Wall Street is set to reopen following a holiday weekend in search of direction after a choppy week, with worries over the recession-mired economy and the US government’s mounting debt weighing on the market.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.10 percent in the week to Friday to 8.277.32.
The tech-dominated NASDAQ added 0.71 percent to 1,692.01, while the broad-market Standard & Poor’s 500 index climbed 0.47 percent in the week to 887.00.
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Investors could be hearing a warning in the market bromide of “sell in May and go away” as they consolidated positions ahead of a three-day weekend, with the stocks and bond market closed tomorrow for the Memorial Day holiday that starts the US summer vacation season.
Worries about rising unemployment, home foreclosures and the trillions of dollars the government is spending to shore up the economy left little room to dream of lazy afternoons in the sun.
Government debt ratings gripped the attention of markets after Standard & Poor’s on Thursday warned Britain was at risk of losing its triple-A rating.
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Fresh concerns that the debt-swollen US could lose its triple-A rating triggered steep selloffs in equities and weakened the US dollar.
Bonds plunged on the rating concerns. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury bond shot up to 3.448 percent from 3.123 percent a week earlier and that on the 30-year bond leapt to 4.392 percent from 4.083 percent. Bond yields and prices move in opposite directions.
The modest equities rise came after a selloff last week that had snapped a two-month rally as investors appeared to grow disenchanted with seeing “green shoots” of recovery in weak economic and company reports.
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A series of worse-than-expected economic data hung over the market.
A surprise drop last month’s retail sales suggested “green shoots withering,” Ian Shepherdson at High Frequency Economics said. “There is no momentum in spending; the freefall is over but shredded balance sheets and declining incomes mean a broadly flat trend is about the best we can expect.”
The US Treasury’s June 1 deadline for General Motors to submit an acceptable restructuring plan or face bankruptcy also weighed on the market. A filing for bankruptcy protection by the biggest US automaker could cause another surge in unemployment, following rival Chrysler’s collapse.
New claims for unemployment benefits rose more than expected and the insured employment rate hit 5 percent for the first time since 1982.
The holiday-shortened week will be packed with key economic data to digest, from a reading on consumer confidence for this month on Tuesday to durable goods orders on Thursday.
On Friday, the US government will give its second estimate of first-quarter GDP activity. The economy shrank a punishing 6.1 percent, according to the initial estimate, after contracting at an annualized rate of 6.3 percent in the fourth quarter.
A Merrill Lynch survey offered a ray of hope, showing fund managers had turned sharply bullish from the “dark days” of last October when the global firestorm accelerated and 60 percent had forecast a worsening outlook.
“In May’s survey, a net 57 percent say the economy will improve over the next 12 months, up from 26 percent in April,” the company said.
The combined effect of the monsoon, the outer rim of Typhoon Fengshen and a low-pressure system is expected to bring significant rainfall this week to various parts of the nation, the Central Weather Administration (CWA) said. The heaviest rain is expected to occur today and tomorrow, with torrential rain expected in Keelung’s north coast, Yilan and the mountainous regions of Taipei and New Taipei City, the CWA said. Rivers could rise rapidly, and residents should stay away from riverbanks and avoid going to the mountains or engaging in water activities, it said. Scattered showers are expected today in central and
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