UNITED KINGDOM
Moody’s raises EU issue
An early referendum on the UK’s membership of the EU carries risks that could threaten its credit rating, according to Moody’s Investors Service. While a vote next year would reduce the period of uncertainty surrounding the issue, it also “increases the risk that the UK government will not manage to secure the changes that it is seeking, which in turn may negatively influence the government’s willingness to support remaining in the EU,” Moody’s said yesterday. “A withdrawal from the EU would have negative implications for the UK’s growth prospects and — in the absence of an alternative trade arrangement with the EU that at least partly replicates the current access to the EU’s single market — would likely put pressure on the UK’s sovereign rating.”
MACROECONOMICS
German trade surplus rises
Germany’s trade surplus widened in April from the previous month as exports grew 1.9 percent, official data showed yesterday. At the same time imports fell by 1.3 percent, pushing the trade surplus up to 22.3 billion euros (US$24.8 billion) in April, according to seasonally adjusted figures published by the federal statistics office, Destatis. In unadjusted terms, the trade surplus contracted slightly from March to 22.1 billion euros. On a year-to-year comparison, exports from Europe’s top economy to non-European countries increased by nearly 12 percent in April, while imports grew about five percent. Its export and import flows with other European nations were also up, by 4.5 percent and 1.7 percent respectively, with the biggest jumps seen with non-eurozone members.
ACQUISITIONS
IRM increases Recall bid
Iron Mountain Inc (IRM) increased its bid for Recall Holdings Ltd a second time, adding a cash component to a deal that would value the data storage company at A$3.4 billion (US$2.6 billion) including debt. The Boston-based company would offer US$0.50 in addition to 0.1722 Iron Mountain shares for each Recall share, it said in a statement yesterday. Recall investors would also have a choice of accepting A$8.50 per share in cash, subject to a cap of A$225 million, with preferential access to the cash pool for the first 5,000 shares owned by each shareholder. Recall had been seeking improved terms after a fall in Iron Mountain’s shares cut the value of its offer for the Atlanta-based company, people with knowledge of the matter said last week. Iron Mountain offered investors the same equity ratio, which was equal to about A$7.86 when the takeover was announced on April 28, after its original bid was rejected in December last year.
STOCKS
Japan wins investors
While China’s world-beating stock market rally is generating headlines, some of the biggest Asia-focused hedge funds are looking further east for profits. Hutchin Hill, Indus Capital Partners and Oasis Management (Hong Kong) are among firms touting winning trades among Japanese power producers, makers of foods and beverages and semiconductor parts. A push by Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe to improve corporate governance has made the market a favorite of hedge funds at the same time as fears that Chinese markets are entering bubble territory mount, following gains of as much as 150 percent in the country’s two best-performing stock market indices during the past year. “Global investors are increasingly viewing the country favorably,” Bank of America-Merrill Lynch Hong Kong-based analyst Ben Williams said.
ADVANCED: Previously, Taiwanese chip companies were restricted from building overseas fabs with technology less than two generations behind domestic factories Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (TSMC, 台積電), a major chip supplier to Nvidia Corp, would no longer be restricted from investing in next-generation 2-nanometer chip production in the US, the Ministry of Economic Affairs said yesterday. However, the ministry added that the world’s biggest contract chipmaker would not be making any reckless decisions, given the weight of its up to US$30 billion investment. To safeguard Taiwan’s chip technology advantages, the government has barred local chipmakers from making chips using more advanced technologies at their overseas factories, in China particularly. Chipmakers were previously only allowed to produce chips using less advanced technologies, specifically
BRAVE NEW WORLD: Nvidia believes that AI would fuel a new industrial revolution and would ‘do whatever we can’ to guide US AI policy, CEO Jensen Huang said Nvidia Corp cofounder and chief executive officer Jensen Huang (黃仁勳) on Tuesday said he is ready to meet US president-elect Donald Trump and offer his help to the incoming administration. “I’d be delighted to go see him and congratulate him, and do whatever we can to make this administration succeed,” Huang said in an interview with Bloomberg Television, adding that he has not been invited to visit Trump’s home base at Mar-a-Lago in Florida yet. As head of the world’s most valuable chipmaker, Huang has an opportunity to help steer the administration’s artificial intelligence (AI) policy at a moment of rapid change.
TARIFF SURGE: The strong performance could be attributed to the growing artificial intelligence device market and mass orders ahead of potential US tariffs, analysts said The combined revenue of companies listed on the Taiwan Stock Exchange and the Taipei Exchange for the whole of last year totaled NT$44.66 trillion (US$1.35 trillion), up 12.8 percent year-on-year and hit a record high, data compiled by investment consulting firm CMoney showed on Saturday. The result came after listed firms reported a 23.92 percent annual increase in combined revenue for last month at NT$4.1 trillion, the second-highest for the month of December on record, and posted a 15.63 percent rise in combined revenue for the December quarter at NT$12.25 billion, the highest quarterly figure ever, the data showed. Analysts attributed the
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co’s (TSMC, 台積電) quarterly sales topped estimates, reinforcing investor hopes that the torrid pace of artificial intelligence (AI) hardware spending would extend into this year. The go-to chipmaker for Nvidia Corp and Apple Inc reported a 39 percent rise in December-quarter revenue to NT$868.5 billion (US$26.35 billion), based on calculations from monthly disclosures. That compared with an average estimate of NT$854.7 billion. The strong showing from Taiwan’s largest company bolsters expectations that big tech companies from Alphabet Inc to Microsoft Corp would continue to build and upgrade datacenters at a rapid clip to propel AI development. Growth accelerated for