At a village hall near Loch Linnhe, a sliver of water sandwiched between the Hebrides and Glasgow, Scotland, Stewart Hawthorn laid out his plan to build the biggest salmon farm in the UK near this aging rural community. Once completed, it would create at least 16 jobs, the managing director of Long Loch Salmon said. It would feature eight enclosures holding up to 8,000 tonnes of fish, with a density double the industry standard. Most importantly, he claimed, it would help alleviate one of the biggest problems plaguing the business — excessive death rates.
Salmon is a hot commodity: Its aquaculture is the fastest-growing food production system in the world. Promoted as a healthy alternative to red meat and chicken — and a way to close the so-called “protein gap” for a growing global population — Atlantic salmon production has expanded more than sixfold since 1995. The fish is now the UK’s dominant food export, with much of the farming taking place in Scotland.
However, rising demand has come alongside record mortality numbers: About a quarter of Scottish salmon do not make it to harvest, and in the last five years, there have been 53 million excess fish deaths, exceeding even larger producers. This is partly due to warming waters, which bring micro jellyfish and plankton blooms, but industry practices are also to blame: Densely packed farms can give rise to sea lice outbreaks, and bacterial and viral infections. While lice outbreaks are not typically fatal, their treatments can be. In October last year, almost 5 percent of salmon on Scottish farms died. The death rate fell to 4 percent the following month, still far higher than the five-year average.
Photo: AP
What is happening in Scotland is a microcosm of broader challenges facing the global salmon industry, the bulk of which is concentrated in neighboring Norway. Despite pitching the red-fleshed fish as a more environmentally friendly alternative to beef, producers have not yet figured out how to scale sustainably. While the obvious solution — less-crowded pens — reduces the spread of disease, it also dents profitability.
This has left salmon farmers in an unfortunate holding pattern: Either they continue to expand at the risk of exacerbating death rates or they take punts on new systems. In Scotland, where local communities are increasingly mistrustful of a sector that they say fails to benefit them, salmon farmers have struggled to find places in which to experiment, casting further uncertainty over the future of the £600 million (US$762 million) industry.
Facing a trickle of mostly white, middle-aged couples concerned about how a super-sized salmon farm might impact their area, Hawthorn explained how his innovation — a giant polyvinylchloride (PVC) sack to protect fish from lice and micro jellyfish — could be the thing that finally allows the sector to expand.
“I’ve been accused by people of being a sort of evangelist, almost thinking I’m going to save the world,” the 56-year-old Scotsman said of his efforts to position farmed salmon as a lower carbon alternative to land-grown meat. “I don’t think that this project will save the world, but I think this project along with millions of other projects like it all around the world are exactly what’s needed.”
In Loch Linnhe, at least, it would take some work to win people over. While Hawthorn has promised that his net would capture up to 85 percent of the solid waste that thousands of fish would produce, such technology has only ever managed to catch less than half that. The system has never been successfully used at this scale, and locals fear that their beloved loch could become a laboratory for a start-up’s unproven technology.
“The developer’s claims are unrealistic,” said Jane Hartnell-Beavis, an interior designer turned community organizer, from a campaign stand outside the town hall. “Far from solving the welfare and environment issues, it will merely exacerbate them. There’s no right way to do the wrong thing.”
Similar standoffs are playing out across the country. A less ambitious version of Hawthorn’s plan, set in a national park, is under appeal after being rejected, and another farm in the West Highlands was only approved following an appeal. In a 2022 industry review, Russel Griggs, chair of the South of Scotland Enterprise development agency, described the mistrust and animosity between the salmon industry and other stakeholders as unlike anything he had ever seen.
Tensions have been heightened by red tape around licensing. New farms must go through a lengthy and complex application process. While Scotland’s government had wanted to double salmon production by 2030, it has scaled back these ambitions. Its goal now is an aquaculture sector that operates “within environmental limits.”
From 2013 to 2022, the number of active Scottish salmon farms dropped from 257 to 210.
Salmon farming can be a nasty business. Breeding involves removing eggs and sperm from anesthetized fish, and typically euthanizing males after extraction. Larger farms generate enough excess fish feces and urine to potentially destabilize fragile ecosystems. Overcrowding can result in ghoulish, lice-riddled fish — leading to images that anti-salmon farming campaigners have circulated online to persuade shoppers to stay out of the seafood section.
With these circumstances at least somewhat linked to mass fish death, corporate boardrooms are feeling the effects. Mowi, an Oslo-listed company that is the world’s largest salmon farmer, reported that die-offs resulted in third-quarter costs of at least 36 million euros (US$39.3 million) last year out of an operating profit of about 200 million euros. One Mowi farm in Colonsay, Scotland, reported 200,000 salmon deaths in a single week in October last year. Not even rising salmon prices have cushioned the blow.
There is no clear industry path toward sustainable growth. Nor is there scientific consensus on the environmental impacts or welfare implications of different farming systems. So, salmon producers are experimenting in limited ways on existing farms. Mowi is introducing digital tools that enable farmers to better detect problems and respond to changes in underwater environments. It has also tried semi-closed systems such as Hawthorn’s, but these have run into problems: One cage was destroyed in a storm and plagued with disease, according to media reports.
Familiar issues resurface when fish get too big, Mowi chief executive officer Ivan Vindheim said.
“You also end up with the salmon being squeezed. So, you have to take down density and then it becomes too expensive. The cost is just going through the roof and the mortality is too high,” Vindheim explained.
Clues to more sustainable farming might be found in Mowi’s Norwegian operations, which are more profitable than their Scottish counterparts. In Nordic farms, salmon live in deeper waters along longer coastlines. Regin Jacobsen, who has been CEO of the Faroe Islands-based Bakkafrost group since 1989, cited aquaculture analysis showing lower death rates in Norway, the Faroe Islands and Chile, where waters are colder and less prone to disease than shallow Scottish lochs. His company hopes it would soon be able to stem losses and increase salmon production in Scotland through a water recirculation system modeled on one already at use in the Faroe Islands.
These kinds of technological solutions require risk-taking, which is essential for salmon farming in places like Scotland. To figures such as Hawthorn, the next question is how experimental the government — and local stakeholders — are willing to get.
TECH BOOST: New TSMC wafer fabs in Arizona are to dramatically improve US advanced chip production, a report by market research firm TrendForce said With Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (TSMC, 台積電) pouring large funds into Arizona, the US is expected to see an improvement in its status to become the second-largest maker of advanced semiconductors in 2027, Taipei-based market researcher TrendForce Corp (集邦科技) said in a report last week. TrendForce estimates the US would account for a 21 percent share in the global advanced integrated circuit (IC) production market by 2027, sharply up from the current 9 percent, as TSMC is investing US$65 billion to build three wafer fabs in Arizona, the report said. TrendForce defined the advanced chipmaking processes as the 7-nanometer process or more
Who would not want a social media audience that grows without new content? During the three years she paused production of her short do-it-yourself (DIY) farmer’s lifestyle videos, Chinese vlogger Li Ziqi (李子柒), 34, has seen her YouTube subscribers increase to 20.2 million from about 14 million. While YouTube is banned in China, her fan base there — although not the size of YouTube’s MrBeast, who has 330 million subscribers — is close to 100 million across the country’s social media platforms Douyin (抖音), Sina Weibo (新浪微博) and Xiaohongshu (小紅書). When Li finally released new videos last week — ending what has
OPEN SCIENCE: International collaboration on math and science will persevere even if the incoming Trump administration imposes strict controls, Nvidia’s CEO said Nvidia Corp CEO Jensen Huang (黃仁勳) said on Saturday that global cooperation in technology would continue even if the incoming US administration imposes stricter export controls on advanced computing products. US president-elect Donald Trump, in his first term in office, imposed restrictions on the sale of US technology to China citing national security — a policy continued under US President Joe Biden. The curbs forced Nvidia, the world’s leading maker of chips used for artificial intelligence (AI) applications, to change its product lineup in China. The US chipmaking giant last week reported record-high quarterly revenue on the back of strong AI chip
Qualcomm Inc’s interest in pursuing an acquisition of Intel Corp has cooled, people familiar with the matter said, upending what would have likely been one of the largest technology deals of all time. The complexities associated with acquiring all of Intel has made a deal less attractive to Qualcomm, said some of the people, asking not to be identified discussing confidential matters. It is always possible Qualcomm looks at pieces of Intel instead or rekindles its interest later, they added. Representatives for Qualcomm and Intel declined to comment. Qualcomm made a preliminary approach to Intel on a possible takeover, Bloomberg News and other media