US President George W. Bush will today be sworn in to a second term in the White House. Academia Sinica President Lee Yuan-tseh (
Anyone familiar with international politics must agree that the greatest challenge to US diplomacy is a clash of civilizations between the US and the Muslim world, and the question of how to deal with China's rise in Asia.
Taiwan has limited contact and is not very familiar with the Muslim world but it respects the traditions and values of every civilization. The people of Taiwan believe in universal values such as democracy and human rights transcending ethnic traditional values. These are values that transcend the borders separating different cultures and should be cherished by every civilization.
The question of China's growing strength directly clashes with the traditional friendship between Taiwan and the US since Washington's China policies have a direct impact on the quality of Taiwan-US interaction.
Bush will not be controlled by electoral concerns during his final four years in office. Nor will he be as likely to be controlled by vested interests. He will be able to let go and demonstrate a politician's vision and ideals. Hopefully, Bush will be able to strengthen his insistence on the universal values of democracy and human rights in the US-China relationship, and carefully measure the latent threat that China poses to the Asian region, while at the same time offering stronger support for Taiwan's democratic development and its realization of human rights.
Taiwan and China share a common language and heritage as well as historical links. For this reason Taiwan is ideally placed to understand China's authoritarian nature. Taiwan should continue to caution the Bush administration that Beijing is manipulating guilt over China's treatment by Western powers and Japan in the 19th century, in combination with a rising tide of nationalism, its growing military might and the lure of its huge market, as a way of forcing the US to conform to its "one China" policy that oppresses Taiwan.
All nations that espouse freedom and autonomy should take care not to fall for the myth of China's "peaceful rising" and the bait of its massive market. Looking at a society in which economic and political issues are veiled in obscurity, we need to look carefully to see what is real and what is illusion.
Although Bush's involvement in the Iraq war has been repeatedly criticized, the fact that he won a second term shows that this involvement passes the test of US popular opinion. As a staunch ally of the US, Taiwan supports Bush in his war against terror, and hopes that by working with the US, stability in the Taiwan Strait can be strengthened and Taiwan's democratic reforms can avoid becoming a victim of manipulation from across the Strait.
On the premise that cross-strait security is not threatened, Taiwan is happy to assist the US in lighting the flame of democracy in China, for only if thousands of years of authoritarian rule can be overturned and replaced by democratic traditions can peace in Asia be assured. Only then will the two sides of the Strait put aside mutual suspicion, open up dialogue and resolve the gridlock across the Strait.
In their recent op-ed “Trump Should Rein In Taiwan” in Foreign Policy magazine, Christopher Chivvis and Stephen Wertheim argued that the US should pressure President William Lai (賴清德) to “tone it down” to de-escalate tensions in the Taiwan Strait — as if Taiwan’s words are more of a threat to peace than Beijing’s actions. It is an old argument dressed up in new concern: that Washington must rein in Taipei to avoid war. However, this narrative gets it backward. Taiwan is not the problem; China is. Calls for a so-called “grand bargain” with Beijing — where the US pressures Taiwan into concessions
The term “assassin’s mace” originates from Chinese folklore, describing a concealed weapon used by a weaker hero to defeat a stronger adversary with an unexpected strike. In more general military parlance, the concept refers to an asymmetric capability that targets a critical vulnerability of an adversary. China has found its modern equivalent of the assassin’s mace with its high-altitude electromagnetic pulse (HEMP) weapons, which are nuclear warheads detonated at a high altitude, emitting intense electromagnetic radiation capable of disabling and destroying electronics. An assassin’s mace weapon possesses two essential characteristics: strategic surprise and the ability to neutralize a core dependency.
Chinese President and Chinese Communist Party (CCP) Chairman Xi Jinping (習近平) said in a politburo speech late last month that his party must protect the “bottom line” to prevent systemic threats. The tone of his address was grave, revealing deep anxieties about China’s current state of affairs. Essentially, what he worries most about is systemic threats to China’s normal development as a country. The US-China trade war has turned white hot: China’s export orders have plummeted, Chinese firms and enterprises are shutting up shop, and local debt risks are mounting daily, causing China’s economy to flag externally and hemorrhage internally. China’s
US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping (習近平) were born under the sign of Gemini. Geminis are known for their intelligence, creativity, adaptability and flexibility. It is unlikely, then, that the trade conflict between the US and China would escalate into a catastrophic collision. It is more probable that both sides would seek a way to de-escalate, paving the way for a Trump-Xi summit that allows the global economy some breathing room. Practically speaking, China and the US have vulnerabilities, and a prolonged trade war would be damaging for both. In the US, the electoral system means that public opinion