Thu, Jan 21, 2016 page3

• ANALYSIS: Ethnicity not an important factor in elections

  • By Loa Iok-sin / Staff reporter
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  In both the 2012 and this year’s presidential and legislative elections, the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) tried to gain more votes from Hakka communities, which are often considered Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) strongholds. However, taking a closer look into election outcomes in the communities shows that ethnicity might not be such an important factor.

  When speaking of “Hakka voters,” many think of Taoyuan, as well as Hsinchu and Miaoli counties and cite election outcomes in those constituencies to show that “Hakka voters are mostly pro-KMT,” and thus for the DPP to win more support from them, it must come up with more “Hakka policies.”

  However, that impression is far from the reality.

  First, Taoyuan, Hsinchu and Miaoli are not the only regions with large concentrations of Hakka. According to the Hakka Affairs Council, there are 69 townships or municipal districts in the nation with more than one-third of their population being Hakka, notably the Liudui (六堆) region, which includes a number of districts and townships in Kaohsiung and Pingtung County.

  In Kaohsiung’s Meinong District (美濃), for example, 86.63 percent of the population is Hakka, in Pingtung’s Sinpi Township (新埤), 53.56 percent of residents are Hakka, in Neipu Township (內埔), 63.45 percent, in Linluo Township (麟洛), it is 68.15 percent, and in Jhutian Township (竹田), more than 71 percent are Hakka, according to council statistics.

  In all these areas, president-elect Tsai Ing-wen (蔡英文) garnered more than 50 percent of the votes in Saturday’s election — 59.16 percent in Meinong, 66.19 percent in Sinpi, 68.02 percent in Neipu, 68.94 percent in Linluo and in Jhutian, which has the highest concentration of Hakka, Tsai won 70.23 percent of the votes, according to statistics from the Central Election Commission.

  The percentage of people in the areas who voted for Tsai in the 2012 presidential election were more or less the same.

  Election outcomes in Hakka communities outside Taoyuan, Hsinchu and Miaoli show that the theory of Hakka voters being pro-KMT is false.

  The theory does not even hold true in Taoyuan, Hsinchu and Miaoli.

  A man surnamed Huang (黃) from Hsinchu’s Jhubei City (竹北), who was born to a Hakka father and a Hoklo mother, but identifies himself as Hakka, rejected the importance of “Hakkaness” in relation to elections.

  “For me, ‘Hakkaness’ is an abstract idea and a non-existant issue. Whether a candidate is Hakka is not a factor that would influence my voting at all,” he said.

  What would be a factor then?

  “In Hsinchu and Miaoli, political factions as well as large family clans play a key role in elections. Voters do not necessarily judge a candidate by their political affiliation, not even the so-called ‘Hakka policies,’” said a Hakka surnamed Peng (彭), who lives in Hsinchu’s Jhudong Township (竹東).

  Historically, Hakka in Taoyuan, Hsinchu and Miaoli were among dissidents who resisted the KMT regime in the 1940s and 1950s.

  Gradually, the KMT got a grip on local politics by collaborating with families and native political forces, while winning control of farmers’ associations and irrigation associations in the predominantly agricultural areas.

  In Miaoli, the Liu (劉) faction and the Huang (黃) faction took turns in control of the local government. The KMT is believed to have deliberately developed two factions so they would provide checks and balances on each other to avoid one side growing too strong; potentially threatening the KMT’s control over local politics.

  In Hsinchu, the large clans of Chen (陳), Lin (林), Cheng (鄭) and Fan (范), as well as minor clans, are in control of local politics.

  With the rules of the game established and the KMT making sure it provided benefits from it being in power, it was difficult for a latecomer, the DPP in this case, to join the game.

  However, the DPP has also secured some victories.

  Former Hsinchu County commissioners Fan Chen-tsung (范振宗), who served two terms from 1989 to 1997, and Lin Kuang-hua (林光華), who served from 1997 to 2001, were both DPP members.

  However, Fan and Lin were elected not because voters in Hsinchu wanted a rotation of power, but because the Fan family is one of the larger ones in control of local politics in Hsinchu. Thus the two were elected with the help of the clans.

  Fan ran as an independent in 1989 and only joined the DPP after his win, while Lin is not only from an influential local family clan, but also served as an administer, a member of the board of directors and chairperson of Yimin Temple (義民廟) in Hsinchu County’s Sinpu Township (新埔), which was the most important religious center for Hakka not only in Hsinchu, but also in most of northern Taiwan.

  The election wins for Fan and Lin in Hsinchu County — the region with highest concentration of Hakka in the nation — show a politician’s party affiliation might not be so important, as long as they have a connection to the right faction or family.

  The DPP seems to have learned the lesson, as in this year’s presidential election, it chose to work with local factions.

  In Miaoli, the party mobilized support from several local political leaders, including Cholan Township (卓蘭) Mayor Chan Kun-chin (詹坤金) of the KMT, while in Hsinchu County almost all township mayors, regardless of party affiliation, were neutral, if not supportive of Tsai.

  In the legislative race, the DPP did not nominate its own candidate in Hsinchu County, but supported independent candidate Cheng Yung-chin (鄭永金), who had served both as county commissioner and legislator, and was backed by the Cheng family.

  As for Taoyuan, mobilization of support was easier for the DPP, as Taoyuan Mayor Chen Wen-tsan (鄭文燦) is a DPP member.

  The DPP’s strategy has apparently worked.

  In 2012, Tsai lost to her KMT rival by nearly 390,000 votes in Miaoli, Hsinchu and Taoyuan — where nearly 40 percent of the population is Hakka — but on Saturday, she defeated KMT presidential candidate Eric Chu (朱立倫) by more than 200,000 votes over the three regions.
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