US President Barack Obama’s pivot to Asia may bolster Taiwan’s security, but the nation must do more to defend itself, a Washington conference was told this week.
“Apathy kills,” US Naval War College strategy professor James Holmes said.
“The pivot’s capacity to dissuade or defeat China hinges on whether US Navy relief forces can reach the island’s [Taiwan’s] vicinity, do battle and prevail at a cost acceptable to the American state and society,” he said.
“This is an open question — but one that Taiwan’s armed forces can, and must, help answer in the affirmative,” Holmes told the conference on Taiwan and the US’ Pivot to Asia held at the Woodrow Wilson Center.
In the case of an attack by China, Taiwan must show a “vigorous hand” in its defense rather than passively awaiting rescue, he said.
“Otherwise, it may stand alone in its hour of need,” Holmes said.
He added that Taiwan must think of itself as a partner, as well as a beneficiary, of the US “strategic pirouette.”
Holmes said that Taipei’s performance is “suspect” in both military and diplomatic terms.
Defense budgets, he said, were a rough gauge of political resolve and they have dwindled from “already meager levels.”
Only by conspicuously upgrading its defenses, could Taiwan’s leadership help a US president justify the costs and hazards of ordering increasingly scarce forces into battle against “a peer competitor,” he said.
University of Miami professor June Teufel Dreyer said that although the overwhelming majority of Taiwanese had expressed a desire not to unify with China, the absorption of Taiwan into China “may be reaching a de facto if not a de jure tipping point, past which reversal is impossible.”
If this was the case, she said, it was difficult to see how the US could gain any advantage from incorporating Taiwan into a pivot that was aimed at constraining China.
At the same time, Taiwan’s military and intelligence bureaucracies had been infiltrated by Chinese operatives and it did not make sense to sell advanced weaponry “to a country that would transfer it to America’s most likely adversary,” she added.
Dreyer added that Taiwan’s current government seemed to favor gradual incorporation into China, whether formally or informally, and that would be disadvantageous to the US.
“Taiwan cannot count on the US to guarantee the security of a Taiwan whose administration seems to be encouraging its incorporation into China,” she said.
Death row inmate Huang Lin-kai (黃麟凱), who was convicted for the double murder of his former girlfriend and her mother, is to be executed at the Taipei Detention Center tonight, the Ministry of Justice announced. Huang, who was a military conscript at the time, was convicted for the rape and murder of his ex-girlfriend, surnamed Wang (王), and the murder of her mother, after breaking into their home on Oct. 1, 2013. Prosecutors cited anger over the breakup and a dispute about money as the motives behind the double homicide. This is the first time that Minister of Justice Cheng Ming-chien (鄭銘謙) has
Ferry operators are planning to provide a total of 1,429 journeys between Taiwan proper and its offshore islands to meet increased travel demand during the upcoming Lunar New Year holiday, the Maritime and Port Bureau said yesterday. The available number of ferry journeys on eight routes from Saturday next week to Feb. 2 is expected to meet a maximum transport capacity of 289,414 passengers, the bureau said in a news release. Meanwhile, a total of 396 journeys on the "small three links," which are direct ferries connecting Taiwan's Kinmen and Lienchiang counties with China's Fujian Province, are also being planned to accommodate
BITTERLY COLD: The inauguration ceremony for US president-elect Donald Trump has been moved indoors due to cold weather, with the new venue lacking capacity A delegation of cross-party lawmakers from Taiwan, led by Legislative Speaker Han Kuo-yu (韓國瑜), for the inauguration of US president-elect Donald Trump, would not be able to attend the ceremony, as it is being moved indoors due to forecasts of intense cold weather in Washington tomorrow. The inauguration ceremony for Trump and US vice president-elect JD Vance is to be held inside the Capitol Rotunda, which has a capacity of about 2,000 people. A person familiar with the issue yesterday said although the outdoor inauguration ceremony has been relocated, Taiwan’s legislative delegation has decided to head off to Washington as scheduled. The delegation
TRANSPORT CONVENIENCE: The new ticket gates would accept a variety of mobile payment methods, and buses would be installed with QR code readers for ease of use New ticketing gates for the Taipei metro system are expected to begin service in October, allowing users to swipe with cellphones and select credit cards partnered with Taipei Rapid Transit Corp (TRTC), the company said on Tuesday. TRTC said its gates in use are experiencing difficulty due to their age, as they were first installed in 2007. Maintenance is increasingly expensive and challenging as the manufacturing of components is halted or becoming harder to find, the company said. Currently, the gates only accept EasyCard, iPass and electronic icash tickets, or one-time-use tickets purchased at kiosks, the company said. Since 2023, the company said it