GERMANY
Industrial orders plummet
Industrial orders data for March showed the biggest fall since 2020, fueling fears that Europe’s biggest economy is entering a sharp downturn. New orders, which give a foretaste of industrial output, posted a surprise drop of 10.7 percent from February, provisional figures from federal statistics authority Destatis showed yesterday. It was the biggest decline since April 2020, when the COVID-19 pandemic had just started, prompting lockdowns and border closures. Orders had been rising in the past few months, bolstering hopes that the economy had weathered the fallout from the Ukraine war and resulting energy crisis better than feared. Landesbank Baden-Wurttemberg economist Jens-Oliver Niklasch called the plunge a warning for investors. “This figure destroys what had been a good start to the year for German industry, and is a real recession signal,” he said.
INDONESIA
Consumption boosts GDP
The economy accelerated last quarter as it likely benefitted from strong domestic consumption, even as exports took a knock from slowing global demand. GDP rose 5.03 percent in the three months through March from a year earlier, official data showed yesterday. That was faster than the median estimate of 4.97 percent in a Bloomberg survey of economists. Compared with the three months ended December last year, the economy shrank 0.92 percent in the first quarter, still better than economists’ median estimate for a 1 percent contraction. As slowing global demand saps exports that make up about one-quarter of Southeast Asia’s largest economy, focus is to turn to domestic consumption to shore up expansion.
CRYPTOCURRENCIES
Coinbase slows downtrend
Coinbase Global Inc posted a narrower loss and a smaller-than-estimated revenue decline, as the biggest US digital-asset trading platform saw first-quarter results stabilize somewhat during a rebound in cryptocurrency prices. The loss narrowed to about US$79 million from US$430 million a year earlier. It was the fifth consecutive quarterly loss. Revenue fell about 34 percent to US$772.5 million, although it increased from the fourth quarter of last year, when token prices tumbled amid a series of industry scandals and bankruptcies. The average of estimates compiled by Bloomberg for revenue was about US$654 million. The cryptoindustry “continues to be volatile, as evidenced most recently by the disruptions in the banking sector and ongoing regulatory uncertainty,” Coinbase said.
AIRLINES
Companies eyeing surge
British Airways owner International Consolidated Airlines Group SA (IAG) and Air France-KLM reported bumper summer bookings as travelers pressed ahead with holiday plans despite a cost-of-living crisis, although IAG’s CEO said strikes and lack of staff could disrupt major airports. European airlines and airports are under pressure to avoid a repeat of last summer’s chaotic scenes that marred the return to mass travel after the freeze caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. IAG, which also owns Iberia, Vueling and Aer Lingus, yesterday said that robust ticket sales for the summer and a winter season that beat expectations meant this year’s profit would come in above its previous forecasts. IAG called the outlook for the summer “encouraging” and said capacity in its key North Atlantic and Latin American markets was back at pre-pandemic levels, with demand from leisure travelers driving bookings.
Semiconductor business between Taiwan and the US is a “win-win” model for both sides given the high level of complementarity, the government said yesterday responding to tariff threats from US President Donald Trump. Home to the world’s largest contract chipmaker, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (TSMC, 台積電), Taiwan is a key link in the global technology supply chain for companies such as Apple Inc and Nvidia Corp. Trump said on Monday he plans to impose tariffs on imported chips, pharmaceuticals and steel in an effort to get the producers to make them in the US. “Taiwan and the US semiconductor and other technology industries
SMALL AND EFFICIENT: The Chinese AI app’s initial success has spurred worries in the US that its tech giants’ massive AI spending needs re-evaluation, a market strategist said Chinese artificial intelligence (AI) start-up DeepSeek’s (深度求索) eponymous AI assistant rocketed to the top of Apple Inc’s iPhone download charts, stirring doubts in Silicon Valley about the strength of the US’ technological dominance. The app’s underlying AI model is widely seen as competitive with OpenAI and Meta Platforms Inc’s latest. Its claim that it cost much less to train and develop triggered share moves across Asia’s supply chain. Chinese tech firms linked to DeepSeek, such as Iflytek Co (科大訊飛), surged yesterday, while chipmaking tool makers like Advantest Corp slumped on the potential threat to demand for Nvidia Corp’s AI accelerators. US stock
The US Federal Reserve is expected to announce a pause in rate cuts on Wednesday, as policymakers look to continue tackling inflation under close and vocal scrutiny from US President Donald Trump. The Fed cut its key lending rate by a full percentage point in the final four months of last year and indicated it would move more cautiously going forward amid an uptick in inflation away from its long-term target of 2 percent. “I think they will do nothing, and I think they should do nothing,” Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis former president Jim Bullard said. “I think the
‘LASER-FOCUSED’: Trump pledged tariffs on specific sectors, including semiconductors, pharmaceuticals, steel, copper and aluminum, and perhaps even cars US President Donald Trump said he wants to enact across-the-board tariffs that are “much bigger” than 2.5 percent, the latest in a string of signals that he is preparing widespread levies to reshape US supply chains. “I have it in my mind what it’s going to be but I won’t be setting it yet, but it’ll be enough to protect our country,” Trump told reporters on Monday night. Asked about a report that incoming US Secretary of the Treasury Scott Bessent favored starting with a global rate of 2.5 percent, Trump said he did not think Bessent supported that and would not