First, the water level in a pond inexplicably plunged. Then, thousands of toads appeared on streets in a nearby province. Finally, just hours before China’s worst earthquake in three decades, animals at a local zoo began acting strangely.
As bodies are pulled from the wreckage of Monday’s quake, Chinese online chat rooms and blogs are buzzing with a question: Why didn’t these natural signs alert the government that a disaster was coming?
“If the seismological bureau were professional enough they could have predicted the earthquake 10 days earlier, when several thousand cubic meters of water disappeared within an hour in Hubei, but the bureau there dismissed it,” one commentator wrote.
In fact, seismologists say, it is practically impossible to predict when and where a quake will strike.
Several countries, including China, have sought to use changes in nature — mostly animal behavior — as an early warning sign. But so far, no reliable way has been found to use animals to predict earthquakes, said Roger Musson, a seismologist with the British Geological Survey.
That has not stopped a torrent of online discussion. Even the mainstream media chimed in, with an article in Tuesday’s China Daily questioning why the government did not predict the quake.
The first sign came about three weeks ago, when a large volume of water suddenly disappeared from a pond in Enshi City, Hubei Province, around 560km east of the epicenter, media reports said.
Then, three days before the earthquake, thousands of toads roamed the streets of Mianzhu, a hard-hit city where at least 2,000 people have been reported killed.
Mianzhu residents feared the toads were a sign of an approaching natural disaster, but a local forestry bureau official said it was normal, the Huaxi Metropolitan newspaper reported on May 10.
The day of the earthquake, zebras banged their heads against their enclosure door at the zoo in Wuhan, more than 1,000km east of the epicenter, the Wuhan Evening Paper said.
Elephants swung their trunks wildly, almost hitting a zoo staffer. The 20 lions and tigers, which normally would be asleep at midday, were walking around. Five minutes before the quake hit, dozens of peacocks started screeching.
There are a few possible reasons for such behavior, Musson said. The most likely is that the movement of underground rocks before a quake generates an electrical signal that some animals can perceive. Another theory holds that other animals can sense weak shocks before a quake that are imperceptible to humans.
Zhang Xiaodong, a researcher at the China Seismological Bureau, said his agency has used natural activity to predict quakes 20 times in the past 20 years, but that represents a small proportion of China’s earthquakes.
In the winter of 1975, officials ordered the evacuation of Haicheng, Liaoning Province, the day before a 7.3 magnitude quake, based on reports of unusual animal behavior and changes in ground water levels. Still, more than 2,000 people died.
Meanwhile in Hong Kong, feng shui master Raymond Lo says animals may be the reason China has been hit by crippling blizzards, riots in Tibet, chaos on the Olympic torch relay, a bloody train crash and Monday’s massive quake.
Lo said part of the problem may stem from the birthdates of Chinese President Hu Jintao (胡錦濤) and Premier Wen Jiabao (溫家寶). Both were born in 1942, the year of the horse. This is the year of the rat.
“In animal astrology we know the horse clashes with the rat … So if you are born in the year of the horse, because of the clash against the rat you will have a turbulent year,” he said.
The other reason is that the year of the rat is symbolized by earth and water, an unstable relationship this year, Lo said.
He is predicting more natural disasters this year for China.
Some Chinese-language Web sites are pointing out that No. 8 seems to be bringing bad luck. The snow storm struck on Jan. 25, or 1-25. The numbers added together: 1+2+5=8. The Tibet rioting broke out on March 14: 3+1+4=8 and the quake hit on May 12: 5+1+2=8.
Finally, the day the earthquake struck marked 88 days to go before the Olympics open on Aug. 8.
A fire caused by a burst gas pipe yesterday spread to several homes and sent a fireball soaring into the sky outside Malaysia’s largest city, injuring more than 100 people. The towering inferno near a gas station in Putra Heights outside Kuala Lumpur was visible for kilometers and lasted for several hours. It happened during a public holiday as Muslims, who are the majority in Malaysia, celebrate the second day of Eid al-Fitr. National oil company Petronas said the fire started at one of its gas pipelines at 8:10am and the affected pipeline was later isolated. Disaster management officials said shutting the
DITCH TACTICS: Kenyan officers were on their way to rescue Haitian police stuck in a ditch suspected to have been deliberately dug by Haitian gang members A Kenyan policeman deployed in Haiti has gone missing after violent gangs attacked a group of officers on a rescue mission, a UN-backed multinational security mission said in a statement yesterday. The Kenyan officers on Tuesday were on their way to rescue Haitian police stuck in a ditch “suspected to have been deliberately dug by gangs,” the statement said, adding that “specialized teams have been deployed” to search for the missing officer. Local media outlets in Haiti reported that the officer had been killed and videos of a lifeless man clothed in Kenyan uniform were shared on social media. Gang violence has left
US Vice President J.D. Vance on Friday accused Denmark of not having done enough to protect Greenland, when he visited the strategically placed and resource-rich Danish territory coveted by US President Donald Trump. Vance made his comment during a trip to the Pituffik Space Base in northwestern Greenland, a visit viewed by Copenhagen and Nuuk as a provocation. “Our message to Denmark is very simple: You have not done a good job by the people of Greenland,” Vance told a news conference. “You have under-invested in the people of Greenland, and you have under-invested in the security architecture of this
Japan unveiled a plan on Thursday to evacuate around 120,000 residents and tourists from its southern islets near Taiwan within six days in the event of an “emergency”. The plan was put together as “the security situation surrounding our nation grows severe” and with an “emergency” in mind, the government’s crisis management office said. Exactly what that emergency might be was left unspecified in the plan but it envisages the evacuation of around 120,000 people in five Japanese islets close to Taiwan. China claims Taiwan as part of its territory and has stepped up military pressure in recent years, including