Last year Taiwan experienced wave after wave of political disturbances. First there were charges of corruption against some of President Chen Shui-bian's (
Then there were allegations of first lady Wu Shu-jen's (
The pro-China media and the Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) / People First Party (PFP) then launched ferocious mass demonstrations with former Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) chairman Shih Ming-teh (施明德) as a figurehead in an attempt to depose Chen.
While street demonstrations 24 hours a day are prohibited in Taipei, then-mayor Ma Ying-jeou (馬英九) decided to make an exception and permitted protesters to conduct day-long sit-ins virtually from Sept. 9 through Nov. 29.
Ma even showed up at the sit-in on Ketagalan Boulevard to show his support for the red shirts. Shih's attempts to spread the red shirts' rebellion to southern Taiwan, however, were rebuffed and the revolt eventually fizzled.
Meanwhile, the KMT/PFP forces tried on three occasions to depose the president in the legislature but were unable to muster the two-thirds majority required to initiate a referendum.
The reaction of the centrist voters to the irrational and often illegal attempt to undermine the rule of law and to scuttle democratic institutions turned into deep resentment of the red shirts, the pan-blue camp and the media and the realization that the revolt's target was not just Chen's family or the DPP, but rather the survival of Taiwan as a sovereign state.
As the red shirts signified so vividly, their true aim was to force Chen's resignation so the KMT could in effect take the reins of government before the presidential election in 2008 and be in a better position to deliver Taiwan into Beijing's hands.
Another result of the rebellion was the erosion of Ma's carefully cultivated image as a clean politician of integrity. The 81 days of unruly demonstrations caused traffic jams, public disturbance and inconvenienced nearby hospitals and schools.
Furthermore, while Ma was pressuring Chen to resign, based on the alleged abuse of the "state affairs fund," Ma himself had been depositing special mayoral allowance into his personal bank account for years. His aide also forged phony receipts to draw money from the special fund.
Such hypocrisy undermined Ma's credibility.
Political expediency was given priority over the rule of law. While paying lip service to judicial independence, Ma didn't hesitate to publicly pressure the prosecutor's office to indict Wu.
While Ma initially opposed the pan-blue camp's move to depose president Chen in the legislature since the KMT/PFP coalition was unlikely to muster the required two-thirds majority, he nevertheless succumbed to pressure from then-PFP chairman Chief James Soong (宋楚瑜) and went along with the motion. Such wishy-washy political style casts serious doubt on Ma's ability to lead and unify a seriously deeply nation.
After the failure of the red shirt rebellion came the Dec. 9 mayoral elections. Opinion polls by the pro-Chinese media predicted that KMT candidate Huang Jun-ying (
Voters were evidently turned off by the pan-blue camp's never-ending, overly aggressive moves to overthrow the Taiwanese government through illegal means.
In Taipei, a city long dominated by pro-KMT voters, DPP candidate Frank Hsieh (謝長廷) still garnered a decent 41 percent of the votes.
The outcome of the mayoral elections indicates two things.
First, despite their disappointment with Chen and the DPP, the core party's supporters and some centrist voters realized the importance of casting votes for the DPP candidates, not so much to support the DPP but rather to preserve Taiwan's democracy and sovereignty. This collective wisdom will be a determining factor in the presidential election.
Second, Ma went to Kaohsiung repeatedly, spending 18 days there to campaign for the KMT candidate. He claimed the vote would demonstrate citizens' trust in the KMT. The outcome showed that Ma's vaunted charisma is in reality nothing but a castle in the air.
It was widely believed before last year's events that Ma would win the 2008 presidential election hands down. His chances of victory are in serious jeopardy now that people can see more clearly his true character.
Earlier last year, the DPP's prospects looked bleak. It seemed as though the party was destined to lose both the legislative elections this year and the presidential election in 2008. But the DPP has now been given a chance to start anew.
Taiwanese identity has been steadily rising. A survey conducted by the Straits Exchange Foundation last November showed that 58 percent of respondents identified themselves as Taiwanese and only 16 percent as Chinese. Seventeen percent considered themselves both Taiwanese and Chinese. Another recent survey conducted jointly by the National Chengchi University and two other universities indicated that with Beijing's acquiescence, 62 percent of the respondents would seek formal independence. A further 54 percent said independence should be the goal in spite of Beijing's objections.
The DPP must revert back to the spirit and principles that the party was founded on -- both in words and deeds. It must represent and reflect the core democratic values of the Taiwanese. It must be steadfast in protecting the Taiwanese people's right to determine their own future.
This is the only way to preserve the freedom of the present and future generations of Taiwanese.
Li Thian-hok is a freelance commentator based in Pennsylvania.
In their recent op-ed “Trump Should Rein In Taiwan” in Foreign Policy magazine, Christopher Chivvis and Stephen Wertheim argued that the US should pressure President William Lai (賴清德) to “tone it down” to de-escalate tensions in the Taiwan Strait — as if Taiwan’s words are more of a threat to peace than Beijing’s actions. It is an old argument dressed up in new concern: that Washington must rein in Taipei to avoid war. However, this narrative gets it backward. Taiwan is not the problem; China is. Calls for a so-called “grand bargain” with Beijing — where the US pressures Taiwan into concessions
The term “assassin’s mace” originates from Chinese folklore, describing a concealed weapon used by a weaker hero to defeat a stronger adversary with an unexpected strike. In more general military parlance, the concept refers to an asymmetric capability that targets a critical vulnerability of an adversary. China has found its modern equivalent of the assassin’s mace with its high-altitude electromagnetic pulse (HEMP) weapons, which are nuclear warheads detonated at a high altitude, emitting intense electromagnetic radiation capable of disabling and destroying electronics. An assassin’s mace weapon possesses two essential characteristics: strategic surprise and the ability to neutralize a core dependency.
Chinese President and Chinese Communist Party (CCP) Chairman Xi Jinping (習近平) said in a politburo speech late last month that his party must protect the “bottom line” to prevent systemic threats. The tone of his address was grave, revealing deep anxieties about China’s current state of affairs. Essentially, what he worries most about is systemic threats to China’s normal development as a country. The US-China trade war has turned white hot: China’s export orders have plummeted, Chinese firms and enterprises are shutting up shop, and local debt risks are mounting daily, causing China’s economy to flag externally and hemorrhage internally. China’s
US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping (習近平) were born under the sign of Gemini. Geminis are known for their intelligence, creativity, adaptability and flexibility. It is unlikely, then, that the trade conflict between the US and China would escalate into a catastrophic collision. It is more probable that both sides would seek a way to de-escalate, paving the way for a Trump-Xi summit that allows the global economy some breathing room. Practically speaking, China and the US have vulnerabilities, and a prolonged trade war would be damaging for both. In the US, the electoral system means that public opinion
RSS