In early March, French President Emmanuel Macron visited four African nations — Angola, the Republic of the Congo, the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Gabon — on the resource-rich Gulf of Guinea.
The trip, his 18th to Africa, was aimed at countering China and Russia’s charm offensive on the continent, as they are bolstering their presence in places once considered part of France’s sphere of influence: pre carre francais.
Before embarking on the tour, Macron candidly said that France was in a “period of transition” with its African partners, as it worked to develop relationships built on more than just security.
However, he was quick to add that none of France’s six military bases on the continent would be shut down as part of this rebalancing, underscoring the challenges that African countries face in disentangling economic growth and development objectives from security concerns, to which they have long been subordinated.
Macron’s insistence on the need to maintain France’s military presence in Africa — albeit with a smaller footprint — contrasts sharply with the views of young Africans, who are increasingly opposed to foreign military presence on the continent.
Strangely, the French agree more with Africans than with their own president: A recent poll by the French Institute of Public Opinion found that 55 percent of French favor closing their country’s military bases in Africa.
The relationship between France and Africa exemplifies then-British prime minister Benjamin Disraeli’s assertion in 1863: “Colonies do not cease to be colonies because they are independent.”
The resilience of the French colonial umbilical cord is evident in several domains of development and statecraft, including security, economic and monetary policy, and foreign policy.
The war in Ukraine is a case in point. When, in March last year, 25 of Africa’s 54 countries either abstained or did not submit a vote on the UN’s resolution condemning Russia’s invasion, Macron criticized their “hypocrisy.”
Since then, France and other Western powers have deployed immense financial and diplomatic resources to support Ukraine, in stark contrast with the crisis in the Sahel.
For more than a decade, terrorist groups have been destabilizing the region, laying waste to countless communities. Yet this issue has received scant attention globally, and the West has been unable to respond effectively.
Besides demonstrating the lopsided global response to conflicts in Europe, the Ukraine crisis has also highlighted the imbalance between France’s dealings with Russia and its engagement with former colonies.
In 2021, French foreign direct investment in Russia was more than US$3 billion, dwarfing its total foreign direct investment in former African colonies, estimated at a paltry US$268 million.
Even more interesting is the composition of these investments.
France’s investment in Russia has a strong manufacturing component, which is highly labor-intensive and better at delivering inclusive growth than the extraction of natural resources — the main focus of such inflows to Africa.
At the St Petersburg International Economic Forum in 2018, Macron said that “French enterprises employ 106,000 Russian citizens.”
Before divesting from the sanctioned country, French automaker Renault alone employed 45,000 Russians.
While Renault created thousands of jobs in Russia, streets in France’s former African colonies are congested with imported vehicles — a major source of these countries’ external imbalances.
This excessive reliance on imports increases the region’s vulnerability to global volatility, exports jobs and, in some economies, has generated unemployment rates higher than 20 percent, which only fuels the northward migration that European states have been seeking to curb.
On the other hand, many African countries possess the raw materials needed to manufacture vehicles, including electric vehicles that are crucial in the fight against climate change.
Equally damaging is the CFA franc, which, unlike sterling and escudo, persists as one of the most visible relics of colonialism.
Established in 1945, the French-backed currency is pegged to the euro and still used in two monetary zones in West and Central Africa.
Macron attempted to reform the system at the end of 2019, announcing the replacement of the CFA franc with the “eco” in eight countries, but this has yet to be adopted.
However, even with this change, France’s guarantee continues to undermine monetary sovereignty and the currency’s peg with the euro continues to undercut competitiveness and industrialization.
These adverse effects of the colonial development model of resource extraction have impeded diversification and left Africa’s real economy with the short end of the globalization stick.
Although Africa accounts for about 17 percent of the world’s population, it accounts for only 3 percent of world exports in a rapidly changing global economic environment where trade has been largely driven by manufactured goods with increasing technological content.
The social costs are immense. French multinational Orano — formerly Areva — has been extracting Nigerien uranium for decades while receiving a range of tax breaks and benefits.
This arrangement with its former colony has positioned France as one of the main uranium exporters and a global leader in nuclear energy, mitigating its exposure to shortages stemming from Europe’s restrictions on imports of Russian hydrocarbons.
However, Niger remains one of the world’s most impoverished countries. Less than 20 percent of its population has access to electricity.
Former French colonial minister Albert Sarraut, who served from 1920 to 1924 and from 1932 1933, best captured the intent of the imperial economy.
“Economically, a colonial possession means to the home country simply a privileged market whence it will draw the raw materials it needs, dumping its own manufactures in return,” he said.
Even today, more than 80 percent of African countries remain dependent on primary commodities and suffer disproportionately from recurrent balance of payments crises that undermine fiscal and debt sustainability.
In an increasingly competitive geopolitical environment, Macron’s ambition to redefine France’s role in Africa is to be welcomed.
However, any such effort must decouple security concerns from development goals and transcend neocolonial dynamics.
In a world where technological innovation is accelerating, and the divide between developed and developing countries is widening, African countries are seeking meaningful integration into the global economy.
If the French fail to facilitate this process, plenty of other geopolitical actors are waiting in the wings.
Hippolyte Fofack is chief economist and director of research at the African Export-Import Bank.
Copyright: Project Syndicate.
The return of US president-elect Donald Trump to the White House has injected a new wave of anxiety across the Taiwan Strait. For Taiwan, an island whose very survival depends on the delicate and strategic support from the US, Trump’s election victory raises a cascade of questions and fears about what lies ahead. His approach to international relations — grounded in transactional and unpredictable policies — poses unique risks to Taiwan’s stability, economic prosperity and geopolitical standing. Trump’s first term left a complicated legacy in the region. On the one hand, his administration ramped up arms sales to Taiwan and sanctioned
The Taiwanese have proven to be resilient in the face of disasters and they have resisted continuing attempts to subordinate Taiwan to the People’s Republic of China (PRC). Nonetheless, the Taiwanese can and should do more to become even more resilient and to be better prepared for resistance should the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) try to annex Taiwan. President William Lai (賴清德) argues that the Taiwanese should determine their own fate. This position continues the Democratic Progressive Party’s (DPP) tradition of opposing the CCP’s annexation of Taiwan. Lai challenges the CCP’s narrative by stating that Taiwan is not subordinate to the
US president-elect Donald Trump is to return to the White House in January, but his second term would surely be different from the first. His Cabinet would not include former US secretary of state Mike Pompeo and former US national security adviser John Bolton, both outspoken supporters of Taiwan. Trump is expected to implement a transactionalist approach to Taiwan, including measures such as demanding that Taiwan pay a high “protection fee” or requiring that Taiwan’s military spending amount to at least 10 percent of its GDP. However, if the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) invades Taiwan, it is doubtful that Trump would dispatch
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (TSMC) has been dubbed Taiwan’s “sacred mountain.” In the past few years, it has invested in the construction of fabs in the US, Japan and Europe, and has long been a world-leading super enterprise — a source of pride for Taiwanese. However, many erroneous news reports, some part of cognitive warfare campaigns, have appeared online, intentionally spreading the false idea that TSMC is not really a Taiwanese company. It is true that TSMC depositary receipts can be purchased on the US securities market, and the proportion of foreign investment in the company is high. However, this reflects the