UK inflation last month came in less than forecast, with underlying price pressures rising less than markets and the Bank of England (BOE) had feared.
Consumer prices rose 4 percent compared with a year earlier, the same pace as in December last year, the British Office for National Statistics said yesterday.
The BOE and private-sector economists had expected inflation to tick higher to 4.1 percent.
Photo: AP
Services inflation, which is more directly linked to domestic costs, accelerated to 6.5 percent last month. The BOE had forecast 6.6 percent, with the rate set to remain well above that of core goods.
Despite expectations for inflation to fall below the bank’s 2 percent target in the coming months, policymakers are taking a cautious approach to easing amid continuing tightness in the labor market and signs the economy is picking up. The inflation data is at least partially offset by wage figures on Tuesday, which showed pay slowing less than expected, prompting traders to scale back bets on how far the BOE might cut interest rates this year.
The UK data follow stronger-than-expected price data from the US, which prompted traders to shift back bets on when the US Federal Reserve could start loosening policy. The British pound swung to a loss after the release. It traded as much as 0.3 percent weaker at US$1.2556, a one-week low.
“There is a silver lining in the fact that inflation has stayed the same as we are unlikely to see any increases to borrowing and further strains on the purses of the nation,” Propertymark CEO Nathan Emerson said. “That being said, the Bank of England made an optimistic projection in February that the rate of inflation would be back down to 2 percent, like it was prior to the [COVID-19] pandemic, and whilst the figure remains at 4 percent, this will be sure to make them cautious about cutting rates.”
The cost of groceries, clothing, transportation, furniture and household goods also dragged inflation lower. There were also counteracting effects within the basket of goods and services, with household energy prices rising from December last year to last month, as the regulatory cap increased slightly, and the cost of second-hand cars climbed for the first time since May last year.
“Inflation never falls in a perfect straight line, but the plan is working,” British Chancellor of the Exchequer Jeremy Hunt said. “We have made huge progress in bringing inflation down from 11 percent, and the Bank of England forecast that it will fall to around 2 percent in a matter of months.”
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