How strange that China should be undertaking such a huge military buildup, and conducting so much of it in a clandestine fashion. One wonders who it perceives to be its enemy when the whole world benefits from its new prosperity, welcomes it with open arms, scrambles to invest in its future and wants "in" on its economic miracle. Schoolchild-ren the world over are learning Mandarin. Everybody knows China is the future.
"Nobody is going to attack China," stammers the US Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld, apparently at a loss to understand why it is hurrying to arm itself.
Across the water from China sits peaceful little Taiwan, with its bustling democracy and free market economy -- the major engine of China's growth. How many other developing countries wish they had a Taiwan off their shore. It would be hard to calculate the extent to which Taiwan benefits China day in and day out.
How strange then that following Taiwan's disastrous earthquake a few years back, China prevented emergency relief from being flown to Taiwan over Chinese territory. At the height of the SARS episode, China blocked Taiwan's entry into the World Health Organization. A bird flu disaster looms in the region, but China continues to block Taiwan's entry into the health body.
Again and again, Taiwan has said it wants peaceful relations with China. Yet Beijing now has hundreds of missiles aimed at Taiwan. Can anyone doubt that the armada of modern ships, submarines and airplanes that China is currently amassing at such a breakneck pace is for use against Taiwan?
Every day the stories that come out of China get stranger. Recently a Chinese journalist who wrote against corruption and won an award for his probity was beaten and had some fingers hacked off. That writer will never type again. Another received a long prison sentence, just for sending an e-mail.
The Internet in China is tightly controlled. Yet no sooner did Japan announce it would come to Taiwan's assistance in the event of a Chinese attack than an anti-Japanese movement easily organized itself on China's Internet, sent out all the e-mails it wanted and staged riots across the country.
Chinese police stood idly by as demonstrators smashed Japanese property. What was it all about?
The excuse about Japan's offenses during World War II would be more believable if China hadn't itself committed those same offenses in Tibet. The excuse about the Japanese textbooks would be believable if China's textbooks didn't still omit the truth about Tibet and about Tiananmen Square. The excuse about the Japanese leader paying homage to an offensive shrine would be believable if Mao Zedong's (
Japan's commitment to defend Taiwan was the reason behind China's temper tantrum.
China has not only probed Japanese waters with its submarines but is probing weaknesses in the defense system of the US, Taiwan's chief protector. "We are smarter than you!" Chinese sites brag to the Americans. On Sept. 11, 2001, Chinese sites expressed glee over pictures of the burning towers in New York City. Earlier this year, sites in China likened the visiting US secretary of state to a "monkey" because of her African ancestry and called her "stupid." None of this was censored.
Toward any country standing in the way of its designs on Taiwan, China behaves more than like a primitive and crude barbarian than a modern civilized nation.
If we look at China's history, we can see why. Over the last 5,000 years, China has again and again been conquered by barbarians -- barbarians from the outside, and barbarians from the inside. Never once has it been ruled by its own people, like newly democratic Taiwan. This is the real threat Taiwan poses to China -- it is free.
And so long as it sits there free -- prospering, and making China prosper; thriving, and making China thrive; bristling with enterprise, and making China bristle with enterprise -- democratic Taiwan shows up the lie of China's barbarian rule and the lie of Chinese history. China wasn't made weak by foreign invaders.
It was invaded by foreigners because it was made weak by its own corrupt despots. China's weakness has been its lack of freedom. This is still true today. Where there is freedom people can speak out and put an end to corruption and the abuse of power that tear a country apart at its root.
The huge military buildup underway in China today is not to protect China and the Chinese people from any outside enemy, because China has no outside enemy. Its purpose is to protect China's rulers from the Chinese people. It is poised to strike Taiwan because Taiwan is an embodiment of the pre-eminent danger felt by those rulers. Taiwan is a shining example of Chinese people successfully governing themselves, making their own decisions, being free -- and thriving as a result. Taiwan's huge success cries out to China's tyrants something they are terrified the rest of China might hear: The people can rule themselves.
The effect of Beijing's military buildup will not be to make China strong, but to perpetuate its historical weakness. The same is true for China's ongoing inquisition against those citizens courageous enough to openly speak the truth. And the same is true for China's control of the Internet and suppression of Hong Kong's pro-democracy movement.
All these policies perpetuate China's historical weakness. The way to strength is to confront and expose weakness, and then eliminate it. It is time for those who love China, in its military and in its government, to stop covering up China's weakness and inner corruption and to make China strong instead -- by making it free.
Instead of bullying Taiwan or trying to make a grab for it, China should be doing everything in its power to assist its successful little brother and to follow his proud example. A good first step would be for China to let the people of Taiwan themselves decide their future. Nobody in the whole world is against Taiwan being a part of China, if the Taiwanese people choose that.
If China could only bring itself to give the people of Taiwan this choice, then no matter which way the Taiwanese people decide to go, China will come away the big winner -- because it will have discovered, after 5,000 years, that its strength lies not in tyranny but in freedom.
William Stimson is a writer who lives in Taiwan.
In their recent op-ed “Trump Should Rein In Taiwan” in Foreign Policy magazine, Christopher Chivvis and Stephen Wertheim argued that the US should pressure President William Lai (賴清德) to “tone it down” to de-escalate tensions in the Taiwan Strait — as if Taiwan’s words are more of a threat to peace than Beijing’s actions. It is an old argument dressed up in new concern: that Washington must rein in Taipei to avoid war. However, this narrative gets it backward. Taiwan is not the problem; China is. Calls for a so-called “grand bargain” with Beijing — where the US pressures Taiwan into concessions
The term “assassin’s mace” originates from Chinese folklore, describing a concealed weapon used by a weaker hero to defeat a stronger adversary with an unexpected strike. In more general military parlance, the concept refers to an asymmetric capability that targets a critical vulnerability of an adversary. China has found its modern equivalent of the assassin’s mace with its high-altitude electromagnetic pulse (HEMP) weapons, which are nuclear warheads detonated at a high altitude, emitting intense electromagnetic radiation capable of disabling and destroying electronics. An assassin’s mace weapon possesses two essential characteristics: strategic surprise and the ability to neutralize a core dependency.
Chinese President and Chinese Communist Party (CCP) Chairman Xi Jinping (習近平) said in a politburo speech late last month that his party must protect the “bottom line” to prevent systemic threats. The tone of his address was grave, revealing deep anxieties about China’s current state of affairs. Essentially, what he worries most about is systemic threats to China’s normal development as a country. The US-China trade war has turned white hot: China’s export orders have plummeted, Chinese firms and enterprises are shutting up shop, and local debt risks are mounting daily, causing China’s economy to flag externally and hemorrhage internally. China’s
US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping (習近平) were born under the sign of Gemini. Geminis are known for their intelligence, creativity, adaptability and flexibility. It is unlikely, then, that the trade conflict between the US and China would escalate into a catastrophic collision. It is more probable that both sides would seek a way to de-escalate, paving the way for a Trump-Xi summit that allows the global economy some breathing room. Practically speaking, China and the US have vulnerabilities, and a prolonged trade war would be damaging for both. In the US, the electoral system means that public opinion
RSS