Fri, Nov 23, 2007 page10

• Japanese, Chinese sweat on US dollar

  GREENER THAN EVER The ailing US dollar, which has fallen against the euro, yen and other major currencies, is a source of concern for finance officials in Tokyo and Beijing

  • AP
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  Japan's finance minister said yesterday that authorities are closely monitoring the yen's rise against the US dollar but offered no clear sign of currency-market intervention to weaken the yen.

  Meanwhile, a board member of the Bank of Japan said the central bank must carefully watch how problems in the US housing market might affect Japan's economy, suggesting that he doesn't see an imminent need to raise interest rates.

  Worries about weakness in the US economy -- Japan's biggest export market -- and recent volatility in global financial markets have driven the US dollar to a two-and-a-half-year low, touching ?108.25 overnight. A strong yen hurts Japan's exporters by eroding their foreign-earned income.

  Asked about the dollar's drop, Finance Minister Fukushiro Nukaga told Dow Jones Newswires that "we will closely watch that issue."

  Nukaga expressed caution about the outlook for Japan's economy, repeated that the government must closely monitor how the so-called subprime mortgage crisis affects consumer spending in the US.

  Separately, Bank of Japan (BOJ) board member Seiji Nakamura said that Japan's economy may suffer if problems in the US housing and banking sectors become more severe or fluctuations in financial markets increase.

  "The global economy may deteriorate if the US economy sharply worsens," he said. "There is also the possibility that the Japanese economy may be negatively influenced."

  The BOJ last raised interest rates to 0.5 percent in February. Many market players now believe the BOJ won't raise rates before the fiscal year ends in March.

  Nakamura stressed that leaving monetary policy too easy for too long carries its own risks.

  "Real interest rates remain at very low levels. If the expectation takes hold that interest rates will remain low for a long time, it will produce distortion in price formation in the market and allocation of resources. We have to cautiously watch the risk," he said.

  But he offered few hints to the timing of the next rate hike.

  Meanwhile, the head of China's central bank says Beijing wants a strong US dollar, a government news agency said yesterday.

  Zhou Xiaochuan (周小川), governor of the People's Bank of China, made the comment to US Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson at a conference in South Africa, the Xinhua news agency said.

  "Zhou said he told Paulson China hopes to see a strong dollar," Xinhua reported.

  It said Zhou was responding to Paulson's prediction of a long-term recovery of the weakening dollar, which fell to another record low against the euro yesterday.

  Zhou's comments put "weight behind the slumping currency," Xinhua said.

  The US dollar has been falling against the euro, yen and other major currencies amid fears for the health of the US economy, stoked by the subprime mortgage crisis. Concerns about the US' huge trade deficit, which leaves more dollars in the hands of foreigners, is also weighing on the currency.

  China keeps a large share of its US$1.43 trillion in reserves in US dollar-denominated assets such as US Treasuries, which means a falling dollar erodes the value of its holdings. Financial markets are watching to see whether Beijing shifts to a stronger currency such as the euro.

  Zhou said that only when the dollar "devalues drastically can it be called weak, the scenario of which is likely to bring uncertainty to the world economy, to the reluctance of all parties concerned," Xinhua reported.

  Zhou and Paulson were attending a meeting of the G20 -- the world's 20 biggest economies.
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