Former secretary general of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) Zhao Ziyang (趙紫陽), who was removed from the government 15 years ago, has passed away. His passing is a sensitive political issue, for Zhao's fate underlines the high degree of instability in China's government and the international commu-nity's hope for reform in China. For this very reason, it is likely that the government will ban any public commemorative activities.
The tight control that the government will likely exercise, coupled with the fact that Zhao has been out of office for the last 15 years, make it very unlikely that there will be a repetition of the 1989 Tiananmen Incident, which was sparked by the death of another party general secretary, Hu Yaobang (
But with the contradictions within Chinese society becoming increasingly fraught, people are now urgently seeking an outlet for their social discontent, so it is likely that there will be scattered commemorative events, and possibly even protests, organized by laborers and urban communities.
Whether these scattered events will converge into a larger social movement will depend largely on the attitude of the authorities. The harder they seek to prevent any commemorative activity, the more likely it is that there will be a powerful social reaction.
We can also expect that Zhao's death will prompt a wave of interest in Zhao as a person, as well as a revisiting of the Tian-anmen Incident, especially by academics based overseas. This will indirectly affect the atmosphere in the CCP.
It is worth noting that Premier Wen Jiabao (溫家寶) was formerly Zhao's secretary, and even accompanied him when he spoke with the students in Tiananmen Square. Wen's attitude toward his mentor will be an important index of his character, especially in Chinese society, with its emphasis on repaying the kindness of others.
Under the Communist system, Zhao played a tragic role. Similar examples abound in the history of the CCP. For such people, early political choices become a fatal error of judgement. When they realize what has happened, it is already too late, and they have turned into a type of person hateful to themselves, the sort of person they wished to overthrow when they first joined the revolution. Is there anything more tragic?
By 1989, Zhao had already perceived the CCP's inborn resistance to democracy. The party that deprived him of his liberty and erased all trace of his contributions, was the party to which he had dedicated his life. The pain that Zhao must have felt is not something that we can easily comprehend.
Zhao's death offers us an opportunity to re-evaluate the true face of China. During Zhao's time, reform was regarded as encompassing the whole spectrum of life, even including political issues. But reform today has become restricted to the economic sphere. This will create problems.
Political, social, educational and cultural development simply cannot keep pace with China's economic development, and this will lead to imbalance. This is the true face of China, and is also the root of its instability.
There are those who -- viewing China exclusively from an economic perspective -- believe that it can achieve stable development even without social and political reform. But this is only possible because of their narrow perspective.
We can in fact say that with Zhao's passing, true reform in China has died.
In China today, a superficial prosperity disguises a crisis in the very nature of the system. How long the crisis will remain hidden is another question.
Wang Dan was a student leader during the 1989 Tiananmen Square protests in Beijing.
TRANSLATED BY Ian Bartholomew
As strategic tensions escalate across the vast Indo-Pacific region, Taiwan has emerged as more than a potential flashpoint. It is the fulcrum upon which the credibility of the evolving American-led strategy of integrated deterrence now rests. How the US and regional powers like Japan respond to Taiwan’s defense, and how credible the deterrent against Chinese aggression proves to be, will profoundly shape the Indo-Pacific security architecture for years to come. A successful defense of Taiwan through strengthened deterrence in the Indo-Pacific would enhance the credibility of the US-led alliance system and underpin America’s global preeminence, while a failure of integrated deterrence would
It is being said every second day: The ongoing recall campaign in Taiwan — where citizens are trying to collect enough signatures to trigger re-elections for a number of Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) legislators — is orchestrated by the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), or even President William Lai (賴清德) himself. The KMT makes the claim, and foreign media and analysts repeat it. However, they never show any proof — because there is not any. It is alarming how easily academics, journalists and experts toss around claims that amount to accusing a democratic government of conspiracy — without a shred of evidence. These
Taiwan is confronting escalating threats from its behemoth neighbor. Last month, the Chinese People’s Liberation Army conducted live-fire drills in the East China Sea, practicing blockades and precision strikes on simulated targets, while its escalating cyberattacks targeting government, financial and telecommunication systems threaten to disrupt Taiwan’s digital infrastructure. The mounting geopolitical pressure underscores Taiwan’s need to strengthen its defense capabilities to deter possible aggression and improve civilian preparedness. The consequences of inadequate preparation have been made all too clear by the tragic situation in Ukraine. Taiwan can build on its successful COVID-19 response, marked by effective planning and execution, to enhance
Since taking office, US President Donald Trump has upheld the core goals of “making America safer, stronger, and more prosperous,” fully implementing an “America first” policy. Countries have responded cautiously to the fresh style and rapid pace of the new Trump administration. The US has prioritized reindustrialization, building a stronger US role in the Indo-Pacific, and countering China’s malicious influence. This has created a high degree of alignment between the interests of Taiwan and the US in security, economics, technology and other spheres. Taiwan must properly understand the Trump administration’s intentions and coordinate, connect and correspond with US strategic goals.
RSS