The S&P 500 and NASDAQ set record closing highs on Friday as investors bought energy, financial and materials shares and sold big tech stocks in anticipation of new fiscal aid from Washington to help the US economy recover.
The major indices traded in a tight range during the week in which investors rotated out of growth-oriented stocks that have dominated an almost year-long rally and bought cyclical and under-priced value stocks.
The S&P energy, financials and materials sectors rose on expectations they will benefit from a reopened economy, while heavyweights Apple Inc, Tesla Inc and Microsoft Corp were lower most of the session. All three closed higher in a late market surge.
Value and cyclicals outperform in a rising interest rate, higher-growth environment, which the US economy is on the cusp of entering, said Thomas Hayes, chairman and managing member of hedge fund Great Hill Capital LLC in New York.
“We’re underestimating the lag effect of all the money in the system as more and more vaccinations are delivered and as more of the country reopens” from business shutdowns, he said.
“We are continuing this rotation that would be consistent with the new business cycle, and as [bond] yields go up, value and cyclicals will lead,” Hayes said.
The Cboe Volatility Index, Wall Street’s so-called fear gauge, closed below 20 for the first time since February last year.
A sharp drop in new COVID-19 cases and hospitalizations in recent weeks have helped drive markets to new highs, though a near-term pullback could occur from the new coronavirus variants and potential snags in vaccine distributions.
The latest data showed US consumer sentiment unexpectedly fell early this month as households were still worried about the economy despite expectations for additional stimulus.
A Reuters poll showed the US economy is expected to reach pre-COVID-19 levels within a year as the proposed US$1.9 trillion fiscal bill helps boost economic activity, but employment will likely take more than a year to fully recover.
US President Joe Biden turned to a bipartisan group of local officials for support on his US$1.9 trillion coronavirus relief plan to help millions of unemployed workers and for schools to reopen.
The Lipper data late on Thursday showed US-based stock funds attracted US$22.9 billion in the week to Wednesday, the largest weekly inflow since March 2008.
US stock markets will be closed tomorrow for the Presidents Day holiday.
The S&P 500 set hit an all-time peak on Friday, while the NASDAQ and Dow did earlier in the week
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 27.7 points, or 0.09 percent, to 31,458.4, the S&P 500 gained 18.45 points, or 0.47 percent, to 3,934.83 and the NASDAQ Composite added 69.70 points, or 0.5 percent, to 14,095.47. Volume on US exchanges was 13.27 billion shares.
The small-cap index rose for the fifth week out of six full weeks this year. PayPal Holdings Inc rose 4.7 percent after several brokerages raised their price targets following the payments company’s investor day call a day earlier.
Walt Disney Co reported a surprise quarterly profit. However, its shares fell 1.7 percent from a record high after a more than 13 percent run-up to its results over the last two weeks.
Dating app operator Bumble Inc jumped 7.3 percent, a day after a stellar debut sent its shares up more than 75 percent. Chief executive officer Whitney Wolfe Herd’s stake in the women-centric dating app operator was worth nearly US$2 billion.
Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.35-to-1 ratio; on NASDAQ, a 1.22-to-1 ratio favored advancers.
The S&P 500 posted 52 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the NASDAQ Composite recorded 261 new highs and 17 new lows.
The New Taiwan dollar is on the verge of overtaking the yuan as Asia’s best carry-trade target given its lower risk of interest-rate and currency volatility. A strategy of borrowing the New Taiwan dollar to invest in higher-yielding alternatives has generated the second-highest return over the past month among Asian currencies behind the yuan, based on the Sharpe ratio that measures risk-adjusted relative returns. The New Taiwan dollar may soon replace its Chinese peer as the region’s favored carry trade tool, analysts say, citing Beijing’s efforts to support the yuan that can create wild swings in borrowing costs. In contrast,
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TARIFF SURGE: The strong performance could be attributed to the growing artificial intelligence device market and mass orders ahead of potential US tariffs, analysts said The combined revenue of companies listed on the Taiwan Stock Exchange and the Taipei Exchange for the whole of last year totaled NT$44.66 trillion (US$1.35 trillion), up 12.8 percent year-on-year and hit a record high, data compiled by investment consulting firm CMoney showed on Saturday. The result came after listed firms reported a 23.92 percent annual increase in combined revenue for last month at NT$4.1 trillion, the second-highest for the month of December on record, and posted a 15.63 percent rise in combined revenue for the December quarter at NT$12.25 billion, the highest quarterly figure ever, the data showed. Analysts attributed the