With tensions between China and the Philippines heating up, face-offs have not only occurred in the South China Sea, but the Philippines also skipped the Western Pacific Naval Symposium — which received delegations from 29 countries, including the US — hosted by China.
Lately, many Chinese exchange students have flocked to Cagayan province in the northern Philippine island of Luzon, leading to a surging enrollment in private universities in Tuguegarao City.
The unexpected influx of Chinese students might trigger concern for the Philippine government as the province hosts two military bases that could be used by US troops under the two-nation Enhanced Defense Cooperation Agreement.
However, Tuguegarao Mayor Maila Ting Que told Philippines-based ABS-CBN news station in a virtual interview: “We’ve been fighting so hard to promote educational tourism, now it is being eroded, it is being questioned.”
The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) always stirs up divisions in other countries, which can be seen in Taiwan, as some city mayors and county commissioners have acted similarly.
As the world’s most populous country, China takes advantage of its population to infiltrate other countries.
More than 46,000 Chinese “stowaways” have entered the US in the past two years, and many of them are adults, fueling fears that the CCP might send undercover personnel or troops to the US, Republican presidential candidate and former US president Donald Trump said in an interview early this month.
Official data showed that the number of Chinese asylum seekers in the US was increasing, with US border patrol officers arresting 182 Chinese at the southern border on Tuesday alone. The number of Chinese stowaways has surpassed the number of Mexican citizens that pass through the San Diego border crossing. Last year, 37,000 Chinese were arrested at the southern border — 50 times the number from two years ago.
Routes and approaches for illegal immigration have been publicly posted on Douyin (抖音) without any prohibition by the Chinese government, making it hard to distinguish between those who are legitimate asylum seekers from those assigned with “special tasks.”
China has sent “stowaways” for decades using different routes, and the US government should investigate whether those Chinese in the US who have obtained political asylum are opposed to China or lying to the US authorities.
CIA Director William Burns on Thursday last week said that the US still has several challenges to contend with regarding China, as Chinese President Xi Jinping (習近平) is “determined in the course of his political lifetime to control Taiwan.”
It “doesn’t mean that he’s planning to invade tomorrow or next month or next year, but it means we have to take very seriously that ambition,” he added.
FBI Director Christopher Wray also warned on the same day that CCP-sponsored cyberactors have positioned themselves and are waiting to launch devastating attacks on critical US infrastructure.
With similar opinions being expressed by two major US intelligence agencies, has the US become disillusioned with China?
Several US officials have visited China recently to communicate with the CCP, and US Secretary of State Antony Blinken is currently on his second visit to China in less than a year.
The US’ behavior is confusing. Does it want to make a false show of civility or does it want to sincerely collaborate with China, aiming to persuade Xi to stop oppressing Taiwan and supporting Russia? Nobody knows.
Paul Lin is a political commentator.
Translated by Chien Yan-ru
In their recent op-ed “Trump Should Rein In Taiwan” in Foreign Policy magazine, Christopher Chivvis and Stephen Wertheim argued that the US should pressure President William Lai (賴清德) to “tone it down” to de-escalate tensions in the Taiwan Strait — as if Taiwan’s words are more of a threat to peace than Beijing’s actions. It is an old argument dressed up in new concern: that Washington must rein in Taipei to avoid war. However, this narrative gets it backward. Taiwan is not the problem; China is. Calls for a so-called “grand bargain” with Beijing — where the US pressures Taiwan into concessions
The term “assassin’s mace” originates from Chinese folklore, describing a concealed weapon used by a weaker hero to defeat a stronger adversary with an unexpected strike. In more general military parlance, the concept refers to an asymmetric capability that targets a critical vulnerability of an adversary. China has found its modern equivalent of the assassin’s mace with its high-altitude electromagnetic pulse (HEMP) weapons, which are nuclear warheads detonated at a high altitude, emitting intense electromagnetic radiation capable of disabling and destroying electronics. An assassin’s mace weapon possesses two essential characteristics: strategic surprise and the ability to neutralize a core dependency.
Chinese President and Chinese Communist Party (CCP) Chairman Xi Jinping (習近平) said in a politburo speech late last month that his party must protect the “bottom line” to prevent systemic threats. The tone of his address was grave, revealing deep anxieties about China’s current state of affairs. Essentially, what he worries most about is systemic threats to China’s normal development as a country. The US-China trade war has turned white hot: China’s export orders have plummeted, Chinese firms and enterprises are shutting up shop, and local debt risks are mounting daily, causing China’s economy to flag externally and hemorrhage internally. China’s
US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping (習近平) were born under the sign of Gemini. Geminis are known for their intelligence, creativity, adaptability and flexibility. It is unlikely, then, that the trade conflict between the US and China would escalate into a catastrophic collision. It is more probable that both sides would seek a way to de-escalate, paving the way for a Trump-Xi summit that allows the global economy some breathing room. Practically speaking, China and the US have vulnerabilities, and a prolonged trade war would be damaging for both. In the US, the electoral system means that public opinion