US inflation remains “uncomfortably” above the Federal Reserve’s target despite the progress it has made in recent months, a senior bank official said on Saturday.
The US central bank has held interest rates at a two-decade high for the past year as it battles to return inflation to its long-term target of two percent following a COVID-19-era surge in prices.
The Fed’s favored inflation gauge now sits at an annual rate of just 2.5 percent — well below the peak reached in 2022 — while the US economy is still growing and the labor market has somewhat weakened.
Photo: Al Drago, Bloomberg
Against this backdrop, Fed chair Jerome Powell said late last month that the bank could move ahead with its first interest rate cut as soon as next month — if economic data continues to come in as expected.
However, some Fed officials have been more cautious about signaling rate cuts than others.
“The progress in lowering inflation during May and June is a welcome development,” Fed Governor Michelle Bowman told a conference in Colorado Springs. “But inflation is still uncomfortably above the committee’s two percent goal.”
Despite “upside risks,” Bowman said she still expects inflation to ease in the coming months.
However, she warned policymakers to remain patient “and avoid undermining continued progress on lowering inflation by overreacting to a single data point.”
“I will remain cautious in my approach to considering adjustments to the current stance of policy,” she added.
The remarks from Bowman, who is a permanent voting member on the Fed’s rate-setting committee, suggest that she remains concerned about cutting interest rates too soon — despite overwhelming support for a rate cut in the financial markets next month.
Futures traders are now wholly convinced that the Fed would cut interest rates at a meeting next month, and are instead split over how big its first cut would be, CME Group Inc data showed.
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