Given that Iraqi President Saddam Hussein remained unwilling to disarm after a lengthy international debate and diplomatic effort, US President George W. Bush issued a 48-hour ultimatum earlier this week, which meant military conflict would be inevitable if Saddam did not leave Iraq.
Yesterday morning, Bush announced the beginning of the military campaign. It is regrettable that no peaceful resolution to the dispute was found and that the US was still unable to disarm Iraq even with the threat of a looming war. Now that the war has begun in earnest, we can only pray that it may end early, that its scope may be as small as possible and that the casualties may be kept to a minimum.
Taiwan is a peace-loving country. Having experienced the agony of war and turmoil in the past, the people of Taiwan know the evils of war -- the immense suffering that it brings to people -- and therefore oppose war as a solution to disputes. However, when war is a necessary evil for maintaining lasting peace -- ?and when only by resorting to force can one eliminate the threat of terrorism -- a "surgical use of force" may become inevitable.
This is the stated objective of the US campaign in Iraq this time. Being a long-time, faithful ally of Washington, Taiwan understands the American stance on military action. Even though Taiwan is not actually participating in the campaign, it is nevertheless willing to help contribute to the reconstruction of Iraq after the war.
One reason cited by the US for the attack is that it believes Iraq has weapons of mass destruction -- including biological and chemical weapons -- which threaten its own citizens, as well as citizens of other countries. Since Taiwan faces more than 400 Chinese missiles deployed against it, its people certainly can understand American concerns.
According to estimates by US military experts, the number of Chinese missiles aimed at Taiwan is increasing by 75 per year. Not only has Beijing refused to renounce the use of force against Taiwan, but it has also fired missiles into the seas near Taiwan in the run-up to the 1996 presidential election. If the US had not intervened then, by sending aircraft carriers to the region, the situation could have developed very differently.
At a time when global attention is focused on the US-Iraq war, we must remind countries around the world that China also possesses weapons of mass destruction. It also has the will to use military force, as well as a record of using military force. The situation in the Taiwan Strait is a time bomb.
Having lived under China's military threat for so long, Taiwan understands that it must remain vigilant against that threat. This country therefore must maintain appropriate defense capabilities to deter reckless action from Beijing.
As China increases its defense budget each year to build up its arsenal, the risk of the cross-strait situation spinning out of control will increase if Taipei does not maintain superiority in terms of weapons quality. Countries around the world should understand that appeasing China and blocking Taiwan's weapons purchases are detrimental to security in the Strait.
The US-Iraq war will cause vast casualties and devastate the lives of many people. This is a tragedy for humanity. This is a failure of the American and Iraqi leaders. It is also a failure of the UN.
Now that conflict has arrived in the Persian Gulf, we hope it will teach the world an important lesson: Countries need to review their international organizations and frameworks so that order may be restored quickly in Iraq and the rest of the world.
In their recent op-ed “Trump Should Rein In Taiwan” in Foreign Policy magazine, Christopher Chivvis and Stephen Wertheim argued that the US should pressure President William Lai (賴清德) to “tone it down” to de-escalate tensions in the Taiwan Strait — as if Taiwan’s words are more of a threat to peace than Beijing’s actions. It is an old argument dressed up in new concern: that Washington must rein in Taipei to avoid war. However, this narrative gets it backward. Taiwan is not the problem; China is. Calls for a so-called “grand bargain” with Beijing — where the US pressures Taiwan into concessions
The term “assassin’s mace” originates from Chinese folklore, describing a concealed weapon used by a weaker hero to defeat a stronger adversary with an unexpected strike. In more general military parlance, the concept refers to an asymmetric capability that targets a critical vulnerability of an adversary. China has found its modern equivalent of the assassin’s mace with its high-altitude electromagnetic pulse (HEMP) weapons, which are nuclear warheads detonated at a high altitude, emitting intense electromagnetic radiation capable of disabling and destroying electronics. An assassin’s mace weapon possesses two essential characteristics: strategic surprise and the ability to neutralize a core dependency.
Chinese President and Chinese Communist Party (CCP) Chairman Xi Jinping (習近平) said in a politburo speech late last month that his party must protect the “bottom line” to prevent systemic threats. The tone of his address was grave, revealing deep anxieties about China’s current state of affairs. Essentially, what he worries most about is systemic threats to China’s normal development as a country. The US-China trade war has turned white hot: China’s export orders have plummeted, Chinese firms and enterprises are shutting up shop, and local debt risks are mounting daily, causing China’s economy to flag externally and hemorrhage internally. China’s
US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping (習近平) were born under the sign of Gemini. Geminis are known for their intelligence, creativity, adaptability and flexibility. It is unlikely, then, that the trade conflict between the US and China would escalate into a catastrophic collision. It is more probable that both sides would seek a way to de-escalate, paving the way for a Trump-Xi summit that allows the global economy some breathing room. Practically speaking, China and the US have vulnerabilities, and a prolonged trade war would be damaging for both. In the US, the electoral system means that public opinion