European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde on Monday said that a winter surge in COVID-19 cases and the emergence of mutated variants of the novel coronavirus pose a “significant downside risk” to the economy, despite hope from the start of vaccinations.
Lagarde told a session of the European Parliament that “the mutations in the virus and the strict containment measures are a significant downside risk to the euro area economy.”
She reiterated the bank’s promise to keep pouring stimulus into the financial system to support the recovery: “Our pledge to preserve favorable financing conditions is crucial in the current environment.”
Photo: AFP
It was essential for governments and the EU to complement the bank’s efforts through spending to support businesses and through the EU’s 750 billion euro (US$906 billion) recovery fund based on collective borrowing, Lagarde said.
The economy in the 19 countries that use the euro shrank 0.7 percent last quarter as businesses were hit by a new round of lockdowns aimed at containing a resurgence of the COVID-19 pandemic. For the year, the eurozone shrank 6.8 percent.
The near-term outlook for growth remains shaky and the IMF has downgraded its growth forecast for the eurozone to 4.2 percent this year from 5.2 percent.
The ECB at a meeting in December last year decided to add 500 billion euros to its bond purchase stimulus, bringing the total size of the effort to 1.85 trillion euros to run at least through March next year.
It has also kept interest rate benchmarks that affect borrowing conditions at record lows, and offered banks long-term cheap loans to keep them lending to companies.
The cheap loans can come with negative interest rates, meaning the ECB pays the banks to borrow.
Meanwhile, concerns that Germany might have an unfair competitive advantage because of billions of euros pumped into its virus-hit companies are not backed by data that show other EU states doing as much if not more for their businesses, Europe’s antitrust chief said.
Since the start of the pandemic last year, EU Competition Commissioner Margrethe Vestager has approved 3.1 trillion euros in state aid to airlines, restaurants, farmers, entertainers and others across the 27-country bloc suffering from the economic hit of COVID-19.
Germany accounts for 51 percent of the total approved aid to date, trailed by Italy with 14.7 percent, France at 13.9 percent and Spain at 4.8 percent.
That has triggered concerns among some EU countries that German aid might tilt the level playing field, giving companies in Europe’s largest economy an unfair advantage.
Vestager, in an interview with Reuters on Monday, cautioned against reading too much into the approved sums versus the amounts that were actually disbursed by EU governments.
“What we saw when we looked at the funds paid out, we saw quite a different pattern. And this is of course why it is really interesting to see what are the real sums that are being paid out,” Vestager said.
“Germany paid out about 25-27 percent of the total [approved] aid paid out, France more or less the same, maybe a little bit more actually, then Spain and Italy. So you get a much more nuanced picture when you look at the actual spending,” she said.
Vestager was referring to the period between the middle of March and the end of June last year, when she gave the green light to 2.3 trillion euros in state aid, of which 354 billion was paid out.
Of this total, France disbursed 123 billion, Germany 96 billion, Spain 65 billion and Italy 26 billion.
The European Commission is seeking the latest data from EU countries on their disbursements to get a more comprehensive picture.
The US dollar was trading at NT$29.7 at 10am today on the Taipei Foreign Exchange, as the New Taiwan dollar gained NT$1.364 from the previous close last week. The NT dollar continued to rise today, after surging 3.07 percent on Friday. After opening at NT$30.91, the NT dollar gained more than NT$1 in just 15 minutes, briefly passing the NT$30 mark. Before the US Department of the Treasury's semi-annual currency report came out, expectations that the NT dollar would keep rising were already building. The NT dollar on Friday closed at NT$31.064, up by NT$0.953 — a 3.07 percent single-day gain. Today,
‘SHORT TERM’: The local currency would likely remain strong in the near term, driven by anticipated US trade pressure, capital inflows and expectations of a US Fed rate cut The US dollar is expected to fall below NT$30 in the near term, as traders anticipate increased pressure from Washington for Taiwan to allow the New Taiwan dollar to appreciate, Cathay United Bank (國泰世華銀行) chief economist Lin Chi-chao (林啟超) said. Following a sharp drop in the greenback against the NT dollar on Friday, Lin told the Central News Agency that the local currency is likely to remain strong in the short term, driven in part by market psychology surrounding anticipated US policy pressure. On Friday, the US dollar fell NT$0.953, or 3.07 percent, closing at NT$31.064 — its lowest level since Jan.
The New Taiwan dollar and Taiwanese stocks surged on signs that trade tensions between the world’s top two economies might start easing and as US tech earnings boosted the outlook of the nation’s semiconductor exports. The NT dollar strengthened as much as 3.8 percent versus the US dollar to 30.815, the biggest intraday gain since January 2011, closing at NT$31.064. The benchmark TAIEX jumped 2.73 percent to outperform the region’s equity gauges. Outlook for global trade improved after China said it is assessing possible trade talks with the US, providing a boost for the nation’s currency and shares. As the NT dollar
The Financial Supervisory Commission (FSC) yesterday met with some of the nation’s largest insurance companies as a skyrocketing New Taiwan dollar piles pressure on their hundreds of billions of dollars in US bond investments. The commission has asked some life insurance firms, among the biggest Asian holders of US debt, to discuss how the rapidly strengthening NT dollar has impacted their operations, people familiar with the matter said. The meeting took place as the NT dollar jumped as much as 5 percent yesterday, its biggest intraday gain in more than three decades. The local currency surged as exporters rushed to