Whenever President Chen Shui-bian (
During his just-concluded trip to Paraguay and Costa Rica, Chen and his entourage were only offered a refueling stop in Anchorage, Alaska. In protest against Washington's decision, Chen instead made a detour, with stopovers in Abu Dhabi and Amsterdam. Chen's efforts to maintain Taiwan's dignity have not only won him the respect and support of the Taiwanese, it also showed that the determined Chen of the past is back.
On May 5, US representatives Tom Tancredo and Dana Rohrabacher, both members of the House International Relations Committee, sent a letter to US Secretary of State Condoleeza Rice questioning the department's unfair treatment of Chen, pointing out that "the Department of State continues to behave in a matter that seems more consistent with the posturing of China's Foreign Ministry than the direction of the US Congress."
This is evidence that the US' unfair, unjust and unequal treatment is a result of Chinese pressure and Chen has not only demonstrated his ability to deal with unforeseen contingencies, but also told both the US and China that Taiwan will not be humiliated and that it is an independent nation.
Washington's rejection of Chen's request to transit through the US mainland has highlighted the predicament facing Taiwan on the diplomatic front. If Chen rises to confront the US government, then he is sure to deal a blow to US-Taiwan relations, but since Taiwan has gained the upper hand in this matter, we have to wait and see how the US will respond.
Will the US still need Taiwan as one of the first island-nations in its chain of security off the East Asian coastline? Does it still intend to contain China's "non-peaceful rise?" What will it see as the proper way of dealing with the Taiwan question? These are important issues that the US government and opposition will have to contemplate.
Taiwan is now at a historic turning point and this is something that not only the US but also all Taiwanese and particularly the governing Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), should ponder. Last Sunday, the DPP held a conference on party reform to reaffirm the fundamental values of the party. The most important thing, however, is that the DPP must realize its historical mission and responsibility; this is the source of its fundamental values.
Taiwan's historic mission is not just to let the Taiwanese people stand up, through the transition of power or the termination of the alien regime. The most urgent issue is to prevent the disintegration of Taiwan's freedom and democracy and to fight the goal of unification that is the basic objective of the Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) and the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
The relationship between KMT Chairman Ma Ying-jeou (馬英九) and former KMT chairman Lien Chan (連戰) is strained to the breaking point. However, Ma has taken advantage of the KMT-CCP economic forum. When Lien last month attended the KMT-CCP forum with the support of Beijing, China invited 50 Taiwanese business tycoons to travel with Lien to add to the prestige of the forum, Ma responded by saying that "This is the direction that people have hoped for."
The "direction" he referred to points toward eventual cross-strait unification under the framework of the "one China" policy.
If Ma comes out ahead in the 2008 presidential election, Taiwan and China will become one country and the KMT and the CCP will have fulfilled their "one China" principle. Even if Taiwan and China are not united in name, they will be so in practice. The KMT and the CCP will fly the banner of nationalism, the KMT will once again register as a party in China and Chinese people will join the party, thus reflecting the Republic of China (ROC) flag: a blue sky over red ground.
Politically, Taiwan will have to pay homage to the "one China" principle and economically, it will become another link in China's domestic economy, joining Hong Kong as part of "one country, two systems." These predictions are by no means exaggerated. Lien's and People First Party Chairman James Soong's (
What's even more appalling is that the Chinese yuan has been openly circulated in KMT headquarters, that the pan-blue camp is making an all-out effort to block the arms procurement bill, and is urging the government to recognize academic degrees issued in China and to introduce China's pinyin system.
After the KMT sold some of its property to Evergreen Group chairman Chang Jung-fa (
If that happens, it would be difficult for Taiwan not to become part of China, and the US would have to withdraw its forces from the Taiwan Strait. The three communiques and the Taiwan Relations Act would exist in name only and become part of US national archives.
Will Chen's indignation at the US spur the Taiwanese to seriously contemplate their future? Will it trigger a period of self examination in the US and cause the DPP to once again work to fulfill its calling to fight for Taiwan? Maybe this really is matter of a crisis offering new opportunities.
This is exactly why Chen is staking everything on one throw.
Chin Heng-wei is the editor-in-chief of Contemporary Monthly magazine.
Translated by Daniel Cheng
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In their New York Times bestseller How Democracies Die, Harvard political scientists Steven Levitsky and Daniel Ziblatt said that democracies today “may die at the hands not of generals but of elected leaders. Many government efforts to subvert democracy are ‘legal,’ in the sense that they are approved by the legislature or accepted by the courts. They may even be portrayed as efforts to improve democracy — making the judiciary more efficient, combating corruption, or cleaning up the electoral process.” Moreover, the two authors observe that those who denounce such legal threats to democracy are often “dismissed as exaggerating or
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