With the year's end comes the traditional sleigh-full of "best of" news pieces covering all variety of subjects. Our monthly technology review annually offers the same, but this is more of a technology "milestones" of the year -- a quick look at some of the gadgets and gismos and technologies that have touched our lives and may change our lifestyles.
My pick for gadget of the year would have to be Apple's iPod and iPod mini. It didn't come out this year, but by the beginning of December more than 9 million iPods were sold and most industry-watchers believed that number was going to far exceed 10 million by Christmas morning. What's more, these sleek devices have sparked a war among electronics manufacturers and rightfully had many of them rethinking the clunky space-junk design of many consumer electronics products. People are willing to pay more for wearable devices that don't look like something of Battlestar Galactica. Soon enough, we won't necessarily pay a premium for elegant design as manufacturers compete for the space in our pockets.
But the real revolution Apple has created isn't in the way we carry music, but the way we purchase it. Apple announced earlier this month that their iTunes music store customers have now downloaded over 200 million songs (They were at the 150 million-song mark in mid-October!). Some industry watchers have gone so far to say that if the company's star continues rising at its current rate, it may well sell 1 billion songs by the end of next year.
The company refuses to say how many users iTunes has, but the numbers are still significant. Apple has changed the way we buy music and, for musicians whose catalogs are available for download, significantly reduced the amount of money lost to pirating. My prediction is that, as bit rates gain speed, the next business to move to the Internet will be the neighborhood video store. (Hello, Blockbuster?)
Speaking of downloading from the Internet, 2004 was surely the year the world became wireless, or at least began making huge strides toward becoming so.
While there's no data available as to exactly how much area became covered with Wi-Fi networks this year, based on sales of Wi-Fi hubs, it's believed that overall coverage has grown exponentially more than any previous year. Airports, hotels, cafes and now even homes are going wireless as the price of the technology has dropped. More significantly, whole cities are planning wireless access areas (including Taipei's Shinyi District). Where not long ago people would have to search for a wireless access environment, they're now more likely to be sitting in one already.
As the virtual world has expanded, so has the world of materials. A Virginia-based company called NanoSonic has solved what could be described as the materials chemists' version of the riddle of the Sphinx: What material can conduct electricity like a metal, but stretch like a rubber band?
The answer, of course, is Metal Rubber, a filmy brown material that can extend to three times its original length and conduct electricity as well as a bar of steel. Already Lockheed Martin is using it to create airplane wings with more flex, but scientists believe it could have applications in medicine -- artificial muscles, for example, or more life-like prostheses. On a larger scale consumer basis, we may begin seeing cellphones and laptops that bounce when dropped.
A feature like that would come in handy if you dropped your NT$16,065 Treo 650, my pick for the phone of year. Though it's not a popular model in Taiwan, it's manufactured here by a company called High Tech Computer. In other parts of the world, though, it's taken the bull by the horns, combining a personal digital assistant, telephone, camera and more. The 650, which runs on a Palm operating system, is the upgrade of the Treo 600. But as upgrades go, the 650 is twice the phone the 600 was: twice the screen resolution (320 x 320 from 160 x 160), twice the speed (312Mhz from 144Mhz), and more than twice the photo resolution (1.2 megapixels from 0.3 megapixels).
The 650 also incorporates Bluetooth to make it a truer networking device, though Wi-Fi is noticeably absent. Still, it raises the bar on PDA-cellphone technology, setting the standard by which other manufacturers will inevitably compare their own products.
Already not far behind is another Taiwan-manufactured phone, Benq's P50, which, because it's lighter and smaller than the Treo and foregoes the nubby antenna, would win on style points. But the phone is still too new and untested to give it top honors here.
While it may not be a great feat of technology, it remains a milestone: Wal-Mart Corp has begun offering the Balance Notebook computer, a Linux-based laptop selling at NT$16,000. For that price you get a 14.1" LCD screen, VIA C3 processor, 128MB of RAM, a 30GB hard drive and CD-ROM. No bells and whistles, to be sure, but enough to run most productivity software, Web browsing, e-mail and the like. Kudos to Wal-Mart for saving consumers NT$3,213 by installing Linux.
The US war on Iran has illuminated the deep interdependence of Asia on flows of oil and related items as raw materials that become the basis of modern human civilization. Australians and New Zealanders had a wake up call. The crisis also emphasizes how the Philippines is a swatch of islands linked by jet fuel. These revelations have deep implications for an invasion of Taiwan. Much of the commentary on the Taiwan scenario has looked at the disruptions to world trade, which will be in the trillions. However, the Iran war offers additional specific lessons for a Taiwan scenario. An insightful
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On Monday morning, in quick succession, the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) and the Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) released statements announcing “that the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China and General Secretary Xi Jinping (習近平) have invited KMT Chairwoman Cheng Li-wun (鄭麗文) to lead a delegation on a visit to the mainland” as the KMT’s press release worded it. The KMT’s press release added “Chairwoman Cheng expressed her gratitude for the invitation and has gladly accepted it.” Beijing’s official Xinhua news release described Song Tao (宋濤), head of the Taiwan Work Office of the CCP Central Committee, as
Polling data often confirms what we expect, but sometimes it throws up surprises. When examined over time, some patterns appear that speak to something bigger going on. In this column, whenever possible, Formosa’s polls are used. Despite the sometimes cringeworthy antics of Formosa’s Chairman, Wu Tzu-Chia (吳子嘉), the data produced includes detailed breakdowns crucial for analysis. It has also been conducted monthly 11-12 times a year for many years with many of the same questions, allowing for analysis over time. When big shifts do occur between one month and the next it is usually in response to some event in