chairman Xi Jinping (習近平) said in a politburo speech late last month that his party must protect the “bottom line” to prevent systemic threats. The tone of his address was grave, revealing deep anxieties about China’s current state of affairs. Essentially, what he worries most about is systemic threats to China’s normal development as a country. The US-China trade war has turned white hot: China’s export orders have plummeted, Chinese firms and enterprises are shutting up shop, and local debt risks are mounting daily, causing China’s economy to flag externally and hemorrhage internally. China’s
During the “426 rally” organized by the Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) and the Taiwan People’s Party under the slogan “fight green communism, resist dictatorship,” leaders from the two opposition parties framed it as a battle against an allegedly authoritarian administration led by President William Lai (賴清德). While criticism of the government can be a healthy expression of a vibrant, pluralistic society, and protests are quite common in Taiwan, the discourse of the 426 rally nonetheless betrayed troubling signs of collective amnesia. Specifically, the KMT, which imposed 38 years of martial law in Taiwan from 1949 to 1987, has never fully faced its