Japan and Taiwan have struggled to escape their postwar legacies and the “normalization” of the state. Japan has had to address its relationship with its neighbors, including China, the two Koreas and, to a lesser degree, Taiwan — or at least the Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) forces that previously governed the nation and which now form the biggest opposition party — as a result of the actions of imperial Japan during World War II. Taiwan is still unsure of its national identity, despite Japan having relinquished colonial control in 1945, in large part because the KMT refuses to acknowledge that it lost China to the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) in 1949.
On Wednesday last week, former president Ma Ying-jeou (馬英九), as the head of the Ma Ying-jeou Foundation, met with Chinese President Xi Jinping (習近平) in Beijing. He said that his visit was a mission of peace to open up the possibility for further exchanges with China and a channel of communication with the CCP. Xi was the picture of welcome and friendship. Ma appeared overjoyed. Both men sought to convey that both sides of the Taiwan Strait share a history and a destiny. Even though Ma was there as a private citizen, the perception was of warm relations between former foes, the CCP and the KMT.
The next day, Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida delivered a speech to the US Congress. During World War II, Japan and the US had been enemies, but much has changed since then. Kishida spoke of the warm relations between the two countries, and of how Japan had transformed itself from being “a reticent ally recovering from the devastation of World War II” to a “strong, committed ally, looking outward to the world.”
He lauded the US for its policy “based on the premise that humanity does not want to live oppressed by an authoritarian state, where you are tracked and surveilled and denied from expressing what is in your heart and on your mind.” He warned that the world is at an inflection point that would define the future of humanity.
He also said that the US-Japan partnership goes “beyond the bilateral” and includes cooperation and friendship with other nations, including South Korea. China was the exception, as the CCP’s foreign policy and military actions present an unprecedented challenge not only to Japan, but to the entire international community.
The world order is changing. Japan knows which side it is on: It is with the US, the democratic world and the established international world order. That is the trajectory President Tsai Ing-wen (蔡英文) has followed, and which her successor, William Lai (賴清德), would presumably continue. There is no guarantee this is the path that Taiwan will always take.
Ma called his trip one of “peace and friendship.” It was more than that. He has thrown in his lot not just with the “Chinese nation,” but with the CCP. The KMT and the CCP were once mortal enemies, but Ma and Xi share a longstanding desire to see the unification of China and Taiwan. To achieve that goal — against the wishes of the majority of Taiwanese — Ma is willing to consign Taiwan to oppression by an authoritarian state, where they would be tracked, surveilled and denied from expressing what is in their hearts and on their minds.
Before Ma’s trip, foundation director Hsiao Hsu-tsen (蕭旭岑) said that the KMT did not support the idea. On Tuesday, KMT Chairman Eric Chu (朱立倫) denied this, saying that the party had given the idea its blessing from the outset. He needs to clarify what he means by this.
The US election result will significantly impact its foreign policy with global implications. As tensions escalate in the Taiwan Strait and conflicts elsewhere draw attention away from the western Pacific, Taiwan was closely monitoring the election, as many believe that whoever won would confront an increasingly assertive China, especially with speculation over a potential escalation in or around 2027. A second Donald Trump presidency naturally raises questions concerning the future of US policy toward China and Taiwan, with Trump displaying mixed signals as to his position on the cross-strait conflict. US foreign policy would also depend on Trump’s Cabinet and
The Taiwanese have proven to be resilient in the face of disasters and they have resisted continuing attempts to subordinate Taiwan to the People’s Republic of China (PRC). Nonetheless, the Taiwanese can and should do more to become even more resilient and to be better prepared for resistance should the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) try to annex Taiwan. President William Lai (賴清德) argues that the Taiwanese should determine their own fate. This position continues the Democratic Progressive Party’s (DPP) tradition of opposing the CCP’s annexation of Taiwan. Lai challenges the CCP’s narrative by stating that Taiwan is not subordinate to the
Republican candidate and former US president Donald Trump is to be the 47th president of the US after beating his Democratic rival, US Vice President Kamala Harris, in the election on Tuesday. Trump’s thumping victory — winning 295 Electoral College votes against Harris’ 226 as of press time last night, along with the Republicans winning control of the US Senate and possibly the House of Representatives — is a remarkable political comeback from his 2020 defeat to US President Joe Biden, and means Trump has a strong political mandate to implement his agenda. What does Trump’s victory mean for Taiwan, Asia, deterrence
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