Wall Street is struggling with renewed fears about the economic outlook and at the same time feeling a chill from a tougher stand from the White House on banks and financial market regulation.
The market was hammered over the past week by worries about the US outlook and trouble in China, where an overheating economy may prompt a credit squeeze that hurts the rest of the global economy.
Also hurting the mood was a tough proposal from US President Barack Obama to curb the size and scope of banks, and growing opposition to US Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke’s renomination.
In the coming week, markets will deal with the outcome of a Federal Reserve policy meeting, as well as the drama surrounding the Bernanke confirmation. A slew of earnings reports are also expected.
On the economic front, data is expected to show a strong gain in US economic activity in the fourth quarter, but analysts say the figures will likely be skewed by a bounce in inventory activity.
Over the holiday-shortened week, the Dow Jones Industrial Average tumbled 4.12 percent to 10,172.98, in a sharp pullback from 15-month highs.
The tech-rich NASDAQ composite sank 3.61 percent to 2,205.29 the broad Standard & Poor’s 500 index slumped 3.90 percent to 1,091.76.
The recent volatility “is a reflection of how much uncertainty that continues to swirl with respect to the economic landscape and the shape that financial market regulation will take,” said Diana Petramala, economist at TD Bank Financial Group.
Petramala said the markets were roiled by the proposals by Obama to cap the size and scope of bank activity, a plan unveiled after the White House called for a new tax on big financial institutions.
“There is still a question mark around what the future holds for the US banking sector,” she said.
“Adding to investor angst this week was the notion that a global recovery could be slower than expected,” especially with China appearing to be moving to cool activity, she said.
Petramala said data on Thursday on US gross domestic product could show a strong growth rate in the economy of 5 percent, but cautioned that “over half of the bounce in economic activity looks to have been due to a large inventory swing and not to sustainable economic drivers.”
Despite the renewed skittishness, some analysts said Wall Street is seeing an overdue correction, which could take some of the speculative froth out of the market and set the stage for more gains.
“The market seems to want to take a breather, so it found negative spin this week,” said Linda Duessel at Federated Investors.
“At a moment when most everyone is looking for a correction, there probably shouldn’t be a serious one,” she said.
Bob Dickey at RBC Wealth Management said traders have been using the current corporate earnings season to lock in profits, after having pushed up the market in anticipation of positive profit reports.
“The market continues to trade in its backward fashion of pulling back on the good news of so many companies beating their fourth quarter earnings expectations,” Dickey said.
This phenomenon “can help to explain why the market has rallied so strongly over the past nine months and is now giving some back in the face of apparent good news,” he said.
AIR SUPPORT: The Ministry of National Defense thanked the US for the delivery, adding that it was an indicator of the White House’s commitment to the Taiwan Relations Act Deputy Minister of National Defense Po Horng-huei (柏鴻輝) and Representative to the US Alexander Yui on Friday attended a delivery ceremony for the first of Taiwan’s long-awaited 66 F-16C/D Block 70 jets at a Lockheed Martin Corp factory in Greenville, South Carolina. “We are so proud to be the global home of the F-16 and to support Taiwan’s air defense capabilities,” US Representative William Timmons wrote on X, alongside a photograph of Taiwanese and US officials at the event. The F-16C/D Block 70 jets Taiwan ordered have the same capabilities as aircraft that had been upgraded to F-16Vs. The batch of Lockheed Martin
GRIDLOCK: The National Fire Agency’s Special Search and Rescue team is on standby to travel to the countries to help out with the rescue effort A powerful earthquake rocked Myanmar and neighboring Thailand yesterday, killing at least three people in Bangkok and burying dozens when a high-rise building under construction collapsed. Footage shared on social media from Myanmar’s second-largest city showed widespread destruction, raising fears that many were trapped under the rubble or killed. The magnitude 7.7 earthquake, with an epicenter near Mandalay in Myanmar, struck at midday and was followed by a strong magnitude 6.4 aftershock. The extent of death, injury and destruction — especially in Myanmar, which is embroiled in a civil war and where information is tightly controlled at the best of times —
Taiwan was ranked the fourth-safest country in the world with a score of 82.9, trailing only Andorra, the United Arab Emirates and Qatar in Numbeo’s Safety Index by Country report. Taiwan’s score improved by 0.1 points compared with last year’s mid-year report, which had Taiwan fourth with a score of 82.8. However, both scores were lower than in last year’s first review, when Taiwan scored 83.3, and are a long way from when Taiwan was named the second-safest country in the world in 2021, scoring 84.8. Taiwan ranked higher than Singapore in ninth with a score of 77.4 and Japan in 10th with
SECURITY RISK: If there is a conflict between China and Taiwan, ‘there would likely be significant consequences to global economic and security interests,’ it said China remains the top military and cyber threat to the US and continues to make progress on capabilities to seize Taiwan, a report by US intelligence agencies said on Tuesday. The report provides an overview of the “collective insights” of top US intelligence agencies about the security threats to the US posed by foreign nations and criminal organizations. In its Annual Threat Assessment, the agencies divided threats facing the US into two broad categories, “nonstate transnational criminals and terrorists” and “major state actors,” with China, Russia, Iran and North Korea named. Of those countries, “China presents the most comprehensive and robust military threat
RSS