After the demonstration on Saturday in support of the commonsense move to change Taiwan's name to, well, Taiwan, pro-China so-called experts were quick to claim that the turnout for the rally marked some kind of maximum mobilization support for the pro-independence camp. This was of course ludicrous, as if pro-independence supporters numbered only the 150,000 who turned out on Saturday. Since we are not as stupid as these "experts" we will not suggest that the 7,000 who turned out yesterday exhausted the support for reunification and the maintenance of the absurd "Republic of China" title. We will, however, note, with thanks to the rally's organizers, that the two rallies appear to demonstrate that people having pro-Taiwan nationalist sentiments outnumber the pro-China reunificationists by 20 to one. Hoist by their own petard, the reunificationists have demonstrated by this show of weakness the size of the mandate for change in Taiwan. Thanks.
Saturday also saw the KMT formally endorse the pan-blue joint presidential election ticket. And this raises an issue of how seriously the DPP wants to win next year's election and to what degree it is prepared to use the flaws in Taiwan's legal and constitutional framework to get what it wants. For it should be remembered that at present it is not legal to field an election ticket with candidates from different parties. "Why on earth not?" ask civil libertarians. "Who cares?" we answer; the reason for this bizarre rule is lost in the history of KMT one-party hegemony. The point is that the pan-blue camp is relying on the law being changed.
Currently the necessary amendment to the Presidential Election and Recall Law is crawling through the legislature and there is little doubt that the blue camp, with its control of that body, will make sure that it is passed in time. But passage of a law does not guarantee it will be enacted. A law passed by the legislature can always be vetoed by the Cabinet. Such a veto can be overturned, but this requires the support of two thirds of the Legislative Yuan, a majority that the pan-blues cannot muster.
It thus lies in the power of the government to stop the pan-blue ticket in its tracks. We advise that they do so. This will not mean that the Lien-Soong pairing cannot run. But it would necessitate that the PFP and the KMT recombine into one party. This is something that the KMT is particularly unwilling to do. Having suffered a severe truncation of its wealth since it lost power and thus the ability to shamelessly manipulate the stock market, the last thing the KMT wants is to let the PFP's kleptomaniacs anywhere near its assets. We say tough luck, there's no honor amongst thieves.
We also say that the DPP should stop fantasizing about getting some KMT big shot -- they have their eye on party vice chairman Vincent Siew (蕭萬長) -- onto its own joint ticket. There is plenty of talent in the DPP to provide a capable vice presidential candidate should a change be needed. But when such a perfect opportunity for throwing a spanner in the works of the blue-camp campaign presents itself, the DPP should use it.
There will be the usual hypocritical squawks from the blue camp about undemocratic behavior. The answer to this is that the DPP legislative program for the past three years has centered on a number of issues that almost everyone in Taiwan wants, such as greater social welfare provision, legislation against corruption and the referendum law, and which the blue camp has shamelessly blocked out of pure self interest. Time for the blue camp to learn that others can act out of self interest too. And if this can derail the pan-blue election campaign, a victory for which would mean the end of Taiwan as we know it, it is in all our interests.
In their recent op-ed “Trump Should Rein In Taiwan” in Foreign Policy magazine, Christopher Chivvis and Stephen Wertheim argued that the US should pressure President William Lai (賴清德) to “tone it down” to de-escalate tensions in the Taiwan Strait — as if Taiwan’s words are more of a threat to peace than Beijing’s actions. It is an old argument dressed up in new concern: that Washington must rein in Taipei to avoid war. However, this narrative gets it backward. Taiwan is not the problem; China is. Calls for a so-called “grand bargain” with Beijing — where the US pressures Taiwan into concessions
The term “assassin’s mace” originates from Chinese folklore, describing a concealed weapon used by a weaker hero to defeat a stronger adversary with an unexpected strike. In more general military parlance, the concept refers to an asymmetric capability that targets a critical vulnerability of an adversary. China has found its modern equivalent of the assassin’s mace with its high-altitude electromagnetic pulse (HEMP) weapons, which are nuclear warheads detonated at a high altitude, emitting intense electromagnetic radiation capable of disabling and destroying electronics. An assassin’s mace weapon possesses two essential characteristics: strategic surprise and the ability to neutralize a core dependency.
Chinese President and Chinese Communist Party (CCP) Chairman Xi Jinping (習近平) said in a politburo speech late last month that his party must protect the “bottom line” to prevent systemic threats. The tone of his address was grave, revealing deep anxieties about China’s current state of affairs. Essentially, what he worries most about is systemic threats to China’s normal development as a country. The US-China trade war has turned white hot: China’s export orders have plummeted, Chinese firms and enterprises are shutting up shop, and local debt risks are mounting daily, causing China’s economy to flag externally and hemorrhage internally. China’s
During the “426 rally” organized by the Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) and the Taiwan People’s Party under the slogan “fight green communism, resist dictatorship,” leaders from the two opposition parties framed it as a battle against an allegedly authoritarian administration led by President William Lai (賴清德). While criticism of the government can be a healthy expression of a vibrant, pluralistic society, and protests are quite common in Taiwan, the discourse of the 426 rally nonetheless betrayed troubling signs of collective amnesia. Specifically, the KMT, which imposed 38 years of martial law in Taiwan from 1949 to 1987, has never fully faced its
RSS