US businesses are already being harmed by the exchange of tariffs on key products, US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said on Wednesday.
However, he repeated that if US President Donald Trump’s trade policy results in lower tariffs, that would be good for the US economy.
“We hear from our extensive network of business contacts a rising chorus of concerns,” Powell said in his semi-annual testimony to the House Financial Services Committee.
“Lots and lots of individual companies have been harmed by this,” he said.
Although the impact would take time to show up in data on the broader economy, Powell said that rising business concern is affecting investment decisions.
After Powell’s testimony, the Fed released a nationwide survey, the Beige Book report, according to which businesses across the country were unnerved by Trump’s tariffs, with many reporting rising prices and supply-chain disruptions.
Washington has imposed steep tariffs on tens of billions of products from China and has threatened to target hundreds of billions more, on top of import taxes on steel and aluminum that have angered allies and prompted retaliation.
Powell refused to answer a question on whether the US was in a trade war, but he said protectionism is detrimental to the economy.
“The bottom line is a more protectionist economy is less competitive, less productive,” he said. “This is a torch we’ve been carrying around the world for 75 years.”
The administration says it wants lower tariffs and “that I think would be good for the economy,” he added.
Reacting to the Beige Book, White House press secretary Sarah Huckabee Sanders said that the Trump administration is aiming at a larger prize, further into the future.
“The president is focused on long-term economic principles,” Sanders said. “This is short-term.”
Powel said the trade dispute also has the potential to put the Fed in a difficult position as it gradually raises interest rates, because it could put opposite pressures on the economy.
The US central bank has raised the benchmark lending rate twice this year and is expected to increase the rate twice more as it tries to stay ahead of inflation pressures.
Powell said the Fed could cut rates if the trade confrontation weakens demand, but it could also face a situation where the tariffs lead to higher prices.
“The harder issue is you could be seeing higher prices because of tariffs at the same time you’re seeing lower economic activity, and potentially, that would imply higher inflation,” he said. “If it did, it could be very challenging for [monetary] policy.”
Commenting on other potential risks to the US economy, Powell said that some asset prices, including stocks and bonds, are fairly high.
“I wouldn’t use the bubble word, but many financial asset prices are elevated above their normal ranges,” he said.
The Fed is also watching high corporate debt levels, but he said: “nothing is flashing red in financial markets.”
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