US inflation tracked sideways in April, a worrying sign for the US’ central bank, as it suggests that the elevated pace of price increases could last longer than expected and casts doubt on how soon it would be able to cut interest rates.
The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index increased by 0.3 percent last month, the US Department of Commerce’s Bureau of Economic Analysis said yesterday, matching the unrevised gain in March.
In the 12 months through April, the PCE price index rose by 2.7 percent after advancing 2.7 percent in March.
Photo: Bloomberg
Economists polled by Reuters had forecast it would climb by 0.3 percent for the month and 2.7 percent on a year-on-year basis.
The PCE price index is one of the inflation measures tracked by the US central bank for its 2 percent target. Monthly inflation readings of 0.2 percent over time are needed to bring inflation back to target.
The US Federal Reserve has kept its benchmark policy rate in the 5.25 to 5.50 percent range for the past 10 months and was stung by three months of stronger-than-expected inflation and labor market readings from January to March after more encouraging readings in the fourth quarter of last year.
However, readings for monthly April job gains and the consumer price index (CPI), another closely-watched inflation gauge, earlier this month appeared to provide some relief for the Fed.
US job growth was at the lowest level in six months and the CPI increased less than expected.
The Fed has raised borrowing costs by 525 basis points since March 2022 in a bid to cool demand across the economy.
Financial markets initially expected the first rate cut to come in March, which then got pushed back this month and now to September.
Consumer spending, which accounts for more than two-thirds of US economic activity, increased by 0.2 percent, down from a 0.7 percent rise in March.
Consumer spending moderated from a brisk 3.3 percent pace in the October-to-December period to 2.0 percent in the first quarter, revised GDP data released on Thursday showed.
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