Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao's (溫家寶) speech to the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference and the National People's Congress last Thursday drew a lot of international media coverage. Wen said the two sides of the Taiwan Strait would hold consultations and strengthen cross-strait economic cooperation. While it might appear relations have taken a big step toward stability, a hidden threat was largely overlooked by the international and domestic media. The sticking point: Beijing's good will hinges on Taiwan's acceptance of the “one China” principle.
China’s national defense budget has grown by more than 10 percent annually for the past decade and will rise by at least 15 percent this year — and that's just according to the official figures. The size of the People's Liberation Army, with more than 3 million people in its land forces alone, means personnel costs are immense. However, China's stated goal this year is upgrading its naval and air forces. The Chinese navy is working to building its own aircraft carrier. As Chinese naval strength grows, it will expand throughout the South China Sea and into the Indian Ocean.
Taiwan is a vital link, so China keeps making economic overtures and expressing good will while continuing to make military preparations. China keeps increasing its military spending even though cross-strait tension is low. It is clear that the Taiwan issue is only a pretext for China to expand its military power.
These days, Taiwan appears to be almost the only country that cares about the shifting balance of military power across the Taiwan Strait, as the Taiwan question has dropped off the radar in international politics. This puts Taiwan in a precarious position.
China no longer sees the Taiwan issue as a problem since President Ma Ying-jeou (馬英九) took office. Nevertheless, it continues to deploy more missiles along its southeast coast, which now number about 1,500.
For his part Ma, apparently doesn't view all those missiles as a threat and naively discounts the possibility of hostile behavior by China. Taiwan's military budget has been cut and arms purchases have almost ceased. Ma and his defense minister are more concerned with how fast soldiers can run, whether they can swim or perform cardiopulmonary resuscitation. This complacency is the biggest threat to national security.
Since it views Taiwan as under control, China's next step must be to extend its power across the East and South China Seas. It will undoubtedly assert its claim over the Diaoyutai (釣魚台) islands more forcefully, without regard to the inclusion of those islands as a peripheral concern under US-Japan joint security agreements. China's recent contribution of warships to escort commercial ships off the coast of Somalia can be seen as a bid to extend its naval power beyond the South China Sea and provide its navy with an internationally sanctioned military exercise.
Today Taiwan and the international community are focusing on China's massive market and economic clout. China does indeed have an important role to play in dealing with the global financial crisis, and can help Taiwan and other countries to get through the slump. At the same time, however, Taiwan and other countries must be aware that China remains a huge threat to their way of life. If the Chinese tiger gets angry, who is going to tame it?
Concerns that the US might abandon Taiwan are often overstated. While US President Donald Trump’s handling of Ukraine raised unease in Taiwan, it is crucial to recognize that Taiwan is not Ukraine. Under Trump, the US views Ukraine largely as a European problem, whereas the Indo-Pacific region remains its primary geopolitical focus. Taipei holds immense strategic value for Washington and is unlikely to be treated as a bargaining chip in US-China relations. Trump’s vision of “making America great again” would be directly undermined by any move to abandon Taiwan. Despite the rhetoric of “America First,” the Trump administration understands the necessity of
US President Donald Trump’s challenge to domestic American economic-political priorities, and abroad to the global balance of power, are not a threat to the security of Taiwan. Trump’s success can go far to contain the real threat — the Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP) surge to hegemony — while offering expanded defensive opportunities for Taiwan. In a stunning affirmation of the CCP policy of “forceful reunification,” an obscene euphemism for the invasion of Taiwan and the destruction of its democracy, on March 13, 2024, the People’s Liberation Army’s (PLA) used Chinese social media platforms to show the first-time linkage of three new
If you had a vision of the future where China did not dominate the global car industry, you can kiss those dreams goodbye. That is because US President Donald Trump’s promised 25 percent tariff on auto imports takes an ax to the only bits of the emerging electric vehicle (EV) supply chain that are not already dominated by Beijing. The biggest losers when the levies take effect this week would be Japan and South Korea. They account for one-third of the cars imported into the US, and as much as two-thirds of those imported from outside North America. (Mexico and Canada, while
I have heard people equate the government’s stance on resisting forced unification with China or the conditional reinstatement of the military court system with the rise of the Nazis before World War II. The comparison is absurd. There is no meaningful parallel between the government and Nazi Germany, nor does such a mindset exist within the general public in Taiwan. It is important to remember that the German public bore some responsibility for the horrors of the Holocaust. Post-World War II Germany’s transitional justice efforts were rooted in a national reckoning and introspection. Many Jews were sent to concentration camps not