Thu, Jul 24, 2008 page9

• A screwdriver, not a hammer, could help to heal Zimbabwe

  • By W. Andy Knight
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  On June 23 the UN Security Council met to discuss the worsening political and humanitarian situation in Zimbabwe since its flawed March 29 general election. The sentiment expressed by most members of the council was that President Robert Mugabe, his ZANU-PF political party and sections of the armed forces should be held responsible for the outbreak of violence and the use of intimidation tactics against supporters of the opposition party, the Movement for Democratic Change (MDC).

  Based on the long-awaited presidential election results, opposition leader Morgan Tsvangirai seems to have won the March 29 vote, but he did not receive the 50 percent required to avoid a run-off. Several election observers believed that Tsvangirai was denied an outright victory in the first presidential elections because of vote tampering.

  Before the run-off election, Mugabe went on record to say that only God could remove him as the head of Zimbabwe. Perhaps he is right.

  Certainly, Mugabe’s brutal tactics worked to keep many MDC supporters from going to the polls the second time around, and he was declared the winner of the run-off election. The leaders of the African Union (AU), who could have delegitimized this sham election, not only failed to do so but actually greeted Mugabe with ovations at the 11th Summit of the AU in Sharm el-Sheikh, Egypt.

  Members of the UN Security Council who considered applying the Responsibility to Protect (R2P) norm to the deteriorating humanitarian situation in Zimbabwe were overruled by one of the veto-wielding states, according to US Ambassador Zalmay Khalilzad, who served as council president last month, and his counterpart from France, Jean-Maurice Ripert. Although Khalilzad and Ripert refused to say which country nixed the idea of invoking R2P in this case, the suspicion is that it may have been China.

  So Mugabe remains in power, and the debate about whether or not R2P should be invoked for Zimbabwe rages on.

  It is true that, according to the R2P doctrine, the international community has a residual responsibility to protect citizens who are not being protected by their government or who are being abused by said government. However, this “fall-back” responsibility is to be used only as a last resort, that is to say, after all other diplomatic means have been tried to get that government to take its sovereign responsibility to protect its citizens seriously.

  Based on the consensus that emerged out of Paragraphs 138-140 of the Outcome Document of the 2005 UN Summit, R2P is to be limited to the specific atrocities of “genocide, war crimes, ethnic cleansing and crimes against humanity.” Some scholars, like Alex Bellamy, have argued that what emerged from the 2005 World Summit was really “R2P lite” — a norm “shorn of all its substance.” And for many ‘supporters of the R2P norm’ this outcome is nothing short of disappointing.

  But others like Gareth Evans and Ramesh Thakur argue convincingly that invoking R2P in cases that fall short of the ones mentioned above could dramatically undercut the international consensus reached on the use of R2P and eventually kill this fledgling norm.

  Clearly, the world needs a robust R2P norm to deal with major atrocities such as the Rwandan genocide, war crimes in Bosnia, ethnic cleansing in Kosovo and crimes against humanity committed by dictators like Pol Pot and Augusto Pinochet. So clinging to the consensus reached in 2005 is perfectly understandable.

  However, it is important to remember that R2P is only one tool in the multiple toolbox of the international community. Diplomatic pressure, structural and direct prevention, fact-finding, negotiation, mediation, conciliation, arbitration, judicial settlement, economic sanctions, blockades, smart sanctions, peacekeeping, peace-building, resort to regional agencies and prosecution by the International Criminal Court are among the many tools at the disposal of the international community.

  For those who are anxiously calling on the UN to invoke R2P against the despicable Mugabe regime, perhaps it might be wise to ponder on whether or not other tools in the UN’s toolbox could be more effective at this stage.

  Already, Zimbabwe’s opposing factions have signed an agreement that could prompt the first serious negotiations on a power-sharing deal between the MDC and Mugabe. So other tools besides R2P seem to be doing the trick. After all, why use a hammer when a screwdriver might do?

  W. Andy Knight is professor of international relations and director of the Peace and Post Conflict Studies Program at the University of Alberta, Edmonton, Canada.
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