An influential body that represents British business said in a report published on Sunday there was a “distinct possibility” of the country facing recession in the next six or nine months.
In its quarterly economic forecast, the British Chambers of Commerce (BCC) said that while a major downturn was unlikely, a cut in interest rates was necessary to counter the threat of serious problems.
Its comments came the week after Bank of England Governor Mervyn King said Britain faced an increased risk of recession, with economic growth set to slow further and inflation expected to spike.
“Our quarterly economic forecast highlights a significant worsening in UK economic prospects,” said David Kern, the BCC’s economic adviser. “There is now a distinct possibility of technical recession.”
He added that unemployment would climb by up to 300,000 in the next two to three years. It would “likely” reach nearly 2 million, Kern said, adding that he would not rule out a rise above that.
Retail sales growth in central London slowed to its lowest since April after falling house prices and a squeeze on incomes hit sales of more expensive household goods.
Like-for-like sales growth last month slowed to 6.2 percent, from 12.9 percent a year earlier, the British Retail Consortium said yesterday in an e-mailed statement.
Central London outperformed the rest of the UK, buoyed by tourists from the Middle East and summer sales, the industry group said in the statement.
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