The Marshall Islands and Tuvalu have reaffirmed their ties with Taiwan, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs said on Monday, dispelling a rumor that Tuvalu might switch official diplomatic ties to Beijing.
The rumor, which came from an Australian publication’s interview with Tuvaluan Ambassador to Taiwan Bikenibeu Paeniu, suggested that Tuvalu would follow Nauru’s switching of ties from Taipei to Beijing. Nauru severed ties with Taipei on Sunday last week after the election of president-elect William Lai (賴清德), in an act widely seen as coercion by Beijing against Taiwan’s ruling Democratic Progressive Party (DPP).
It is good that the Marshall Islands and Tuvalu would choose to remain Taiwan’s allies, but not for the recognition of Taiwan’s sovereignty that this relationship affords. China has used its poaching of Taiwan’s allies to pressure the DPP, and the Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) is highly critical of the DPP whenever an ally severs ties. In particular, KMT officials have used the severances as a basis for criticism of the administration of President Tsai Ing-wen (蔡英文), who has refused to accept China’s so-called “1992 consensus” — a tacit agreement between the KMT and Beijing that there is only “one China.”
Arguably, the KMT’s criticisms of Tsai in these instances amounts to collusion with the Chinese Communist Party, as could be said of some KMT candidates’ comments while campaigning in this year’s general elections, when they said that a vote for the DPP would be a vote for war with China.
If a friend is easily bought off by one’s enemy, then they were never a friend to begin with. Many of the former allies that severed ties with Taiwan over Tsai’s eight years in office were countries that could not offer good economic or military partnerships. They might have spoken up for Taiwan’s inclusion in UN organizations, but they often demanded hefty financial sums in return. There was little substance to these largely symbolic relationships, and they cost Taiwan’s taxpayers.
Taiwan must focus on fostering mutually beneficial relationships, regardless of their official nature. Taiwan has increased trade with Japan, Southeast Asian countries, the US and the EU. It has also ramped up academic and other exchanges, and opened Mandarin language schools in the US, the UK, France, Germany and elsewhere.
Taiwan-Asia Exchange Foundation and George H.W. Bush Foundation for US-China Relations research fellow Sana Hashmi in a Taipei Times op-ed article published on Dec. 29 last year underscored the importance of Taiwan continuing to seek closer ties with India and other countries concerned over Chinese aggression. India began rethinking its relationship with China following border skirmishes and is more receptive to Taiwan due to measures such as the New Southbound Policy, she wrote.
“Taiwan’s proactive approach became especially significant amid the concurrent decline in relations with China, which created a strategic window for Taiwan when China was constraining its international presence,” she wrote.
Japanese leaders have also increasingly expressed interest in closer ties with Taiwan due to perceived threats from China, and EU leaders have increasingly re-evaluated ties with China over trade imbalances and questions over its support for Russia’s war in Ukraine.
“It would be paramount for [Taiwan’s] incoming president to maintain the momentum achieved on the foreign policy front, especially considering the cautious approach adopted by countries toward Taiwan in the past,” Hashmi wrote.
Countries interested in ties with Taiwan still have disproportionate trade ties favoring China. Many countries seek to “de-risk” these ties, and Taiwan could play a key role, but it must proactively encourage countries to take risks involved with establishing closer ties. The more countries that distance themselves from China, the less threatening it becomes, and Taiwan should actively encourage that trend.
Taiwan’s semiconductor industry gives it a strategic advantage, but that advantage would be threatened as the US seeks to end Taiwan’s monopoly in the industry and as China grows more assertive, analysts said at a security dialogue last week. While the semiconductor industry is Taiwan’s “silicon shield,” its dominance has been seen by some in the US as “a monopoly,” South Korea’s Sungkyunkwan University academic Kwon Seok-joon said at an event held by the Center for Strategic and International Studies. In addition, Taiwan lacks sufficient energy sources and is vulnerable to natural disasters and geopolitical threats from China, he said.
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