Sun, Nov 28, 2004 page3

• DPP's plan frustrates some candidates

  • By Jewel Huang / STAFF REPORTER
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  With tensions running high in the legislative campaign and many Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) candidates finding their chances of election in jeopardy, the vote allocation strategy is coming to be regarded as a panacea. However, one candidate's medicine can be another's poison, especially for the candidates who are leading in the polls.

  Some DPP candidates' unwillingness to share votes is increasingly obvious as the legislative elections enter the homestretch. DPP Legislator Hsiao Bi-khim (蕭美琴) -- who currently is ahead in polls in the north constituency of Taipei City, who appeared sullen while attending a united campaign activity with four other candidates on Thursday -- was an example of such reluctance.

  

  Taipei Mayor Ma Ying-jeou, KMT legislative candidate Chu Chun-hsiao and Taoyuan County Commissioner Chu Li-lun, left to right, yesterday taste bitter pig galls to show their determination to win the Dec. 11 elections. ''To sleep on brushwood and taste gall'' is a famous Chinese saying, which means ''to undergo self-imposed hardships to nurse vengeance.''

  PHOTO: YIN CHEN-WEI, TAIPEI TIMES

  "It is unfair to me that everyone asks me to share votes with them just because I'm in the lead," Hsiao said. "I'm so worried that people may think my election is a certainty and give their votes to other candidates, which might cause me to lose instead."

  Hsiao also said that she hopes candidates who need more votes won't spread gossip about her and instead work harder on electioneering. She denied that her complaints were directed at fellow DPP candidate Cheng Yun-peng (鄭運鵬), who is lagging in the polls.

  infighting

  Such infighting among DPP candidates derives from the reality that the DPP will not gain as many votes as they need, yet it nominated a plethora of candidates in some constituencies.

  Asked about the details of the vote allocation strategy, DPP higher-ups have responded that the aim is to "make a bigger cake so that everyone can have a whack," meaning that the pan-green camp has to extend its political turf as widely as possible. However, when the cake is not big enough for all the candidates who are eager for a bite, disputes are unavoidable.

  DPP caucus whip Tsai Huang-liang (蔡煌瑯) urged DPP candidates to realize that the importance of this election is to maximize the number of legislative seats to make the pan-green camp win a majority. This is not the time to talk about personal victory.

  "All candidates should accept the final election outcome since they've agreed to a united campaign strategy," Tsai said.

  Huang Ching-lin (黃慶林), director of the DPP's Taipei City chapter, also said that campaign gossip might ruin the outcome of vote allocation. The DPP has banned its candidates from publishing campaign ads that ask voters for emergency help once the vote allocation is launched.

  "Otherwise, we will take disciplinary action against these candidates," Huang said.

  Nevertheless, Tsai said that he was still confident that the DPP's vote allocation would be more effective than the pan-blue camp's since the DPP's supporters are familiar with this sort of campaign.

  In the legislative elections three years ago, the DPP won about 39 percent of the seats in the legislature, accounting for 33.4 percent of total ballots, demonstrating the effectiveness of vote allocation.

  "Successful vote allocation depends on how clear the message sent to voters is prior to election day, and the political party that wants to engage in this strategy had better have experience in it," DPP survey center chief Pan I-hsuan (潘儀瑄) said. "I don't think the pan-blue camp is prepared in these two aspects and won't achieve the result they claim."

  Currently, the DPP has finished vote allocation operations in 13 constituencies, including Taipei City, Kaohsiung City, Kaohsiung County, Tainan City, Tainan County, Taichung City, the three constituencies in Taipei County, Pingtung County.

  Pan said many candidates who had been in danger of losing have been returned to the safe list after the DPP launched the allocation. Taipei County candidate Shen Fa-hui (沈發惠) and Kaohsiung City candidate Huang Chao-hui (黃昭輝) became hopefuls again, Pan said.

  Pan said the DPP still estimates it will win around 94 to 95 seats, according its latest poll, below the goal of 101 seats set by President Chen Shui-bian (陳水扁). But Pan believes that as long as the DPP allots its ballots evenly, it still has a good chance of achieving the aim.

  According to DPP Information and Culture Department Director Cheng Wen-tsan (鄭文燦), the DPP adopts several patterns when using vote allocation.

  Usually, about one week before election day, the DPP will tell its partisans to portion out ballots to specific candidates in their constituencies according to the last number on their ID card, or according to their birth month.

  In a constituency where the DPP has nominated four or six candidates, it would instruct its supporters to allot votes to each candidate according to their birth month. Each candidate could have an allotment of two or three months. This allocation pattern is dubbed "Four Seasons Red (四季紅)," which is also the name of a Taiwanese folk song.

  If there are five candidates in one constituency, then each candidate would be allocated votes based on the last two digits of the voter's ID card, Cheng said.

  Ten DPP candidates in the north and south districts in Taipei City have adopted this pattern.

  "Vote allocation is a campaign tradition, or a consensus among DPP members, and this kind of peer pressure also pushes candidates to accept the strategy," Cheng said.

  "Many people criticize vote allocation as being undemocratic and depriving people of individual choice," Cheng said. "But interestingly enough, the vote allocation was a campaign tactic invented by our supporters spontaneously a decade ago because they really wanted to help the DPP grow."

  "It is a tactic derived from the bottom-up," Cheng said.

  separation from TSU

  Chen Shui-bian's announcement that the DPP targets winning at least 101 seats on its own, meanwhile, in some ways shows that the DPP wants to win the election without the Taiwan Solidarity Union's (TSU) help.

  As the TSU's campaign has not gained momentum as quickly as the DPP had expected, the DPP's lukewarm response to the TSU's call for cooperation in vote allocation has become increasingly clear.

  At present, the DPP is only working with the TSU to share votes in Tainan City, Taichung City, Pingtung County and in Kaohsiung City, although many TSU candidates have demanded the DPP include them because the TSU contributed significantly to Chen's re-election bid.

  Lin Chih-Lung (林志隆), a TSU candidate in Kaohsiung County, said the DDP's vote allocation strategy would inevitably dent the TSU's campaign situation if the DPP did not invite the party to partake in vote distribution.

  In the pan-blue strongholds of Keelung City, Hsihchu City, Chiayi City, Taichung County, Maoli County and Taiyuan County, competition among the pan-green camp will be even keener,

  "We hope the DPP will realize that winning a majority in the legislature is a common goal for the pan-green camp. It should not exclude the TSU from vote allocation, which might marginalize the TSU," said David Huang (黃適卓), a TSU candidate in south Taipei.
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