In an interview published by The Australian newspaper on June 25, Minister of Foreign Affairs Joseph Wu (吳釗燮) suggested posting a “military attache” at the Australian Office in Taipei to liaise with Taiwan’s national security agencies.
As both Taiwan and Australia face a military threat from China, Wu said that this could help the two nations cooperate, showing that Canberra wants “to understand our perspectives on how to prevent the worst from happening.”
There is no military exchange between Taiwan and Australia. As the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) continually expands militarily in the South Pacific, China’s threat against peace in the Taiwan Strait and the Indo-Pacific region’s security grows daily. If the two nations could exchange military attaches, these could serve as “contact windows” for military liaison, and even expand security cooperation, signaling to the world their willingness to work together for regional peace.
Australia has been concerned about the situation in the Strait and is standing by the US in preventing the CCP’s military expansion and sovereignty disputes over the South China Sea. About 2,500 US Marines are stationed in Darwin. The Australian military has a total strength of just over 60,000 troops, but it is a sharp, smart and strong elite force despite its small size.
As China is a major security factor in the Asia-Pacific region, Australia in March 2001 formed the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue with the US, Japan and India, and the Trilateral Security Partnership (AUKUS) with the UK and the US since September of that year. Both groups aim to cooperate with allies to maintain regional peace.
To demonstrate its commitment to contain the CCP, the Australian government is to spend A$270 billion (US$185 billion) over the next 10 years to boost its defense sector, and focus its military buildout on two strategic weapons: drones and nuclear-powered submarines.
In February this year, Australia’s first indigenously developed military drone debuted at the Australian International Airshow in Melbourne. The Strix drone features vertical takeoff and landing capabilities and can be converted to conventional flight mode, with all the advantages of conventional aircraft and helicopters. With a flight range of up to 800km, the drone can also be equipped with the Australian Army’s Razor precision strike missiles, and can carry out reconnaissance, search, surveillance and even air-to-ground attack missions. It is scheduled to enter service in 2026.
Submarines would be another key focus of Australia’s national defense. The UK Defence Journal reported in March that Australia’s first SSN-AUKUS-class nuclear-powered attack submarine designed by the UK and the US would be built in the UK. The second one would be built later in Australia. Then, one submarine would be built there every three years. It is estimated that by 2050, Australia would have completed eight submarines to establish a nuclear-powered submarine fleet, which would be crucial to defending the nation’s coastline against the Chinese threat.
Taiwan should seize this strategic opportunity and work hard to surmount difficulties to promote security cooperation between the two countries, such as intelligence exchanges, cooperation between defense think tanks, cyberwarfare, humanitarian relief and other issues.
Drones and submarines are precisely the two strategic weapons that are the key development items during Taiwan’s push for “national defense autonomy” today, so there is much room for future military exchanges between Taiwan and Australia.
Yao Chung-yuan is a professor and former deputy director of the Ministry of National Defense’s strategic planning department.
Translated by Eddy Chang
In their recent op-ed “Trump Should Rein In Taiwan” in Foreign Policy magazine, Christopher Chivvis and Stephen Wertheim argued that the US should pressure President William Lai (賴清德) to “tone it down” to de-escalate tensions in the Taiwan Strait — as if Taiwan’s words are more of a threat to peace than Beijing’s actions. It is an old argument dressed up in new concern: that Washington must rein in Taipei to avoid war. However, this narrative gets it backward. Taiwan is not the problem; China is. Calls for a so-called “grand bargain” with Beijing — where the US pressures Taiwan into concessions
The term “assassin’s mace” originates from Chinese folklore, describing a concealed weapon used by a weaker hero to defeat a stronger adversary with an unexpected strike. In more general military parlance, the concept refers to an asymmetric capability that targets a critical vulnerability of an adversary. China has found its modern equivalent of the assassin’s mace with its high-altitude electromagnetic pulse (HEMP) weapons, which are nuclear warheads detonated at a high altitude, emitting intense electromagnetic radiation capable of disabling and destroying electronics. An assassin’s mace weapon possesses two essential characteristics: strategic surprise and the ability to neutralize a core dependency.
Chinese President and Chinese Communist Party (CCP) Chairman Xi Jinping (習近平) said in a politburo speech late last month that his party must protect the “bottom line” to prevent systemic threats. The tone of his address was grave, revealing deep anxieties about China’s current state of affairs. Essentially, what he worries most about is systemic threats to China’s normal development as a country. The US-China trade war has turned white hot: China’s export orders have plummeted, Chinese firms and enterprises are shutting up shop, and local debt risks are mounting daily, causing China’s economy to flag externally and hemorrhage internally. China’s
US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping (習近平) were born under the sign of Gemini. Geminis are known for their intelligence, creativity, adaptability and flexibility. It is unlikely, then, that the trade conflict between the US and China would escalate into a catastrophic collision. It is more probable that both sides would seek a way to de-escalate, paving the way for a Trump-Xi summit that allows the global economy some breathing room. Practically speaking, China and the US have vulnerabilities, and a prolonged trade war would be damaging for both. In the US, the electoral system means that public opinion