The US Federal Reserve is more concerned about deflation than inflation, Wendy Edelberg, a Fed economist, said yesterday at a conference in Beijing. She added that this was her own opinion.
The Fed is “very worried about real interest rates being too high,” she told the Global Think Tanks Summit. The monetary authority “would be thrilled if right now the worry that it had was really inflation, and if it were really worried about seeing signs that the economy was about to be growing much faster than its potential growth rate.”
The Fed refrained on June 25 from lifting its target rate for overnight loans between banks, having kept it at zero to 0.25 percent since Dec. 16. It also kept unchanged the size of its asset-purchase programs after more than doubling the assets on its balance sheet to US$2.1 trillion during the past year, expanding bank reserves and beginning lending programs to bolster the financial system.
The Fed’s balance sheet is already starting to come down as those lending facilities are no longer as “attractive,” Edelberg also said, attempting to ease worries about the Fed’s “‘exit strategy” for its fiscal and monetary stimulus measures. The US economy is still “grim” even if there are stabilizing signs in other economies around the world, she said.
US Treasuries fell this year as the global financial crisis abated and the US government began selling a record amount of debt to fund stimulus spending and bank rescues. The yield on the 10-year note rose in the past two months 35 basis points, or 0.35 percentage point, to 3.5 percent yesterday, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
Risk premiums, rather than inflationary concerns, have caused recent gains in long-term interest rates, Edelberg said.
“Investors are rediscovering their appetite for risk and they are getting out of Treasuries into other kinds of investments,” she said.
TARIFF TRADE-OFF: Machinery exports to China dropped after Beijing ended its tariff reductions in June, while potential new tariffs fueled ‘front-loaded’ orders to the US The nation’s machinery exports to the US amounted to US$7.19 billion last year, surpassing the US$6.86 billion to China to become the largest export destination for the local machinery industry, the Taiwan Association of Machinery Industry (TAMI, 台灣機械公會) said in a report on Jan. 10. It came as some manufacturers brought forward or “front-loaded” US-bound shipments as required by customers ahead of potential tariffs imposed by the new US administration, the association said. During his campaign, US president-elect Donald Trump threatened tariffs of as high as 60 percent on Chinese goods and 10 percent to 20 percent on imports from other countries.
Taiwanese manufacturers have a chance to play a key role in the humanoid robot supply chain, Tongtai Machine and Tool Co (東台精機) chairman Yen Jui-hsiung (嚴瑞雄) said yesterday. That is because Taiwanese companies are capable of making key parts needed for humanoid robots to move, such as harmonic drives and planetary gearboxes, Yen said. This ability to produce these key elements could help Taiwanese manufacturers “become part of the US supply chain,” he added. Yen made the remarks a day after Nvidia Corp cofounder and chief executive officer Jensen Huang (黃仁勳) said his company and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (TSMC, 台積電) are jointly
United Microelectronics Corp (UMC, 聯電) expects its addressable market to grow by a low single-digit percentage this year, lower than the overall foundry industry’s 15 percent expansion and the global semiconductor industry’s 10 percent growth, the contract chipmaker said yesterday after reporting the worst profit in four-and-a-half years in the fourth quarter of last year. Growth would be fueled by demand for artificial intelligence (AI) servers, a moderate recovery in consumer electronics and an increase in semiconductor content, UMC said. “UMC’s goal is to outgrow our addressable market while maintaining our structural profitability,” UMC copresident Jason Wang (王石) told an online earnings
MARKET SHIFTS: Exports to the US soared more than 120 percent to almost one quarter, while ASEAN has steadily increased to 18.5 percent on rising tech sales The proportion of Taiwan’s exports directed to China, including Hong Kong, declined by more than 12 percentage points last year compared with its peak in 2020, the Ministry of Finance said on Thursday last week. The decrease reflects the ongoing restructuring of global supply chains, driven by escalating trade tensions between Beijing and Washington. Data compiled by the ministry showed China and Hong Kong accounted for 31.7 percent of Taiwan’s total outbound sales last year, a drop of 12.2 percentage points from a high of 43.9 percent in 2020. In addition to increasing trade conflicts between China and the US, the ministry said
RSS