Oil held above US$122 a barrel yesterday in Asia after dropping more than US$2 overnight on worries about declining demand in the US and abroad.
In its weekly inventory report, the US Energy Department’s Energy Information Administration (EIA) said US demand for gasoline dipped 1.4 percent over the last four weeks. Meanwhile, gasoline inventories rose by 2.9 million barrels last week, more than three times the increase analysts polled by energy research firm Platts had expected.
Concerns about demand have helped pull oil down nearly 10 percent from its May 22 high of US$135.09. Those concerns were exacerbated on Wednesday by the EIA report and by moves by India and Malaysia to cut fuel subsidies, effectively raising their retail prices for everything from gasoline to cooking gas. Many investors believe subsidy cuts will choke off demand for fuel in the developing world.
“There’s definitively smaller demand, [and] you have subsidies that are going to fall in energy consuming nations,” said James Cordier, president of Tampa, Florida-based trading firms Liberty Trading Group and OptionSellers.com. “The psychology is just changing.”
India announced increases that, for example, would boost gasoline prices in New Delhi by 11 percent. Malaysia said it would hike gasoline prices by 41 percent and electricity for commercial and industrial users by 26 percent.
Indonesia and Taiwan, among others, have taken similar steps in recent weeks.
Midafternoon in Singapore, light, sweet crude for delivery next month was up US$0.44 at US$122.74 a barrel in electronic trade on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The contract fell US$2.01 in the floor session to settle at US$122.30 a barrel.
That was oil’s lowest settlement since May 6.
The EIA also said inventories of distillates, which include diesel and heating oil, rose by 2.3 million barrels. Investors shrugged off an unexpected decrease in crude oil inventories.
Many analysts have long questioned whether high oil prices could be sustained; many blame speculative investing fueled by the falling dollar for a near doubling of crude prices over the past year.
A weakening dollar can spur investors to buy oil and other commodities as a hedge against inflation, but the effect tends to reverse when the dollar strengthens. A stronger dollar also makes oil more expensive to buyers dealing in other currencies.
Recently, with some fluctuations, the dollar has been gaining against the euro and yen as US economic data supports the view that the Federal Reserve isn’t likely to cut its key interest rate further. In Asian currency trade later afternoon in Tokyo, the dollar was above 106 against the yen, while the euro was changing hands around US$1.54.
Among other factors cited for sustained high prices is the unexpected declines in production from some of key exporters, including Russia, Venezuela and Mexico.
TYPHOON: The storm’s path indicates a high possibility of Krathon making landfall in Pingtung County, depending on when the storm turns north, the CWA said Typhoon Krathon is strengthening and is more likely to make landfall in Taiwan, the Central Weather Administration (CWA) said in a forecast released yesterday afternoon. As of 2pm yesterday, the CWA’s updated sea warning for Krathon showed that the storm was about 430km southeast of Oluanpi (鵝鑾鼻), Taiwan’s southernmost point. It was moving in west-northwest at 9kph, with maximum sustained winds of 119kph and gusts of up to 155kph, CWA data showed. Krathon is expected to move further west before turning north tomorrow, CWA forecaster Wu Wan-hua (伍婉華) said. The CWA’s latest forecast and other countries’ projections of the storm’s path indicate a higher
SLOW-MOVING STORM: The typhoon has started moving north, but at a very slow pace, adding uncertainty to the extent of its impact on the nation Work and classes have been canceled across the nation today because of Typhoon Krathon, with residents in the south advised to brace for winds that could reach force 17 on the Beaufort scale as the Central Weather Administration (CWA) forecast that the storm would make landfall there. Force 17 wind with speeds of 56.1 to 61.2 meters per second, the highest number on the Beaufort scale, rarely occur and could cause serious damage. Krathon could be the second typhoon to land in southwestern Taiwan, following typhoon Elsie in 1996, CWA records showed. As of 8pm yesterday, the typhoon’s center was 180km
TYPHOON DAY: Taitung, Pingtung, Tainan, Chiayi, Hualien and Kaohsiung canceled work and classes today. The storm is to start moving north this afternoon The outer rim of Typhoon Krathon made landfall in Taitung County and the Hengchun Peninsula (恆春半島) at about noon yesterday, the Central Weather Administration (CWA) said, adding that the eye of the storm was expected to hit land tomorrow. The CWA at 2:30pm yesterday issued a land alert for Krathon after issuing a sea alert on Sunday. It also expanded the scope of the sea alert to include waters north of Taiwan Strait, in addition to its south, from the Bashi Channel to the Pratas Islands (Dongsha Islands, 東沙群島). As of 6pm yesterday, the typhoon’s center was 160km south of
SECURITY: The New Zealand and Australian navies also sailed military vessels through the Strait yesterday to assert the right of freedom of navigation The Japan Maritime Self-Defense Force on Wednesday made its first-ever transit through the Taiwan Strait in response to the intrusion by a Chinese reconnaissance aircraft into Japan’s sovereign airspace last month, Yomiuri Shimbun reported yesterday. The Japanese news platform reported that the destroyer JS Sazanamisailed down through the Taiwan Strait on Wednesday, citing sources in the Japanese government with knowledge of the matter. Japanese Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshimasa Hayashi declined to comment on the reports at a regular briefing because they concern military operations. Military vessels from New Zealand and Australia also sailed through the Strait on the same day, Wellington’s defense ministry