For more than two decades, Taiwan tried to buy a fleet of modern conventional submarines to fend off an existential threat — invasion by China. There were no takers. The US, Taiwan’s main ally, has a nuclear-powered fleet and had not built diesel-powered subs in decades. Other nations balked, fearful of angering Beijing.
Now, as China under President Xi Jinping (習近平) steps up its military intimidation of Taiwan, an array of foreign submarine-technology vendors, with the approval of their governments, are aiding a secretive program to build subs in Taiwan. Taipei has stealthily sourced technology, components and talent from at least seven nations to help it build an underwater fleet with the potential to exact a heavy toll on any Chinese attack, a Reuters investigation has found.
Taipei’s chief foreign weapons supplier, the US, has provided key technology, including combat-system components and sonars. However, assistance is coming from far beyond the US.
Illustration: Mountain People
Defense companies from the UK, which like the US operates a fleet of nuclear-powered ballistic missile and attack submarines, have provided crucial support.
A veteran of Britain’s Royal Navy submarine fleet, retired Commodore Ian McGhie, was a key figure in the drive to recruit submarine expertise, a person familiar with his role said. McGhie helped a Gibraltar-based company hire engineers, including former Royal Navy sailors, the person said.
Britain has also approved multiple export licenses in the past three years for UK companies to supply submarine components, technology or software to Taiwan, according to information from the UK Department for International Trade obtained via a Freedom of Information request.
The value of submarine technologies approved for export from the UK to Taiwan has grown exponentially in recent years, government data analyzed by Reuters showed.
Taipei also succeeded in hiring engineers, technicians and former naval officers from at least five other countries: Australia, South Korea, India, Spain and Canada. Based at a shipyard in the port city of Kaohsiung, the experts have advised the Taiwanese navy and state-backed shipbuilder CSBC Corp, Taiwan, the company building the new submarines.
Taiwan scoured the globe for this submarine engineering expertise, US-Taiwan Business Council president Rupert Hammond-Chambers said.
“It’s a jigsaw,” he said.
Taiwan had to search the international market for technology and components it was unable to source domestically. So, it “cut down the pie to smaller pieces” to figure out which work required foreign assistance, such as help in completing the design of the submarines, he added.
The Taiwanese project, which officially began in 2017, is formally known as the Indigenous Defense Submarine program. It is codenamed Hai Chang (海昌計畫), which means “Sea Prosperity” in Chinese.
CSBC began construction last year and is aiming to deliver the first of the planned eight vessels by 2025, according to government statements. The value of the project is estimated at up to US$16 billion, the London-based International Institute for Strategic Studies said.
Informed about the findings of this article, a spokesperson for the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs said the Taiwanese “authorities are colluding with external forces” on the program.
The countries concerned should refrain from participating in the submarine effort, “stop military ties with Taiwan and stop supporting the ‘Taiwan independence’ secessionist forces,” the spokesperson said in a written statement,
These countries are “playing with fire, and those who play with fire will get burned themselves,” the spokesperson added.
Taiwan’s Ministry of National Defense said the new submarines are crucial for “the national defense forces’ asymmetric warfare,” a reference to waging war against a superior military foe. It added that various challenges facing the program have been “eliminated” and it is being “implemented according to plan.”
CSBC declined to comment.
FEAR OF REPRISAL
Some details of the sub project, including the involvement of a small number of foreign engineers and some tenders for equipment and expertise, have been previously reported by Reuters and others. This report provides the most detailed account yet of the program and the extent of foreign assistance Taiwan is receiving. It is based on reporting in 11 countries and interviews with more than 80 people, including current and former officials, diplomats, former submariners and defense industry sources. Reporters also analyzed corporate filings and thousands of social media postings.
Two people in Taiwan with direct knowledge of the program said project leaders devised a low-profile strategy to limit Beijing’s ability to pressure foreign governments and companies not to work with Taipei. The Taiwanese team approached foreign companies directly, rather than first requesting approval from national governments, the two people said. With orders in hand, the foreign companies then applied for export permits from their governments.
Export approvals have now been secured for all the key components, according to the two people and public statements by Taiwanese officials. Many of these parts are related to the combat system, the two people said.
Still, fear of reprisal from Beijing has scuttled some transfers. A German company that provided vital equipment suddenly terminated a deal last year, the two people said, declining to name the firm or the technology involved. Managers from the supplier later disclosed to Taiwan that the sale was blocked by its parent company, which has extensive business interests in China.
To minimize such setbacks, the Taiwanese team secured access to two or three sources of many important technologies in the event one of the suppliers pulled out, the two people said.
Taiwan’s success in securing expertise and technology reflects the West’s mounting concern over China’s expanding military might and the pressure Beijing is exerting on the nation, foreign diplomats say. In September, Britain and the US struck a deal with Australia to help Canberra build nuclear-powered subs as the US and its allies respond to China’s military build-up. Two weeks later, Britain sent a warship through the Taiwan Strait for the first time since 2008.
The submarine aid is a breakthrough for isolated Taipei, which does not have official diplomatic recognition from the nations that approved export permits for the project.
“Taiwan isn’t really that lonely,” one of the people in Taiwan with knowledge of the program said. “Given all the export permits we managed to get, we know that many countries are helping.”
Asked about British help on the project, a UK government spokesperson said that Britain’s “long-standing policy on Taiwan has not changed: We have no diplomatic relations with Taiwan, but a strong, unofficial relationship, based on dynamic commercial, educational and cultural ties.”
“The United States will continue to make available to Taiwan the defense articles and services necessary to enable Taiwan to maintain a sufficient self-defense capability,” a US Department of State spokesperson said in response to questions about the program. “Doing so increases stability both across the Taiwan Strait and within the region.”
Beijing insists Taiwan is part of China and has called repeatedly for peaceful unification, but refuses to rule out using force to bring Taiwan under its control.
President Tsai Ing-wen (蔡英文) says Taiwan is an independent country called the Republic of China, its official name, and has vowed to defend its freedom and democracy. As Chinese shipyards churn out the warships that would be required for an invasion, a fleet of modern submarines would significantly boost Taiwan’s firepower.
DEADLY THREAT
China has 58 submarines, six of them nuclear-powered ballistic missile vessels, according to the Pentagon. Taiwan’s navy deploys just four subs. Two are World War II vintage: US-made Guppy-class submarines, in service with Taiwan since 1974, that are only fit for training. The other two are more modern: Sea Dragon-class submarines built in the Netherlands and commissioned in 1987.
The eight new submarines, plus the Sea Dragons, would pose a deadly threat to an invasion fleet, veteran Western, Japanese and Taiwanese submariners said. Armed with powerful torpedoes and anti-ship missiles, these vessels could attack the convoys of troop transports and warships that the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) would need for any landing on Taiwan.
The two people in Taiwan with direct knowledge of the sub program said the vessels would also be deployed in the deeper waters east of the nation. That would help keep open ports along Taiwan’s eastern coastline, which is furthest from China, for resupplies in a conflict.
The subs would also exploit a weakness of the PLA navy, which analysts say still lags the US and its allies in advanced anti-submarine warfare capability. The presence of subs off the Chinese coast would force China to maintain continuous anti-submarine operations.
“A torpedo’s firepower is much greater than missiles or guns,” said Japanese Vice Admiral Tatsuhiko Takashima, who retired last year as commander of the Japan Maritime Self-Defense Force’s submarine fleet.
Not everyone believes the submarine program is what Taiwan needs. Some strategists say Taipei should be investing primarily in smaller, cheaper, but lethal weapons, such as mobile anti-aircraft and anti-ship missiles. If camouflaged and deployed in cities and mountains, these weapons could pound a PLA invasion force before it reached Taiwan.
Former chief of the general staff Lee Hsi-ming (李喜明) outlined this doctrine before his retirement in 2019. Lee said the nation needed to preserve the ability to strike back at an invader in the likely event of the loss of major conventional hardware such as fighter jets.
Back in 2001, the US agreed to supply Taiwan with conventionally powered submarines as part of a bigger arms package. However, it had been decades since US shipyards built these vessels, and so Washington was unable to deliver. The US submarine fleet is exclusively nuclear-powered.
Taiwan’s efforts to obtain submarines elsewhere sank as other nations feared offending China. Beijing downgraded diplomatic relations with the Dutch after the Netherlands sold Taiwan the Sea Dragons in the 1980s. To restore ties, the Netherlands signed an agreement with China in 1984 stating it “would not approve any new exports of military goods to Taiwan,” the Dutch Ministry of Foreign Affairs said.
That pact remains in place.
A turning point for the program was the election in 2016 of Tsai, whose ruling Democratic Progressive Party champions creating a more robust military deterrent against the PLA. A ruling party research group had been studying the issue, and Tsai was determined to build new subs even before taking office, four people with knowledge of the project said.
At an important 2015 meeting, a retired submarine commander, Yang Yi (楊易), briefed Tsai on the importance of submarines, three of the people said. Reuters was unable to contact Yang. Other top navy officers, including former chief of the general staff Admiral Huang Shu-kuang (黃曙光), strongly supported the project.
So, in 2017, with tension mounting in the Taiwan Strait, the defense ministry signed a memorandum of understanding with CSBC to officially begin the program to build a submarine of Taiwan’s own.
DEEP SECRECY
Huang, now a senior National Security Council adviser, gave updates to lawmakers on the project that were treated with extreme secrecy. Lawmakers had to sign a confidentiality agreement, a person who attended the briefings said. In some of the meetings, held over the past few years, navy officers brought in a model of the submarine in a cardboard box before it was revealed to the lawmakers. The model looked different each time, the person said, as the designs evolved.
In a meeting late last year, the navy presented documentation of export permits issued by foreign governments for lawmakers to review. The names of the companies were coded, and lawmakers had to consult a manual to see which firms were assisting in the program, the person said. Each time a lawmaker used the manual, their name and the page numbers they viewed were recorded.
Obstacles remain. Building a submarine from scratch is expensive and technically challenging. Taiwan has also had to contend with the refusal of established conventional submarine builders to provide a design or other assistance.
The Netherlands, for instance, has agreed to maintain the two existing Sea Dragons. However, the country is not engaged in Taiwan’s new sub. Asked why, the Dutch foreign ministry said that under the 1984 agreement with Beijing, the government would not approve any new export permits for military equipment to the island.
Tokyo, one of the US’ closest allies, has also been reticent to get involved. Japan operates one of the world’s most advanced conventional submarine fleets. The idea of helping Taiwan was informally discussed in Japan, but was dropped out of concern over how China might react, two senior defense ministry sources in Tokyo said.
One reason for Japan’s hesitancy is fear of the economic consequences of offending Beijing, said retired Vice Admiral Yoji Koda, a former fleet commander of the Japanese Maritime Self-Defense Force. Japanese companies that would stand to lose business in China for helping Taiwan are a powerful lobby, Koda said.
Japan’s defense ministry declined to comment.
To keep its suppliers on board, Taiwan has proceeded quietly. However, some hints of the international support have trickled out.
In November last year, CSBC chairman Cheng Wen-lon (鄭文隆) confirmed that foreigners had worked alongside the shipbuilder’s in-house staff to draft the blueprints.
“Our staff drew the blueprint by themselves, of course, with assistance from foreign technical personnel, but we did the main body ourselves,” he said in response to questions from lawmakers, but added that he was not allowed to reveal where the foreign technical assistance was coming from.
A little-known company that was incorporated in the British overseas territory of Gibraltar in 2013 provided a key talent pipeline. The company, Gavron Lt, headed by two Israelis, won a contract to provide technical advice to CSBC. The contract was for about NT$600 million (US$21.6 million), a 2018 defense ministry press release said. Corporate filings list the two directors of Gavron as Gil Yossef Cooper and Arie Beizer.
Beyond the news that it secured a contract and has recruited some engineers for the project, little has been disclosed about Gavron’s role. A Gavron manager told Reuters he could not answer questions without first getting permission from the client. The manager declined to make Cooper and Beizer available for interviews.
On its Web site, Gavron says it offers “decades of experience from consultants such as nuclear submariners ... as well as others with niche technical skills.” The company also says that “many” of its consultants were career submariners in the British Royal Navy.
This included McGhie, who recruited engineers to work on the Taiwanese project. A 2017 job ad for a submarine engineer for Gavron in Taiwan was posted on an online European job platform. It listed McGhie as the contact person.
Work would include “pressure hull and major bulkhead design review,” the ad said. Both are crucial elements: The pressure hull, made of specialized steel, is the structure that keeps the submarine watertight when it submerges. It must withstand enormous forces. The bulkheads are interior structures that divide the submarine into sections to reinforce the pressure hull and allow flooded compartments to be sealed in an emergency.
Contacted by Reuters for comment, McGhie said he would need to seek permission from Gavron to talk about the project, because of the sensitivity of the client and his own contractual obligations. He did not specifically mention Taiwan.
In a follow-up e-mail, McGhie said there were “some inconsistencies and minor inaccuracies” in this account of his and Gavron’s role, but he did not elaborate. In his LinkedIn profile, he says he assisted a Gibraltar company in securing “a multimillion pound, complex technical service to a Client in the heavy industry sector in the Far East.”
McGhie was the commander of British forces in Gibraltar until 2016, according to a UK government web page. His LinkedIn profile says he spent 32 years in the military and was part of a team that “devised, negotiated and delivered” the UK’s first National Cyber Security Programme, while he was at the Office of Cyber Security in Britain’s Cabinet Office.
A JAPANESE FOLKTALE
Reuters found at least 12 foreign engineers who said in interviews or on social media that they had worked on the submarine program or worked for Gavron in Taiwan.
These recruits — a mix of young and veteran submarine experts — had experience working on advanced submarine programs. These included the S-80 built by Spanish state-owned shipbuilder Navantia and Britain’s nuclear-powered Astute-class attack subs built by BAE Systems, according to the recruits’ social media profiles.
In a 2017 article posted on his university’s Web site, Spanish naval architect Juan Herrero Valero said he started working that year for a British company in Kaohsiung on the Taiwanese program. He said he was recruited for the project after being approached via LinkedIn.
“I was really surprised, because I’m very young,” the engineer said in the article.
He added that he was in Taiwan working with far more experienced engineers.
“But the consulting team has trusted me,” he said.
He declined to speak to Reuters.
Last month, the US disclosed with little fanfare that it would approve the sale of key technology for the project. The word came in a State Department letter to Congress dated Jan. 5, which was posted in October in the Federal Register, the official publication of US government notices.
Washington was prepared to license transfers of technical data and services to Taiwan, Italy and the UK valued at US$50 million or more to support Taiwan’s submarine project, the letter said.
The technology would “support the integration, installation, operation, training, testing, maintenance, and repair of systems” supporting the program, it said.
However, Washington has kept a lid on most details, including which US companies are involved.
Lockheed Martin Corp is providing the subs’ combat system, which integrates and displays sonar and other sensor data to allow commanders to engage targets, two sources in Taiwan said, adding that Raytheon Technologies Corp is supplying the sonars.
In 2018, Lockheed posted a recruitment advertisement on JobSearcher.com, an online job site, for a deputy program manager for work on Taiwan’s Sea Dragon submarines and the design phase of the new indigenous sub program. Candidates must have “foreign language skills in Mandarin Chinese,” the posting said.
Earlier this year, Lockheed advertised on another online jobs site for a combat systems engineer for work on the Sea Dragon and the new sub.
Lockheed and Raytheon declined to comment for this story.
The aid to Taiwan is in line with long-standing US policy. Since Washington switched diplomatic recognition from Taipei to Beijing in 1979, US administrations have been required by law to provide Taiwan with the means to defend itself.
British companies also are playing a key role. In response to a freedom of information request, the UK Department for International Trade disclosed that 28 “applicants,” or corporate entities, had been granted licenses in the past three years to export submarine components, technology or software to Taiwan. The department did not specifically mention the submarine program.
The list included QinetiQ Ltd, a high-tech defense company. Three people with knowledge of the matter confirmed QinetiQ was involved in Taiwan’s program. One said the company provided advice on underwater safety management. QinetiQ declined to comment.
A Canadian subsidiary of Britain’s BMT Group Ltd has also been involved. BMT is a contractor for the UK nuclear submarine fleet. BMT Canada Ltd, the subsidiary, was hired to provide consulting and engineering advice, four people with knowledge of the deal said. This included reviewing plans drawn up by CSBC, one of the people said.
BMT Group declined to comment. Global Affairs Canada had no comment on BMT Canada’s involvement.
“Canada does not maintain military-to-military or defense relations with Taiwan,” the Canadian foreign ministry said in a statement.
The value of submarine technologies and equipment approved for export from the UK to Taiwan has grown dramatically, a Reuters analysis of government data shows.
From 2011 to 2017, Britain approved export licenses for the sale of at least £323,549 (US$430,521) worth of sub equipment to Taiwan. That jumped to at least £158 millionbetween 2018 and March this year. The equipment included test models and software. The UK data did not specify if the exports were for the new sub program.
As Taiwan pushes to complete the first vessel by 2025, the two people with knowledge of the program said their main concerns are delays to the import of equipment because of COVID-19 and possible pressure on suppliers by China.
For now, the multinational effort is holding. A person in Taipei with knowledge of the project likened it to the Japanese folktale Momotaro, in which a lone boy gets help from a group of unlikely allies — a dog, a monkey and a pheasant — to defeat a terrifying demon.
“We all gathered together to defeat the demon,” the person said.
Additional reporting by Ben Blanchard, Anthony Deutsch, Devjyot Ghoshal, Emily Chan, Kazuhiko Tamaki, Nobuhiro Kubo, Mike Stone, Lefteris Papadimas and Michele Kambas
The return of US president-elect Donald Trump to the White House has injected a new wave of anxiety across the Taiwan Strait. For Taiwan, an island whose very survival depends on the delicate and strategic support from the US, Trump’s election victory raises a cascade of questions and fears about what lies ahead. His approach to international relations — grounded in transactional and unpredictable policies — poses unique risks to Taiwan’s stability, economic prosperity and geopolitical standing. Trump’s first term left a complicated legacy in the region. On the one hand, his administration ramped up arms sales to Taiwan and sanctioned
World leaders are preparing themselves for a second Donald Trump presidency. Some leaders know more or less where he stands: Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy knows that a difficult negotiation process is about to be forced on his country, and the leaders of NATO countries would be well aware of being complacent about US military support with Trump in power. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu would likely be feeling relief as the constraints placed on him by the US President Joe Biden administration would finally be released. However, for President William Lai (賴清德) the calculation is not simple. Trump has surrounded himself
US president-elect Donald Trump is to return to the White House in January, but his second term would surely be different from the first. His Cabinet would not include former US secretary of state Mike Pompeo and former US national security adviser John Bolton, both outspoken supporters of Taiwan. Trump is expected to implement a transactionalist approach to Taiwan, including measures such as demanding that Taiwan pay a high “protection fee” or requiring that Taiwan’s military spending amount to at least 10 percent of its GDP. However, if the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) invades Taiwan, it is doubtful that Trump would dispatch
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (TSMC) has been dubbed Taiwan’s “sacred mountain.” In the past few years, it has invested in the construction of fabs in the US, Japan and Europe, and has long been a world-leading super enterprise — a source of pride for Taiwanese. However, many erroneous news reports, some part of cognitive warfare campaigns, have appeared online, intentionally spreading the false idea that TSMC is not really a Taiwanese company. It is true that TSMC depositary receipts can be purchased on the US securities market, and the proportion of foreign investment in the company is high. However, this reflects the