The war in Iraq dominates the news media in such a way that it is less clear just what is taking place than it would be with less reporting. Television news spends about 95 percent of its time on the war. The larger newspapers expand their coverage in a special separate section in addition to the front page news. All other news has to struggle to be seen. But in the back pages, the number two international news story is a tie between North Korea and the SARS epidemic. China doesn't do well in either of these two, at least in the American press.
These last few months, China's image has changed considerably. It was not very long ago that China seemed hell-bent on being seen as a leader in the international community. Then-president Jiang Zeming (江澤民) made every effort to be seen hobnobbing with world leaders in both bilateral and multilateral settings. That objective was helped by world leaders who saw a China involved in the world community as a desirable development (although there was always doubt about its intentions).
This image remained intact even after Sept. 11. China was contributing to the war on terrorism -- somehow. It has never been made clear exactly how, or how much of this positive attitude by the world community was meant as much to encourage responsible behavior as it was a reflection of China's influence. Then Iraq rose into the public eye. China's image as a world-class power slowly began to change.
For whatever reasons, be it the importance of the American relationship, or its growing dependence on Middle Eastern oil, China positioned itself firmly on the fence. It has voted in the UN Security Council when there was unanimity, but not otherwise, though it does make public statements about the importance of the UN and the evils of war. If China was to be held accountable for what it has said, Taiwan could relax. China would need UN permission to attack Taiwan, and if it attacked without it, would violate its own moral stand as now stated by them. In any event, this kind of neutral grandstanding may be seen by some as clever, but it does not create the image of a world leader.
With the entrance of the North Korean nuclear issue onto the international scene, China's image continues to go south, unless furthering its "great power" image is not still its objective. China has expended a considerable amount of resources helping North Korea maintain its position as a buffer between China and the rest of Northeast Asia. It entered the Korean War for this purpose and lost thousands of young soldiers by doing so -- ordering, as an established tactic, a great many of them to attack straight through their own artillery barrage. This was something I personally witnessed as a young infantry officer during that war.
After the Korean War, China continued to aid the North, including help with the development of missile technologies and nuclear-power capabilities. It was natural, therefore, that when North Korea divulged it had continued its development of nuclear weapons -- despite its agreement not to do so -- that the US turned to Beijing for assistance in coping with the problem. Since then, there has clearly been no change in North Korea's behavior. Why not?
Beijing maintains that it does not have the extent of leverage over North Korea that they are generally thought to have. In any event, we are told, Beijing is working quietly in Pyongyang. The lack of transparency in this process instills doubt. The image of a powerful China pressing a small neighbor to behave doesn't hold water under such circumstances. The image, in fact, is to the contrary.
The image of a rapidly emerging power, bolstered by WTO membership, hosting the APEC meeting, winning the competition to become the site of the 2008 Olympics, among other events, has already been damaged. Now comes the rapid spread of a severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS), apparently emanating from China. More than either of the events above, the poor handling of this disaster by Beijing not only harms its image, it reveals a fundamental weakness.
In some respects, this is the same weakness demonstrated by Beijing in its quashing of the Falun Gong movement. The Chinese leadership could not accept that a movement of this kind was beyond its control. Similarly, some five months ago, it could not publicly reveal that it knew nothing about the virus and that the problem was therefore beyond its control. The result has been a disaster. Not only have a growing number of people died from the virus, the damage to Hong Kong's economy is still growing and will take a long time to recover. The contagion has spread to other countries and since there is no certainty about how the virus is transmitted, there is uncertainty about how to cope with it.
Taiwan has every right to publicly criticize Beijing for endangering the lives of Taiwan's citizens through blatant mismanagement. It is equally right to criticize the World Health Organization (WHO) for putting politics above its reason for existing. With the possible exception of China, what member country would criticize the WHO for dealing directly with Taiwan at a time of crisis? If there is any bright side to this issue, or to the changing perception of China, it is that after many years of publicly pleading for participation in the WHO, Taiwan might now receive a warmer reception.
There is a broader message as well, however. For people everywhere, and particularly in Taiwan and among the young, there is a lesson about the priorities of differing systems of government when they deal with life-threatening crises such as the SARS outbreak. The authoritarian system found in China puts stability and the leadership's survival as the first priority. A democratic government, such as Taiwan's, puts its people first. Compare the response to the earthquake that hit Taiwan a few years ago. Emergency groups from all over the world were welcomed in to help aid the victims. In China, a contagious and lethal virus was discovered, yet it was hidden from the people and the groups in the wider world that could help. Which government would you rather live under? If China wants to become a prominent player in the world community, it ought to start acting like one.
Nat Bellocchi is the former chairman of the American Institute in Taiwan and is now a special adviser to the Liberty Times Group.The views expressed in this article are his own.
In their recent op-ed “Trump Should Rein In Taiwan” in Foreign Policy magazine, Christopher Chivvis and Stephen Wertheim argued that the US should pressure President William Lai (賴清德) to “tone it down” to de-escalate tensions in the Taiwan Strait — as if Taiwan’s words are more of a threat to peace than Beijing’s actions. It is an old argument dressed up in new concern: that Washington must rein in Taipei to avoid war. However, this narrative gets it backward. Taiwan is not the problem; China is. Calls for a so-called “grand bargain” with Beijing — where the US pressures Taiwan into concessions
The term “assassin’s mace” originates from Chinese folklore, describing a concealed weapon used by a weaker hero to defeat a stronger adversary with an unexpected strike. In more general military parlance, the concept refers to an asymmetric capability that targets a critical vulnerability of an adversary. China has found its modern equivalent of the assassin’s mace with its high-altitude electromagnetic pulse (HEMP) weapons, which are nuclear warheads detonated at a high altitude, emitting intense electromagnetic radiation capable of disabling and destroying electronics. An assassin’s mace weapon possesses two essential characteristics: strategic surprise and the ability to neutralize a core dependency.
Chinese President and Chinese Communist Party (CCP) Chairman Xi Jinping (習近平) said in a politburo speech late last month that his party must protect the “bottom line” to prevent systemic threats. The tone of his address was grave, revealing deep anxieties about China’s current state of affairs. Essentially, what he worries most about is systemic threats to China’s normal development as a country. The US-China trade war has turned white hot: China’s export orders have plummeted, Chinese firms and enterprises are shutting up shop, and local debt risks are mounting daily, causing China’s economy to flag externally and hemorrhage internally. China’s
During the “426 rally” organized by the Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) and the Taiwan People’s Party under the slogan “fight green communism, resist dictatorship,” leaders from the two opposition parties framed it as a battle against an allegedly authoritarian administration led by President William Lai (賴清德). While criticism of the government can be a healthy expression of a vibrant, pluralistic society, and protests are quite common in Taiwan, the discourse of the 426 rally nonetheless betrayed troubling signs of collective amnesia. Specifically, the KMT, which imposed 38 years of martial law in Taiwan from 1949 to 1987, has never fully faced its
RSS